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Federalism and Local Politics in Russia

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Leviathan’s return 15the national policy also ceased to be a priority for the managerialists whowere becom<strong>in</strong>g more <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> preserv<strong>in</strong>g the status quo than <strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>gfurther reforms. Paradoxically, therefore, it was the early success of therecentralization campaign that h<strong>in</strong>dered its further advance.Aga<strong>in</strong>st this background, the abolition of direct gubernatorial elections,although decided <strong>in</strong> the autumn of 2004 as a response to a very specific setof circumstances, was nonetheless a logical culm<strong>in</strong>ation of the policy ofrecentralization. Although, from the po<strong>in</strong>t of view of effective adm<strong>in</strong>istration,it arguably added little that was new, its political consequences werequite predictable. First of all, the Centre m<strong>in</strong>imized political uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong>the regions, which would otherwise have arisen from unpredictable results ofcompetitive elections. In addition the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the political weight of theregional legislatures, which accompanied the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of the now appo<strong>in</strong>tedregional heads, served to strengthen the position of ‘United <strong>Russia</strong>’ (itwas no accident that <strong>in</strong> the autumn of 2005 there was a decision to give thepower of propos<strong>in</strong>g c<strong>and</strong>idates for the post of regional head to whicheverpolitical party had won a majority <strong>in</strong> the elections to the regional legislature).However, on a personal level little really changed <strong>in</strong> Centre–regionalrelations: <strong>in</strong> most regions the exist<strong>in</strong>g regional heads were reappo<strong>in</strong>ted. As ofOctober 2006, previous <strong>in</strong>cumbents had been appo<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>in</strong> thirty-four out offorty-n<strong>in</strong>e oblasts, 64 although several were subsequently dismissed. In additionall the exist<strong>in</strong>g heads of republics were appo<strong>in</strong>ted to their posts. Newleaders were only appo<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>in</strong> cases where the Centre had personal reservationsabout <strong>in</strong>dividual personalities (Ivanovo Oblast, Altai Republic) orwhere there was a serious conflict with<strong>in</strong> the regional elite (Saratov <strong>and</strong>Nizhegorodskaya Oblasts) (see Chapter 5).Appo<strong>in</strong>tment of a regional head ‘from outside’ (i.e. from outside theregion) has been untypical, <strong>and</strong> has only occurred <strong>in</strong> a small number of cases(Ivanovo, Nizhegorodskaya, Kal<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>grad Oblasts). This reflects not only alack of suitable c<strong>and</strong>idates at the Centre for regional posts, but also theCentre’s tendency towards risk aversion, <strong>and</strong> a desire to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> the statusquo <strong>in</strong> Centre–regional relations, whilst hold<strong>in</strong>g the appo<strong>in</strong>ted regionalheads responsible for the situation <strong>in</strong> the regions entrusted to them.By the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of 2006 the policy of recentralization <strong>in</strong> <strong>Russia</strong> had beentaken to its logical conclusion. If we leave to one side the unresolved problemsfac<strong>in</strong>g federal policy <strong>in</strong> the ethnic republics of the North Caucasus 65then it is possible to consider the vast majority of regions as fully subord<strong>in</strong>ateto the Centre, politically, economically <strong>and</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istratively. What,then, does this ‘new centralism’ mean for <strong>Russia</strong>n politics?‘New centralism’: costs <strong>and</strong> benefitsAt first sight the policy of recentralization may be seen to have resulted <strong>in</strong>the re-establishment of the managerialists’ dream of the ‘good’ Soviet Union.Regional <strong>and</strong> local autonomy has been replaced by a system of controls

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