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and Integrated Pest Management - part - usaid

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SAMPLING METIODS FOR P.ST SURVILLANCE INRICE 115<br />

STEMBORER<br />

hiuldamogod - I<br />

hillundamaged -0<br />

P 1 0.50 am 0.20 2 - -<br />

P 2 o2a ,- .o 3<br />

4 0-4<br />

20 5 0.5<br />

O7<br />

TREAT 8<br />

o'<br />

.1%<br />

-<br />

6 1 6<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

1.6<br />

2 7__<br />

3 ­ 7<br />

3-.8<br />

4 - 9<br />

4 - 9<br />

5 -. 10<br />

6-10<br />

15<br />

16<br />

6 -_11<br />

7 -_ 12<br />

NOTREATMENT<br />

17<br />

18<br />

19<br />

7 - 12<br />

8 -13<br />

9 -.13<br />

10 20<br />

NUMBER HILLS SAMPLED<br />

30<br />

(n)<br />

20<br />

21<br />

22<br />

23<br />

9_-.14<br />

10 - 14<br />

10 -15<br />

11 16<br />

Figure 2. Binomial sequential sampling plan for stemborcr in transplanted rice.<br />

Using the formulas given by Onsager (1975), the theoretical maximum<br />

number of sample units to be taken was estimated to be approximately 23.<br />

Thus, at certain infestation levels, the sequential sampling method requires a<br />

higher number of hills to be examined for stemborer damage than the currently<br />

used sampling method of the surveillance service of the De<strong>part</strong>ment of<br />

Agricultural Extension (Anon 1985). In the surveillance guidelines, a sample<br />

size of 10 hills is fixed <strong>and</strong> it is recommended that an additional 10 hills be<br />

examined if a mean close to the economic threshold resulted from the sampling<br />

of the first 10 hills. Therefore, the sequential sampling method can only be<br />

accepted if the reduced time for examination of one hill, as well as the reduced<br />

sample size for low <strong>and</strong> high infestation levels, result on average in a reduced<br />

sampling time per field.<br />

The sampling plan described above was developed for transplanted rice <strong>and</strong><br />

cannot be applied in direct seeded rice because, besides other factors, the sample<br />

unit a.id thcr,, fore also the economic threshold, are different. Preliminary results<br />

on developing a model indicate a linear relationship between mean number of<br />

deadhcearts per sample unit, a cluster of 10 tillers, <strong>and</strong> the proportion of infested<br />

sample units.<br />

SAMPLING FOR GALL MIDGE<br />

The same approach, as for stemborer, was followed in the development of a<br />

sequential sampling plan for rice gall imidge3 (Or.eolia oryzae). First, a model for

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