The Effects of Sanction Intensity on Criminal Conduct - JDAI Helpdesk

Table 3.6: Predictive Ability at Alternative Thresholds (UCR Part I Offenses)
Cutpoint
Positive
Predictive
Value (%)
Negative
Predictive
Value (%)
Sensitivity
(%)
Specificity
(%)
False
Positives
(%)
False
Negatives
(%)
0.05 88.3 - 100.0 0.0 11.7 -
0.1 88.3 - 100.0 0.0 11.7 -
0.15 88.3 - 100.0 0.0 11.7 -
0.2 88.4 60.0 99.9 1.0 11.6 40.0
0.25 88.8 29.3 98.2 5.6 11.3 70.7
0.3 89.1 22.2 94.1 12.8 10.9 77.8
0.35 89.5 18.5 86.9 22.6 10.5 81.5
0.4 90.1 18.1 79.9 33.8 9.9 81.9
0.45 90.4 16.4 71.3 42.6 9.6 83.6
0.5 90.9 15.7 63.0 52.1 9.1 84.3
0.55 91.4 14.6 50.6 63.9 8.6 85.4
0.6 92.0 13.9 39.3 74.1 8.0 86.1
0.65 91.5 12.9 29.4 79.3 8.5 87.1
0.7 92.7 12.7 20.4 87.9 7.3 87.3
0.75 93.7 12.4 12.9 93.4 6.3 87.6
0.8 95.7 12.2 7.7 97.4 4.3 87.8
0.85 93.2 11.8 2.9 98.4 6.8 88.2
0.9 100.0 11.7 1.0 100.0 0.0 88.3
0.95 100.0 11.7 0.0 100.0 0.0 88.3
176