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Download the file - United Nations Rule of Law

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Informalisation <strong>of</strong> Labour MarketsThere is a widespread assumption that <strong>the</strong>informal economy is counter-cyclical: that is, itexpands during economic down turns and contractsduring periods <strong>of</strong> economic growth. To besure, empirical evidence from a set <strong>of</strong> developedand developing countries indicates that <strong>the</strong> level<strong>of</strong> informal employment, taking self-employmentas a proxy indicator, decreases when GDPper capita goes up and vice versa. 23 However, asshown above, <strong>the</strong> informal economy is made up<strong>of</strong> both self-employed and wage workers, <strong>the</strong>rebydemonstrating limitations to <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> self-employmentalone as a proxy indicator. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<strong>the</strong> co-relationship between informal employmentand growth is not straightforward. Recent analyses<strong>of</strong> data over time from different developingcountries suggest a more complex and dynamicrelationship between informality and economicgrowth. While economic downturns are almost invariablyassociated with an expansion <strong>of</strong> employmentin <strong>the</strong> informal economy (due to <strong>the</strong> growthin survival activities), steady rates <strong>of</strong> economicgrowth may be accompanied, not by a reduction,but actually an expansion <strong>of</strong> employmentin <strong>the</strong> informal economy. This is because duringeconomic upswings, certain forms <strong>of</strong> informalemployment may expand, such as <strong>the</strong> more entrepreneurialsmall firms as well as sub-contractedand outsourced activities linked to <strong>the</strong> globalproduction system. 24 This may well demonstratethat increasingly <strong>the</strong> formal economy is enteringinto a symbiotic relationship with <strong>the</strong> informal,where <strong>the</strong> former makes use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> latter toimprove pr<strong>of</strong>its and growth strategies, perhapseven to avoid respecting labour standards andregulations. In <strong>the</strong>se countries, it was only aftera sustained period <strong>of</strong> higher levels <strong>of</strong> growth thataggregate informalisation declined. 25 This importantfinding is fur<strong>the</strong>r elaborated in Box 2.Box 2 Relationship betweeninformality and growth:Cross-country evidenceConsider <strong>the</strong> findings from 20 countries in Asia,Africa, and Latin America at two points in time— generally in <strong>the</strong> 1980s and <strong>the</strong> 1990s. Foreach <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> countries, <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> change in informalisationis compared to <strong>the</strong> average per capitaGDP growth (Heintz and Pollin 2003). Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>countries (14 out <strong>of</strong> 20) experienced growth in informalisation,while four experienced a decline and twoexperienced little, if any, change. What is interestingto note is that informalisation increased in threecountries with respectable per capita growth rates(>2 percent) and declined in two countries with poorper capita growth rates (

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