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KAIS 2007 1 - Kenya National AIDS & STI Control Programme ...

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When comparing HIV prevalence by five‐year age groups in the <strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> to the 2003 KDHS, it isimportant to consider that a majority of the people aged 15‐24 years in the 2003 KDHS joined the 25‐29year old age group in the <strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> due to the four‐year time period between the two surveys. Thus,to determine if prevalence in the cohort of 15‐19 year olds in the 2003 KDHS had changed in <strong>2007</strong><strong>KAIS</strong>, one would need to compare the prevalence for this age group in 2003 to that of the 20‐24 agegroup in <strong>2007</strong>. Changes in prevalence for a particular age group between the two surveys wereinfluenced by the number of newly infected persons, number of deaths, and access to antiretroviraltherapy (ART), among other factors.Figure 3.4a HIV prevalence among women by five-year age group, 2003 KDHS and<strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong>.18162003 KDHS<strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong>HIV Prevalence (Weighted %)1412108643.53.09.07.412.910.213.311.7 11.811.29.59.43.98.8 8.78.82015-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 TotalAge Group (years)Figure 3.4a. Comparing 2003 and <strong>2007</strong>, there were no significant differences in HIVprevalence across all age groups of women.In the 2003 KDHS, the HIV prevalence peaked among women aged 25‐29 years (12.9%), while in the<strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> prevalence peaked in women aged 30‐34 years (13.3%). This was probably because most ofthe women in 2003 who were 25‐29 years old and HIV‐infected moved into the 30‐34 year age group in<strong>2007</strong>. There was a significant increase in HIV prevalence among women who were 15‐19 years old inthe 2003 KDHS and 20‐24 years old in the <strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> from 3.0% to 7.4%, which indicates that somewomen in this cohort may have become newly infected between 2003 and <strong>2007</strong>. Other changes in fiveyearage cohorts, such as apparent increases in HIV prevalence from the 20‐24 year age group in the2003 KDHS to the 25‐29 year age group in the <strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> and decreases in HIV prevalence from the 35‐39 year age group in the 2003 DHS to the 40‐44 year age group in the <strong>2007</strong> <strong>KAIS</strong> were not significant.<strong>KAIS</strong> <strong>2007</strong> 55

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