PIOJ Growth-Inducement Strategy - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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Table 6.2. Employed Labour Force by Industry Group, October 2008 - April 2010 Industries Wholesale & Retail, Repair of Motor Vehicle, Cycle, Personal & Household Goods October 2008 April 2010 Jobs Lost 219,500 205,000 -14,500 Construction and Installation 105,700 92,900 -12,800 Transport, Storage and Communication 84,200 72,000 -12,200 Health & Social Work 33,600 22,500 -11,100 Other Community, Social and Personal Service Activities 58,400 49,200 -9,200 Mining & Quarrying 9,300 3,000 -6,300 Education 72,200 66,500 -5,700 Manufacturing 81,100 76,000 -5,100 Private Households with Employed Persons 63,600 59,400 -4,200 Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 9,100 6,600 -2,500 Real Estate, Renting & Business Activities 54,700 52,200 -2,500 Industry Not Specified (Incl. Extra-Territorial Bodies) 6,400 4,200 -2,200 Public Administration & Defence; Compulsory Social Security 52,900 51,100 -1,800 Hotels & Restaurants Services 78,600 79,000 400 Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing 223,600 224,500 900 Financial Intermediation 21,600 23,800 2,200 Total Employed Labour Force 1,174,500 1,087,900 -86,600 Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica Three industries recorded increases in employment over the period, Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing, Hotels & Restaurants Services, and Finance & Insurance Industries. This increase in employment is consistent with the value added recorded within the industries over the period. 4.4 Decrease in Loans & Advances: Since the intensification of the impact of the global recession on the Jamaican economy, the stock of Loans & Advances to the Productive sector have tapered off (see Figure 4) indicating the general ‘wait and see’ approach adopted by the business sector in light of the uncertainty of the extent of future job cuts and its impact on aggregate demand. Additionally, the recession has put a downward pressure on prices, thus adversely affecting the value of collateral which negatively impact investors’ chances of getting a loan. 89
J$ million Mar-10 Dec-09 Sep-09 Jun-09 Mar-09 Dec-08 Sep-08 Jun-08 Mar-08 Dec-07 Sep-07 Jun-07 Mar-07 Dec-06 Sep-06 Jun-06 Mar-06 Dec-05 Sep-05 Jun-05 Mar-05 Dec-04 Jun-10 May-10 Apr-10 Mar-10 Feb-10 Jan-10 Dec-09 Nov-09 Oct-09 Sep-09 Aug-09 Jul-09 Jun-09 May-09 Apr-09 Mar-09 Feb-09 Jan-09 Dec-08 Nov-08 Oct-08 Sep-08 Aug-08 Jul-08 Jun-08 May-08 Apr-08 Mar-08 Feb-08 Jan-08 FIGURE 4: LOANS TO THE PRODUCTIVE SECTORS 150,000.00 120,000.00 90,000.00 60,000.00 30,000.00 0.00 4.5 Increase in Real Commercial Interest Rate: Real interest rate reached 5.5 per cent in March 2010 (see Figure 5), turned downwards to 4.9 per cent in June 2010 but has started to turn up again, reflecting a faster decline in inflation than the nominal interest rate, which is expected to continue in the short-term. FIGURE 5: REAL COMMERCIAL INTEREST RATE 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% Months 90
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i A GROWTH-INDUCEMENT STRATEGY FOR
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To the many ordinary Jamaicans who
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Preface The Jamaican economy has ex
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for making a determined start on th
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the private sector groups, listed b
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Citibank N.A. Jamaica Branch Grace
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need for “additional fiscal space
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Chapter 2 ________________ Summary
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1.0 The Economic Situation Today 1.
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expected to provide an essential an
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Table 2.1. The Policy Framework: A
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programme of social inclusion that
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Strategic Focus Table 2.2. Growth S
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6.0 Short-Term Growth Stimulus 6.1
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decline of 2.0 - 2.2 percentage poi
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Table 2A.2. NWA Projects To be Fast
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Table 2A.5. Community Renewal Proje
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Table 2B.3. Impact of Repairing Far
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Appendix 2C Methodology of the Grow
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Part I _________ Overview 28
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2.0 Vision 2030 Jamaica Before delv
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3.0 May 2010 Security Event and Aft
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the longer than anticipated global
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April July October January April Ju
Page 49 and 50: Three industries recorded increases
Page 51 and 52: 9.0 Proposals for Growth-Stimulus I
Page 53 and 54: targeted economic and social infras
Page 55 and 56: partnering with government to disco
Page 57 and 58: 3.0 Growth Inducement Strategy The
Page 59 and 60: Growth-Inducement Strategy Alignmen
Page 61 and 62: 50 Part II _________ Situational An
Page 63 and 64: inadequate provision of public infr
Page 65 and 66: 2.0 Macroeconomic Assessment 2.1 In
Page 67 and 68: Increased global oil consumption wa
Page 69 and 70: $4,742.0 million and $688.4 million
Page 71 and 72: Non -Traditional Domestic Exports E
Page 73 and 74: negative impact of the Jamaica Debt
Page 75 and 76: ethanol and paint, whereas lower de
Page 77 and 78: Analysis of preliminary GCT data re
Page 79 and 80: The number of ship calls to the isl
Page 81 and 82: industry was, however, estimated to
Page 83 and 84: 4.0 Projected Performance 4.1 Calen
Page 85 and 86: increased marketing and extension s
Page 87 and 88: Electricity & Water For FY 2010/11,
Page 89 and 90: J$ Million Figure 5.1. Private Sect
Page 91 and 92: 2011/12). These extreme weather eve
Page 93 and 94: Chapter 6 ________________ Assessme
Page 95 and 96: creates allocative inefficiencies,
Page 97 and 98: Million $ Per cent Jun-10 Mar-10 De
Page 99: Table 6.1. Employed Labour Force by
Page 103 and 104: FIGURE 7: GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS RA
Page 105 and 106: 4.10.2. However, the extent of the
Page 107 and 108: Part III ____________ Analytical Fr
Page 109 and 110: functional relationship between the
Page 111 and 112: It follows that: (5) s = I/Y = [S -
Page 113 and 114: However, the existence of measureme
Page 115 and 116: (d) v* = Y*/K* This is a measure of
Page 117 and 118: in Chapter 8. The mutual interactio
Page 119 and 120: Transforming the complex set of str
Page 121 and 122: Appendix 7A A Methodological Note T
Page 123 and 124: Chapter 8 ____________________ Asse
Page 125 and 126: The DBI focuses more narrowly on qu
Page 127 and 128: to ask, is it possible to predict g
Page 129 and 130: can be made to serve a very useful
Page 131 and 132: For further elaboration of the cons
Page 133 and 134: progressive Jamaica-based firms and
Page 135 and 136: Table 8.2. Jamaica: Doing Business,
Page 137 and 138: Table 8.4. Global Competitiveness I
Page 139 and 140: Table 8.5 (continued) Rank Indicato
Page 141 and 142: Rank* Constraint Table 8.7 Business
Page 143 and 144: Chapter 9 ___________________ Inter
Page 145 and 146: 3.0 The Burdens of LAC’s Logistic
Page 147 and 148: conditions. These combined with a p
Page 149 and 150: Figure 9.4. Proportion of Primary A
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6.0 Logistics are Essential for Tou
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7.0 Fundamental Steps Forward for J
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Part IV ________________ Policies a
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Current Status: Cabinet by decision
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e more than compensated for by the
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B ____________________ Eliminating
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Commercial Bank loan rates have als
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5.0 Expected Outcomes These measure
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capital, mainly in the form of equi
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oth local and overseas (including t
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Table C.1. Proposed Implementation
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Locally, the Scientific Research Co
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Develop formal and informal links t
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D ____________________ Business Pro
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5.0 Recommendations Based on the ma
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2.5 Coexistent with the levels of u
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industry as well as provide funding
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Table E.2. Unemployed Labour Force
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indirect losses experienced when th
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Table F.1 (continued) Area Type of
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G ____________________ Community Re
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Figure G.1 Community Renewal Progra
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Table G.1 Priority Initiatives Obje
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Table G.2 Phased Implementation Pla
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H ____________________ Proposed Wes
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3.0 Transparency Guarantees By desi
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and Coordinating Unit (PCMU) was es
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therefore need to have sanctioned o
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Figure I.1. Functions of National P
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The rationalisation was guided by t
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deliver services in an efficient an
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efurbishing to allow for accommodat
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Part V _______________ Panelists’
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With the benefit of hindsight, some
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ight. Where we as a society fail is
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and exclusion of the majority of th
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the elders, youth, children. What f
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C __________________ Enhancing Nati
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Figure C.1. National resilience is
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PIOJ Growth-Inducement Strategy - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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