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U.S. society over the lifetime <strong>of</strong> persons injured<br />

<strong>and</strong> killed in transportation-related incidents in<br />

1990 are estimated at $135 billion.<br />

Much work remains to be done to improve<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing about the causes <strong>of</strong> crashes <strong>and</strong><br />

how to prevent them. Analysis <strong>of</strong> data from police<br />

reports suggests that about 85 percent <strong>of</strong> the factors<br />

contributing to motor vehicle crashes were<br />

associated with the driver, 10 percent involved the<br />

road environment, <strong>and</strong> 5 percent involved the<br />

vehicle. We need to know more about the relationship<br />

between human factors <strong>and</strong> crashes,<br />

including substance abuse, fatigue, <strong>and</strong> the many<br />

complex elements that affect the way vehicle<br />

operators interact with the surrounding environment.<br />

As information about human factors<br />

improves, research priorities can be directed to<br />

projects where remedies would have the greatest<br />

potential to avoid crashes.<br />

While airline travel is among the safest means<br />

<strong>of</strong> passenger transportation, there has long been<br />

a difference between the safety records <strong>of</strong> major<br />

xviii<br />

TRANSPORTATION-RELATED FATALITIES<br />

Fatalities (thous<strong>and</strong>s)<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

�<br />

�All other transportationrelated<br />

Motor<br />

vehicle<br />

pmt<br />

4<br />

��<br />

��3<br />

1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994<br />

5<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Passenger-miles traveled–pmt (trillion)<br />

SOURCE: See chapter 1, figure 1-3 <strong>and</strong> chapter 3, <strong>table</strong> 3-4.<br />

air carriers <strong>and</strong> commuter airlines, which in<br />

recent years have grown rapidly in revenue passenger-miles.<br />

Commuter airlines in the past<br />

were not required to adhere to the same safety<br />

requirements as major carriers. New commuter<br />

airline safety st<strong>and</strong>ards, promulgated in<br />

December 1995 by the Federal Aviation<br />

Administration (FAA), will be phased in over<br />

the next few years to bring commuter airlines<br />

under the same st<strong>and</strong>ards, except where common<br />

sense dictates different requirements.<br />

Energy <strong>and</strong> Transportation<br />

U.S. dependence on imported oil has grown<br />

over the last decade. Imported oil as a share <strong>of</strong><br />

total U.S. consumption increased from a low <strong>of</strong><br />

27 percent in 1985 to 45 percent in 1994—just<br />

slightly shy <strong>of</strong> the historic high reached in 1977.<br />

Because transportation energy use is increasing<br />

<strong>and</strong> domestic oil production continues to decline,<br />

U.S. reliance on imports is likely to continue in<br />

the future. The Energy Information Agency projects<br />

that imported oil will supply about 60 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> U.S. oil dem<strong>and</strong> by the year 2005.<br />

While other sectors shifted away from oil over<br />

the past two decades, the transportation sector<br />

remains almost entirely dependent on petroleum.<br />

In 1994, transportation used 22.7 quadrillion Btu<br />

(quads) <strong>of</strong> petroleum products to satisfy 97 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> its energy requirements. Transportation<br />

accounts for about two-thirds <strong>of</strong> total U.S. oil<br />

consumption.<br />

Highway vehicles account for the largest<br />

share <strong>of</strong> transportation energy use, followed distantly<br />

by air transport. For example, passenger<br />

cars use 42 percent <strong>of</strong> total transportation energy;<br />

light trucks, 20 percent; <strong>and</strong> heavier trucks,<br />

16 percent.<br />

Transportation energy use in the last two<br />

decades increased only half as much as would be<br />

expected, based on the growth in passenger travel,<br />

because <strong>of</strong> improvements in energy efficiency<br />

<strong>and</strong> changes in the modal structure. Most <strong>of</strong>

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