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Proceedings of the 10th International Colloquium on Paratuberculosis

Proceedings of the 10th International Colloquium on Paratuberculosis

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#74 Ec<strong>on</strong>omic analysis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Johne’s disease c<strong>on</strong>trol strategies for dairy herds<br />

Jaesung Cho, Loren W. Tauer, Rebecca L. Smith, Zhao Lu, Ynte H. Schukken, Yrjo T. Grohn<br />

Cornell University, USA<br />

Johne's Disease (JD) is a challenge to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> dairy industry because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pervasive ec<strong>on</strong>omic loss it generates<br />

<strong>on</strong> dairy farms over extended periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> time. Effective c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten requires years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> diligent efforts. It is crucial<br />

for dairy producers to find ec<strong>on</strong>omically optimal strategies for JD c<strong>on</strong>trol that will reduce ec<strong>on</strong>omic losses<br />

and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>reby maximize pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>itability. The objective <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this study was to determine <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> most ec<strong>on</strong>omically optimal<br />

method for JD c<strong>on</strong>trol. A discrete optimal c<strong>on</strong>trol model was c<strong>on</strong>structed to maximize Net Present Value (NPV)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a farm pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it subject to ec<strong>on</strong>omic and producti<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>straints as well as equati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> moti<strong>on</strong> that model <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

dynamics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> MAP transmissi<strong>on</strong> within <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> dairy herd. A GAMS/MINOS program was coded to empirically solve<br />

this model for optimal c<strong>on</strong>trol strategies. C<strong>on</strong>trol strategies included test-based culling interventi<strong>on</strong> with annual,<br />

semi-annual, and quarterly MAP testing, improved calf hygiene practices as well as <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f-farm calf-rearing, both<br />

for a closed farm and an open farm. C<strong>on</strong>trol strategies were compared to determine <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> most effective method<br />

for JD c<strong>on</strong>trol over <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> extended planning durati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a dairy farm. Parameters related to JD such as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> rates<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> transiti<strong>on</strong> between JD states, and animal turnover in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> dynamic model <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> MAP transmissi<strong>on</strong>, were both<br />

obtained from previous literature and <strong>on</strong>going research at Cornell. The model allows evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> effective<br />

c<strong>on</strong>trols by farm characteristics. Results show that c<strong>on</strong>trol or eliminati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Johne's disease at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> farm level<br />

requires at least <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> JD c<strong>on</strong>trol strategies, o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rwise <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> disease spreads unchecked through <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> herd.<br />

The most cost effective c<strong>on</strong>trol depends up<strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic parameters, which varies by farm and year. C<strong>on</strong>trol<br />

tactics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten display interesting dynamics. Test and cull <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten produces a cyclical but damping pattern as calves<br />

become infected before diseased cows are identified and culled.<br />

209

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