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The Economic Consequences of Homelessness in The US

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BB/Ba2 299 8.82%<br />

B/B2 404 31.24%<br />

CCC 724 n/a<br />

Sources: Basis spread from<br />

Federal Reserve Bank <strong>of</strong><br />

New York Quarterly Review,<br />

Summer-Fall 1994";<br />

Default rate from study<br />

by Moody's <strong>in</strong>vestment service<br />

Another study <strong>in</strong> Journal <strong>of</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ance calculated the additional <strong>in</strong>terest rate or "spread"<br />

corporate bonds pay over that <strong>of</strong> "riskless" <strong>US</strong> Treasury bonds, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the bonds<br />

rat<strong>in</strong>g. (See "Basis po<strong>in</strong>t spread" <strong>in</strong> table to right.) Look<strong>in</strong>g at rated bonds from 1973–<br />

89, the authors found a AAA rated bond paid only 43 "basis po<strong>in</strong>ts" (or 43/100th <strong>of</strong> a<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>t) over a Treasury bond (so that it would yield 3.43% if the Treasury<br />

yielded 3.00%). A CCC-rated "junk" (or speculative) bond on the other hand, paid over<br />

4% (404 basis po<strong>in</strong>ts) more than a Treasury on average over that period.<br />

Different rat<strong>in</strong>g agencies may use variations <strong>of</strong> an alphabetical comb<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> lower and<br />

upper case letters, with either plus or m<strong>in</strong>us signs or numbers added to further f<strong>in</strong>e tune<br />

the rat<strong>in</strong>g (see colored chart). <strong>The</strong> Standard & Poor's rat<strong>in</strong>g scale uses upper case<br />

letters and pluses and m<strong>in</strong>uses. <strong>The</strong> Moody's rat<strong>in</strong>g system uses numbers and lower<br />

case letters as well as upper case.<br />

While Moody's, S&P and Fitch Rat<strong>in</strong>gs control approximately 95% <strong>of</strong> the credit rat<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess, they are not the only rat<strong>in</strong>g agencies. DBRS's long-term rat<strong>in</strong>gs scale is<br />

somewhat similar to Standard & Poor's and Fitch Rat<strong>in</strong>gs with the words high and low<br />

replac<strong>in</strong>g the + and −. It goes as follows, from excellent to poor: AAA, AA(high), AA,<br />

AA(low), A(high), A, A(low), BBB(high), BBB, BBB(low), BB(high), BB, BB(low), B(high),<br />

B, B(low), CCC(high), CCC, CCC(low), CC(high), CC, CC(low), C(high), C, C(low) and<br />

D. <strong>The</strong> short-term rat<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong>ten maps to long-term rat<strong>in</strong>gs though there is room for<br />

exceptions at the high or low side <strong>of</strong> each equivalent.<br />

S&P, Moody's, Fitch and DBRS are the only four rat<strong>in</strong>gs agencies that are recognized<br />

by the European Central Bank for the purposes <strong>of</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g collateral requirements<br />

for banks to borrow from the central bank. <strong>The</strong> ECB uses a first, best rule among the<br />

four agencies that have the designated ECAI status. That means that it takes the<br />

highest rat<strong>in</strong>g among the four - S&P, Moody's, Fitch and DBRS - to determ<strong>in</strong>e haircuts<br />

and collateral requirements for borrow<strong>in</strong>g. Rat<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> Europe have been under close<br />

scrut<strong>in</strong>y, particularly the highest rat<strong>in</strong>gs given to countries like Spa<strong>in</strong>, Ireland and Italy<br />

because it affects how much banks can borrow aga<strong>in</strong>st sovereign debt they hold.<br />

A. M. Best rates from excellent to poor <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g manner: A++, A+, A, A−, B++,<br />

B+, B, B−, C++, C+, C, C−, D, E, F, and S. <strong>The</strong> CTRISKS rat<strong>in</strong>g system is as follows:<br />

CT3A, CT2A, CT1A, CT3B, CT2B, CT1B, CT3C, CT2C and CT1C. All these CTRISKS<br />

grades are mapped to one-year probability <strong>of</strong> default.<br />

Page 239 <strong>of</strong> 289

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