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Federalism and Local Politics in Russia

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Leviathan’s return 17In spite of the fact that the susta<strong>in</strong>ed economic growth that <strong>Russia</strong> hasbeen experienc<strong>in</strong>g would be seen, objectively, as favour<strong>in</strong>g a major shift <strong>in</strong>the direction of decentralization (not least <strong>in</strong> fiscal terms 69 ), <strong>in</strong> fact it is theopposite which has occurred. This is borne out by the follow<strong>in</strong>g key examples(there are many more):• The Centre’s <strong>in</strong>sistence on regulat<strong>in</strong>g all utility tariffs, rather thanentrust<strong>in</strong>g responsibility to the regions.• Inter-regional budget equalization (the policy of negative transfers 70 ),<strong>in</strong>tended to redistribute budget funds from ‘rich’ to ‘poor’ regions.• Repeated proposals from the federal centre to <strong>in</strong>troduce temporaryf<strong>in</strong>ancial management of highly-subsidized region. The new Law onNatural Resources, which advocates the designation of such resources asexclusively federal, <strong>and</strong> the removal from the regional authorities of anydecision-mak<strong>in</strong>g role regard<strong>in</strong>g the grant<strong>in</strong>g of licenses or control overthe exploitation of m<strong>in</strong>eral deposits. 71To some extent these measures were determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the <strong>Russia</strong>n ‘politicalbus<strong>in</strong>ess cycle’. In the run-up to the federal elections of 2007–8 the Centrehad an <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g the ma<strong>in</strong> source of benefits for the regions <strong>and</strong> theirvoters, thereby assur<strong>in</strong>g its desired election result, 72 whilst the governorswould no longer have any such <strong>in</strong>centive, as they no longer depended on thepreferences of voters. But, apart from such short-term effects it is worthconsider<strong>in</strong>g some longer-term factors favour<strong>in</strong>g recentralization <strong>in</strong> <strong>Russia</strong>.These have more to do with the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g importance of natural resources<strong>in</strong> the country’s overall economic development. Insofar as the country is<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly dependent on energy-related exports, so the <strong>Russia</strong>n elite hasbecome more <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> concentrat<strong>in</strong>g the rents that may be extracted,<strong>and</strong> therefore <strong>in</strong> favour of long-term centralization. This has meant thatthe recentralization drive has cont<strong>in</strong>ued right up to the end of the 2007–8electoral cycle.What are the consequences of ‘new centralism’ <strong>in</strong> terms of politicaltransformation <strong>in</strong> <strong>Russia</strong>? One way of assess<strong>in</strong>g this would be to compare thebenefits (of reduced transaction costs <strong>in</strong> regional government) with the costs(<strong>in</strong> terms of greater central control). St<strong>and</strong>ardization of <strong>in</strong>stitutional designsignificantly narrowed the scope for diversity of regional regimes <strong>and</strong> governmentalsystems. By the mid-2000s the <strong>Russia</strong>n regions have undergonebureaucratic rationalization <strong>in</strong> the Weberian sense of homogenization ofrules <strong>and</strong> procedures. However, this homogenization was not brought aboutthrough <strong>in</strong>creased openness <strong>and</strong> transparency of policy <strong>and</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istration<strong>in</strong> notorious regional regimes such as those of Bashkortostan or Kalmykiya,but through the imposition of new ‘rules of the game’ on all regions withoutexception, regardless of results. 73 Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the Moscow Carnegie Centre,the decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the quality of democratic (especially electoral) processes thatoccurred <strong>in</strong> <strong>Russia</strong>n regions over the period 2001–5 occurred as a result of a

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