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Federalism and Local Politics in Russia

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Unification as a political project 95look unrealistic. The construction projects guaranteed by the federal centrehave slowed down. Perm Krai managed to attract the <strong>in</strong>terest of someF<strong>in</strong>nish <strong>in</strong>vestors to support its biggest <strong>in</strong>vestment project – the constructionof a new pulp <strong>and</strong> paper mill (the total project will cost about 700 milliondollars) but it is highly unlikely that the new mill will be located <strong>in</strong> theOkrug. 44 The Belkomur project that was part of the compromise agreement45 between the Oblast <strong>and</strong> the Okrug dur<strong>in</strong>g merger negotiations hasnot received sufficient <strong>in</strong>terest from the key Jo<strong>in</strong>t Stock Company, ‘<strong>Russia</strong>nRailways’, which is not will<strong>in</strong>g to support such an unprofitable project.Construction of a nuclear power station seems to be very speculative, as theOkrug doesn’t have enough <strong>in</strong>frastructural <strong>and</strong> human resources to back itup. Both projects cannot be realized without significant federal support.Therefore, the question arises – what are the economic ga<strong>in</strong>s of the merger ifall the really significant projects are fully dependent on federal support?Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the newly adopted consolidated budget of the Perm Krai for2007, the Komi-Permyak Okrug is due to receive 500 million roubles ofextra support, which constitutes a 50 per cent <strong>in</strong>crease. If the Okrug reta<strong>in</strong>edits status as an <strong>in</strong>dependent subject of the federation the <strong>in</strong>crease would bemuch smaller, between 8 <strong>and</strong> 11 per cent. Such an <strong>in</strong>crease reflects theOkrug’s special status with<strong>in</strong> the newly formed Krai, <strong>and</strong> the need for levell<strong>in</strong>gup, as the average <strong>in</strong>crease for other territories with<strong>in</strong> the Krai is 20 percent. However, while the Krai budget is will<strong>in</strong>g to support the Okrug’sdevelopment, the Okrug itself has very limited capacity to ‘absorb’ themoney by offer<strong>in</strong>g new <strong>in</strong>vestment projects <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructural development.46 At the same time the budgetary redistribution with<strong>in</strong> the Perm Kraibudget that is aimed at decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tra-regional differences (provid<strong>in</strong>g moref<strong>in</strong>ancial resources to the Komi-Permyak Okrug) would decrease the positiveoutcomes of the merger, as this redistribution would be at the expense ofother territories with<strong>in</strong> the Perm Krai.Therefore, the first jo<strong>in</strong>t-budget is based upon a typical mechanical redistribution<strong>and</strong> does not offer a new <strong>in</strong>stitutional framework to bolster theOkrug’s susta<strong>in</strong>able development. Moreover, the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> transfers fromthe regional to the Okrug’s budget is seen as a temporary solution <strong>and</strong> willhave a short-term economic effect on the Okrug’s development if any. Thus,the economic <strong>in</strong>dicators do not provide us with a clear answer regard<strong>in</strong>g theeconomic ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> losses aris<strong>in</strong>g from the merger.Unification as an elite projectOn the surface Perm <strong>and</strong> Komi-Permyak elites <strong>in</strong>itiated the process of unification,but one could argue that this <strong>in</strong>itiative was encouraged by thePresidential Adm<strong>in</strong>istration. President Vladimir Put<strong>in</strong> offered unconditionalsupport to the process as the merger fully complied with his major goal – thebuild<strong>in</strong>g of a ‘power vertical’, with regional enlargement as a key componentof his centraliz<strong>in</strong>g policy. Moreover, Put<strong>in</strong> openly demonstrated his support

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