Final Report - Asian Development Bank

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20 Component I Tourism Facilities TA 4721-PRC: Preparing the Shaanxi-Qinling Mountains Integrated Ecosystem Management Project Final Report Appendix 13 Table 26: Estimated Job Creation from Component One Enterprises Construction: Full-Time Equivalents Aggregated Over the 2008-2013 Construction Period 10,900 (Averaging 3,500 per year from 2008-2010) Operations 650 in 2011 and 725 in 2013, expanding to 870 in 2020 and nearly 1,100 in 2030 79. The added benefit from component one is the investment generated for input into the in-situ and wider Qinling Mountains. Initial estimates indicate that by project completion this could amount to USD 350,000 increasing to over USD 1 million based on a levy equivalent to 15% of net profit levels from QBG and SARC. 2. Component Two: In-situ Livelihood improvement and Biodiversity Conservation a. Improved Forest Based Livelihoods 80. The Project will introduce technologies, infrastructure and business development resources to reduce poverty that currently afflicts 70% of the estimate 1,370 households within the 16 administrative villages. Livelihood improvement within forest based production systems will be demonstrated and evaluated to enable policy reforms and replication of successful models throughout the Qinling Mountains. The Project will prepare 16 village development plans including a community forest and natural resource plan prepared using a participatory planning process (see Appendix 10). 81. The plan will identify collective forest land that will be surveyed and demarcated, and the Shaanxi Forest Bureau will issue each collective with the necessary forest tenure certificates establishing rights to forest resources for individuals. During the planning process village forestry associations will be formed through which the conservation forestry program will be implemented. 82. The Project will support the development of 5,000 ha of analog conservation forestry through the provision of technical support, planting materials, site management technologies including light penetration, shade planting, and intercropping. Mixed species forests that mature into forests that are analogous to natural forest will provide substantial wildlife benefits, reduced soil and water loss, and both forest and non-forest products for harvest. It is expected that up to 3.5 ha may be allocated to each household based on 100% involvement and 5ha based on approximately 70% involvement. The benefits of the analog forestry have not been quantified due to (i) the need for a substantial policy and legal reform in terms of issuance of tenure over forest resources, exemptions for manipulating existing forest cover, and the enabling of households to derive revenue from the analog forests once established, and (ii) the long term nature of benefits accruing. 83. In-situ households will also have access to small business development grants to establish value-adding enterprises. Opportunities and interest in such enterprises will be identified during the village planning process. These will be assessed through Project supported research studies into plant and plant extract opportunities including essential oils and medicinal plants. Additional support will undertake market research and market chain linkage studies to ensure viability and to maximize their integration within value chains. Community based ecotourism home-stays for medium to high value clients will be developed to support the growing demand for overnight accommodation in wild or natural environments. It is proposed to differentiate these from existing home stays by providing a slightly higher quality of service and accommodation. A total of 10 - 4 room home stays are include in the project. The forecast financial rates of return indicate that an FIRR of 19.1% for a 4 room home stay that will employ 8 to 10 people on a full time basis. 84. The financial model assumes a 40% occupancy increasing to 50% after 10 years and stabilizing at that level with an average tariff per night of CNY 150. Table 27: Financial Projections for 4 Room Homestay Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 P Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
TA 4721-PRC: Preparing the Shaanxi-Qinling Mountains Integrated Ecosystem Management Project Final Report Appendix 13 Home Stay Compare With Below CNY Home Stay Tourism -- 360 day season 360 Occupancy Rate Starts at 0.50, Four Rooms, 0.4 0.4 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.45 Potential Visitor Nights Per Year 8 2,880 2,880 2,880 2,880 2,880 2,880 Actual Visitor Nights Per Year Revenue Per Visitor Starts at 1,152 1,181 1,210 1,238 1,267 1,296 RMB 150 (Ex. Sales Tax) 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 Gross Revenues 172,800 177,120 181,440 185,760 190,080 21 207,36 0 Cost of Sales @ 45% of Revenue 0.45 77,760 79,704 81,648 83,592 85,536 93,312 Net Income Before Overhead Overheads Before PIT 14% of 95,040 97,416 99,792 102,168 104,544 114,04 8 Total Capital 0.14 46,005 46,005 46,005 46,005 46,005 46,005 Net Income After Overheads 49,035 51,411 53,787 56,163 58,539 68,043 Total Capital Cost CNY 328,608 Net Cash Flow -328,608 49,035 51,411 53,787 56,163 58,539 68,043 IRR Based on Total Capital 19.094% NPV at 10% 304,452 85. The economic rate of return for a single home stay is 23.4%. The economic NCF for the 40 rooms developed by the Project is presented in Table 27 indicates that the home stay is economically justified. Table 28: Economic NCF for 10 Home-stays 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Number of 4 room home stays 0 2 2 2 4 NCF per Home stay (econ) 0 -287000 54860 57236 59612 61988 64364 73868 2009 development -574,000 109,720 114,472 119,224 123,976 128,728 2010 development -574,000 109,720 114,472 119,224 123,976 147,73 6 128,72 8 2011 development -574000 109720 114472 119224 123976 2012 development - 1148000 219440 228944 238448 NCF for Home stay program 0 -574000 -464280 -349808 -804584 577112 600872 638888 EIRR 23.254%
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Technical Assistance Consultant’s
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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (as at 1 June
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WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 15 mu = 1 hect
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APPENDIXES (PRESENTED IN SEPARATE V
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LOAN AND PROJECT SUMMARY Borrower P
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Implementation Arrangements The Sha
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Figure 1: Map 1 - The Project Area
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ix Figure 3: Map 3 - Google Image o
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Figure 5: Map 5 - Natural Plant Hab
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Figure 7: Map 7: Shaanxi Louguantai
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II. RATIONALE: SECTOR PERFORMANCE,
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maintain ever-increasing staff leve
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(xiii) lack of national, regional,
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low salaries, poor benefits and ina
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and mature product compared to othe
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into the Province’s tourism indus
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on Land Degradation in Dryland Ecos
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CNY 37million to CNY 64million in 2
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91. Revenue will be generated throu
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100. Improved Village and Forest-ba
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plan budget. Provision for this arr
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Component Sub-component Table 4: Pr
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Table 5: Project Investment Plan ($
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Qinling National Botanical Garden (
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Position Package A: Package A -SARC
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covered in these reports. Within 6
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water supplies, (v) a program to im
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160. Other risks relate to (i) the
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was between CNY 900 and CNY 1156 pe
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183. A major lesson from tourism re
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2 Design Summary Outputs Component
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4 Design Summary Component III: Ins
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6 TA 4721-PRC: Preparing the Shaanx
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TA 4721-PRC: Preparing the Shaanxi-
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4 Indigenous People 2 TA 4721-PRC:
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Page 391 and 392: i) Tourism 5. One of the strongest
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development under construction, (v)
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) Objective 50. The impact of the p
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60. The current animal rescue and e
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Source (PPTA Estimates) 69. The rev
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77. Institutional Strengthening The
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awareness and understanding of mark
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92. The main risk to the Project’
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modify the drivers of biodiversity
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Expected Project National Biodivers
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Strategic Objectives and Indicative
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after 5 years. It is suggested that
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the lessons from the Project. All m
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119. The SPG commitment is demonstr
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130. In output 1, GEF financing of
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Tracking Tool for GEF Biodiversity
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the current tourism portfolio. This
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Please answer YES or NO to each sta
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Ecological Function Conservation Ar
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ADB TA 4271 Shaanxi Qinling Biodive
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3 ADB TA 4271 Shaanxi Qinling Biodi
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11 ADB TA 4271 Shaanxi Qinling Biod
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Final Report - Asian Development Bank

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