Mainly on the Elbe River - Central Europe

Graph 13 - Prognosis for GDP development in the EU until 2020
%
150,0
140,0
130,0
120,0
110,0
100,0
90,0
80,0
Source: CityPlan, spol. s r.o.
The alternatives of the GDP growth
the optimistic alternative
tthe middle alternative
varianta
the passimistic alternative
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
4.5.1 Long-term prognosis for transport volume development
The estimated transport volume until 2050 was derived from the expected development of GDP
in the EU (the reason for selecting year 2050 is current suspension of the Děčín navigable lock
project). The assumed year of realization is 2016, therefore, the period is long enough to reveal its
effects).
Chart 34 - Prognosis for development of transport volumes in the EU until 2050 (in %)
monitored years 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
the optimistic alternative 95,8 100,6 98,0 100,9 107,4 117,5 128,2 135,7 140,2 143,2 146,0 148,2
the pessimistic alternative 95,8 100,5 96,5 97,2 98,3 101,2 106,6 112,3 118,5 124,0 128,6 132,6
the middle alternative 95,8 100,5 97,3 99,1 102,9 109,3 117,4 124,0 129,4 133,6 137,3 140,4
monitored years 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
the optimistic alternative 150,0 151,5 152,9 154,0 155,0 156,0 156,5 156,9 157,2 157,6 158,0
the pessimistic alternative 136,2 139,2 141,5 143,4 145,6 146,8 147,6 148,3 148,7 149,2 149,2
the middle alternative 143,1 145,4 147,2 148,7 150,3 151,4 152,1 152,6 153,0 153,4 153,6
Source: CityPlan, spol. s r.o.
A feasibility study for “Improvement of Conditions for the River Transport in Central Europe (mainly on the Elbe
River)“ realized within the ChemLog project 157