Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...
Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...
Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis Project - Atlantic Climate ...
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Development of <strong>Project</strong>ed Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves<br />
for Corner Brook <strong>and</strong> Goulds/Petty Harbour, Newfoundl<strong>and</strong> May 16, 2012<br />
7.0 APPENDIX A. MODEL PARAMETERS<br />
Table A1. Model Parameter Descriptions<br />
Parameter Description Parameter Description Parameter Description Parameter Description<br />
Akaike<br />
Location<br />
Shape<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ard error<br />
Mu0<br />
Xi<br />
Sigma SE<br />
AIC Information<br />
parameter<br />
parameter<br />
sigma<br />
Criterion<br />
Mu1 Slope of Mu MU0 SE<br />
Sigma<br />
Scale<br />
parameter<br />
MU1 SE<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ard Error<br />
Mu0<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ard Error<br />
Mu1<br />
Xi SE<br />
llh<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ard error<br />
Xi<br />
Log likelihood<br />
p.val<br />
P-value<br />
Table A2. Deer Lake Model Parameter Values (Seasonal Fitted Model; 5 min, 10 min, 15 min, 30<br />
min, 1 hr, 2 hr, 6 hr, 12 hr, 24 hr)<br />
5_min 10_min 15_min<br />
No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT<br />
Mu0 1.41 1.00 0.58 1.06 Mu0 2.08 1.47 0.99 2.03 Mu0 2.67 1.80 1.37 2.20<br />
Mu1 4.27E-03 0.08 3.65E-04 Mu1 6.37E-03 0.10 4.78E-05 Mu1 9.33E-03 0.12 5.06E-04<br />
Sigma 0.79 0.75 0.75 0.68 Sigma 1.14 1.07 1.07 1.18 Sigma 1.37 1.28 1.28 1.19<br />
Xi 0.27 0.29 0.16 0.31 Xi 0.25 0.28 0.18 0.27 Xi 0.22 0.25 0.18 0.23<br />
MU0 SE 0.06 0.11 0.15 0.06 MU0 SE 0.09 0.16 0.21 0.09 MU0 SE 0.11 0.20 0.24 0.10<br />
MU1 SE 1.07E-03 0.01 2.00E-06 MU1 SE 1.47E-03 0.02 2.00E-06 MU1 SE 1.87E-03 0.02 2.01E-06<br />
Sigma SE 0.05 0.07 0.05 0.07 Sigma SE 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 Sigma SE 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06<br />
Xi SE 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05 Xi SE 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 Xi SE 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08<br />
llh -310.99 -304.25 -287.79 -285.04 llh -384.70 -376.29 -363.89 -382.56 llh -420.16 -409.05 -399.93 -396.36<br />
AIC 623.99 610.51 577.59 572.08 AIC 771.41 754.58 729.78 767.12 AIC 842.31 820.11 801.85 794.73<br />
p.val 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% p.val 0.00% 0.00% 3.83% p.val 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%<br />
30_min<br />
1_hr<br />
2_hr<br />
No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT<br />
Mu0 3.95 2.37 2.21 2.11 Mu0 5.86 3.24 3.44 3.01 Mu0 8.46 3.66 5.61 3.91<br />
Mu1 0.02 0.16 2.02E-03 Mu1 0.03 0.22 2.88E-03 Mu1 0.05 0.26 4.69E-03<br />
Sigma 1.90 1.69 1.79 1.64 Sigma 2.64 2.33 2.54 1.90 Sigma 3.78 3.28 3.73 2.73<br />
Xi 0.17 0.21 0.12 0.14 Xi 0.09 0.10 0.04 0.14 Xi 0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -7.16E-03<br />
MU0 SE 0.15 0.26 0.36 0.12 MU0 SE 0.21 0.39 0.53 0.15 MU0 SE 0.30 0.61 0.79 0.39<br />
MU1 SE 2.46E-03 0.03 NA MU1 SE 3.77E-03 0.05 NA MU1 SE 6.19E-03 0.07 3.46E-04<br />
Sigma SE 0.12 0.06 0.06 NA Sigma SE 0.16 0.06 0.05 NA Sigma SE 0.22 0.05 0.05 0.07<br />
Xi SE 0.06 0.11 0.11 0.05 Xi SE 0.05 0.14 0.15 NA Xi SE 0.05 0.18 0.21 0.17<br />
llh -481.55 -462.75 -464.72 -429.08 llh -541.22 -516.50 -527.04 -479.07 llh -608.40 -571.01 -599.72 -537.11<br />
AIC 965.10 927.50 931.44 860.16 AIC 1084.44 1035.00 1056.07 960.15 AIC 1218.80 1144.03 1201.44 1076.23<br />
p.val 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% p.val 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% p.val 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%<br />
6_hr 12_hr 24_hr<br />
No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT No Cov. P T PxT<br />
Mu0 14.09 4.62 11.99 7.24 Mu0 17.06 4.34 15.35 8.57 Mu0 19.09 4.97 18.78 10.08<br />
Mu1 0.11 0.19 6.86E-03 Mu1 0.15 0.15 8.33E-03 Mu1 0.16 0.03 8.86E-03<br />
Sigma 6.43 5.30 6.44 5.01 Sigma 8.17 6.54 8.17 6.48 Sigma 8.79 6.54 8.79 7.03<br />
Xi -0.02 -0.09 -0.04 -0.04 Xi -0.05 -0.12 -0.06 -0.05 Xi -0.04 -0.08 -0.04 -0.04<br />
MU0 SE 0.50 1.01 1.29 0.70 MU0 SE 0.63 1.25 1.64 0.91 MU0 SE 0.68 1.24 1.75 0.98<br />
MU1 SE 0.01 0.11 5.69E-04 MU1 SE 0.01 0.13 7.07E-04 MU1 SE 0.01 0.14 7.69E-04<br />
Sigma SE 0.36 0.04 0.05 0.05 Sigma SE 0.45 0.04 0.05 0.04 Sigma SE 0.49 0.04 0.05 0.04<br />
Xi SE 0.05 0.28 0.37 0.28 Xi SE 0.05 0.33 0.45 0.35 Xi SE 0.05 0.34 0.49 0.39<br />
llh -713.12 -662.34 -711.50 -659.46 llh -758.95 -702.20 -758.31 -710.28 llh -775.59 -706.72 -775.57 -728.59<br />
AIC 1428.24 1326.68 1425.01 1320.93 AIC 1519.91 1406.40 1518.61 1422.56 AIC 1553.17 1415.44 1553.13 1459.18<br />
p.val 0.00% 7.21% 0.00% p.val 0.00% 25.52% 0.00% p.val 0.00% 84.53% 0.00%<br />
*Highlighted p.val cells indicate that the model was found to be statistically significant for that predictor variable. Yellow<br />
variable highlights indicate the minimum AIC of the three predictor variables <strong>and</strong> statistical significance<br />
AMEC Environment & Infrastructure 48