The Effects of Sanction Intensity on Criminal Conduct - JDAI Helpdesk
The Effects of Sanction Intensity on Criminal Conduct - JDAI Helpdesk
The Effects of Sanction Intensity on Criminal Conduct - JDAI Helpdesk
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Instrumental Variables Model: Prevalence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Recidivism (Drug Offenses, 2-Year Follow-<br />
Up, Original Table 2.16)<br />
First Stage<br />
Treatment Take-Up<br />
Reduced Form (ITT)<br />
Post-RA Drug Off.<br />
Observati<strong>on</strong>s = 1,559 Observati<strong>on</strong>s = 1,559<br />
R 2 = .665 R 2 = .023<br />
Adjusted R 2 = .651 Adjusted R 2 = .012<br />
Instruments b (S.E.) b (S.E.)<br />
Assigned LIS .812 (.089)*** -.054 (.088)<br />
Assigned LIS*West -.086 (.035)* .027 (.035)<br />
Assigned LIS*Male .012 (.032) .034 (.032)<br />
Assigned LIS*White -.023 (.038) .018 (.038)<br />
Assigned LIS*Age -.000 (.001) .000 (.001)<br />
Assigned LIS*Income20 .032 (.058) .004 (.057)<br />
Assigned LIS*Income30 .083 (.061) -.010 (.060)<br />
Assigned LIS*Income40 .033 (.067) -.013 (.066)<br />
Assigned LIS*Prior <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fending .200 (.093)* .006 (.092)<br />
Exogenous<br />
West probati<strong>on</strong> regi<strong>on</strong> .055 (.025)* -.016 (.025)<br />
Male .004 (.023) .039 (.023)<br />
White .007 (.027) .009 (.027)<br />
Age at RA .001 (.001) -.003 (.001)**<br />
Income $20,000-$29,999 -.007 (.040) -.046 (.040)<br />
Income $30,000-$39,999 -.013 (.042) -.060 (.042)<br />
Income $40,000 or more -.005 (.047) -.098 (.047)*<br />
M<strong>on</strong>thly <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fending rate 1 year<br />
pre-RA (drug <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fense)<br />
-.010 (.055) .006 (.055)<br />
C<strong>on</strong>stant -.052 (.064) .254 (.064)***<br />
Sec<strong>on</strong>d-Stage Instrumental Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> observati<strong>on</strong>s = 1,559<br />
Variables Regressi<strong>on</strong> Wald χ 2 (9 d.f.) = 34.39<br />
Pr > χ 2 = .000<br />
New Charged Drug Offense R 2 = .102<br />
Term b S. E z p<br />
Predicted treatment take-up -.013 .018 -.71 .475<br />
C<strong>on</strong>stant .230 .044 5.21 .000<br />
C<strong>on</strong>trolling for regi<strong>on</strong>, gender, race, age, SES and <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fending history.<br />
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