PIOJ Growth-Inducement Strategy - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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Appendix 2B Impact Assessment of Short-term Measures: Detailed Tables Table 2B.1. Value Added & Employment Impact of NWA - PL1 Projects Projects IDB 2026 TIRP Scotts Cove - Belmont IDB 2026 TIRP Sheffield - Negril JDIP - Scheme Road rehabilitation JDIP - Fairview Housing Scheme Drainage Plan JDIP - Ocho Rios Road and Drain Improvement CDB - Tropical Storm Nicole Rehabilitation IDB 2026 TIRP - Big Pond/Old Harbour Drainage improvement scheme Increase in Expenditure on Value Added from expenditure jobs Construction (J$ Million) Activities Lower bound Upper bound (J$Million) 100 - 134 285.00 356.95 746.70 167 - 200 408.03 511.04 1,069.03 300 365.08 457.24 956.50 200 1,105.00 1,383.98 2,895.10 200 408.00 511.01 1,068.96 1,002 412.32 516.42 1,080.28 100 309.24 387.31 810.21 TOTAL 3,292.66 4,123.95 8,626.77 Source: PIOJ estimates based on data provided by the National Works Agency Table 2B.2. Value Added & Employment Impact of NWA - PL2 Projects Projects Increase in jobs Expenditure on Construction Activities (J$Million) Value Added from expenditure (J$ Million) Lower bound Upper bound OPEC Phase 2 May Pen - Trout Hall 502 3, 229.84 4, 045.27 8, 462.18 Tom's River to Agualta Vale 502 2, 473.92 3, 098.51 6, 481.67 TOTAL 5,703.76 7,141.78 14,943.85 Source: PIOJ estimates based on data provided by the National Works Agency 23
Table 2B.3. Impact of Repairing Farm Roads (J$Million) Projects Expenditure on Construction Activities (J$Million) Value Added from expenditure (J$ Million) Lower bound Upper bound All roads 3,882.17 5,497.65 10,171.29 Priority Roads 2,496.06 3,534.74 6,539.68 Source: PIOJ estimates based on data provided by the National Works Agency Parish Table 2B..4. Impact of Repairing Farm Roads, by Parish Distance (km) All Farm Roads Cost (J$ Million) Value Added (J$ Million) Distance ( km) Priority Farm Roads Cost (J$ Million) Value Added (J$ Million) St. Andrew 140.9 276.16 391.08 54.8 107.41 152.10 St. Thomas 161.1 315.76 447.15 142.5 279.30 395.52 Portland 311.8 611.13 865.44 82.0 160.72 227.60 St. Mary 296.4 580.94 822.69 257.0 503.72 713.33 St. Ann 87.6 171.70 243.14 87.2 170.91 242.03 St. Catherine 262.2 513.91 727.77 85.6 167.78 237.59 Clarendon 54.5 106.82 151.27 23.0 45.08 63.84 Manchester 31.8 62.33 88.26 27.4 53.70 76.05 Trelawny 89.3 175.03 247.86 32.0 62.72 88.82 St. James 65.5 128.38 181.80 42.5 83.30 117.96 Hanover 149.6 293.22 415.23 149.6 293.22 415.23 Westmoreland 63.8 125.05 177.08 23.7 46.45 65.78 St. Elizabeth 266.2 521.75 738.87 266.2 521.75 738.87 TOTAL 1,980.7 3,882.17 5,497.65 1,273.5 2,496.06 3,534.74 Source: PIOJ estimates based on data provided by the National Works Agency Agency Table 2B.5. Impact of the CRP by Projects Expenditure on Infrastructure & Social Activities Value Added from Expenditure (J$Million) Lower bound Upper bound CSJP 472.00 710.35 1,236.64 JSIF 335.00 486.29 877.70 JBDC/DBJ 100.00 155.59 262.00 SDC 85.00 132.25 222.70 MOH 85.00 132.25 222.70 MOY 100.00 155.59 262.00 MOWH/UDC/NHT 100.00 141.61 262.00 TOTAL 1,227.00 1,913.95 3,214.74 Source: Compiled by the PIOJ 24
Page 1 and 2: i A GROWTH-INDUCEMENT STRATEGY FOR
Page 3 and 4: To the many ordinary Jamaicans who
Page 5 and 6: Preface The Jamaican economy has ex
Page 7 and 8: for making a determined start on th
Page 9 and 10: the private sector groups, listed b
Page 11 and 12: Citibank N.A. Jamaica Branch Grace
Page 13 and 14: need for “additional fiscal space
Page 15 and 16: Chapter 2 ________________ Summary
Page 17 and 18: 1.0 The Economic Situation Today 1.
Page 19 and 20: expected to provide an essential an
Page 21 and 22: Table 2.1. The Policy Framework: A
Page 23 and 24: programme of social inclusion that
Page 25 and 26: Strategic Focus Table 2.2. Growth S
Page 27 and 28: 6.0 Short-Term Growth Stimulus 6.1
Page 29 and 30: decline of 2.0 - 2.2 percentage poi
Page 31 and 32: Table 2A.2. NWA Projects To be Fast
Page 33: Table 2A.5. Community Renewal Proje
Page 37 and 38: Appendix 2C Methodology of the Grow
Page 39 and 40: Part I _________ Overview 28
Page 41 and 42: 2.0 Vision 2030 Jamaica Before delv
Page 43 and 44: 3.0 May 2010 Security Event and Aft
Page 45 and 46: the longer than anticipated global
Page 47 and 48: April July October January April Ju
Page 49 and 50: Three industries recorded increases
Page 51 and 52: 9.0 Proposals for Growth-Stimulus I
Page 53 and 54: targeted economic and social infras
Page 55 and 56: partnering with government to disco
Page 57 and 58: 3.0 Growth Inducement Strategy The
Page 59 and 60: Growth-Inducement Strategy Alignmen
Page 61 and 62: 50 Part II _________ Situational An
Page 63 and 64: inadequate provision of public infr
Page 65 and 66: 2.0 Macroeconomic Assessment 2.1 In
Page 67 and 68: Increased global oil consumption wa
Page 69 and 70: $4,742.0 million and $688.4 million
Page 71 and 72: Non -Traditional Domestic Exports E
Page 73 and 74: negative impact of the Jamaica Debt
Page 75 and 76: ethanol and paint, whereas lower de
Page 77 and 78: Analysis of preliminary GCT data re
Page 79 and 80: The number of ship calls to the isl
Page 81 and 82: industry was, however, estimated to
Page 83 and 84: 4.0 Projected Performance 4.1 Calen
Page 85 and 86:
increased marketing and extension s
Page 87 and 88:
Electricity & Water For FY 2010/11,
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J$ Million Figure 5.1. Private Sect
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2011/12). These extreme weather eve
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Chapter 6 ________________ Assessme
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creates allocative inefficiencies,
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Million $ Per cent Jun-10 Mar-10 De
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Table 6.1. Employed Labour Force by
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J$ million Mar-10 Dec-09 Sep-09 Jun
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FIGURE 7: GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS RA
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4.10.2. However, the extent of the
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Part III ____________ Analytical Fr
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functional relationship between the
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It follows that: (5) s = I/Y = [S -
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However, the existence of measureme
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(d) v* = Y*/K* This is a measure of
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in Chapter 8. The mutual interactio
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Transforming the complex set of str
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Appendix 7A A Methodological Note T
Page 123 and 124:
Chapter 8 ____________________ Asse
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The DBI focuses more narrowly on qu
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to ask, is it possible to predict g
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can be made to serve a very useful
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For further elaboration of the cons
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progressive Jamaica-based firms and
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Table 8.2. Jamaica: Doing Business,
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Table 8.4. Global Competitiveness I
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Table 8.5 (continued) Rank Indicato
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Rank* Constraint Table 8.7 Business
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Chapter 9 ___________________ Inter
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3.0 The Burdens of LAC’s Logistic
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conditions. These combined with a p
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Figure 9.4. Proportion of Primary A
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6.0 Logistics are Essential for Tou
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7.0 Fundamental Steps Forward for J
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Part IV ________________ Policies a
Page 157 and 158:
Current Status: Cabinet by decision
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e more than compensated for by the
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B ____________________ Eliminating
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Commercial Bank loan rates have als
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5.0 Expected Outcomes These measure
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capital, mainly in the form of equi
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oth local and overseas (including t
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Table C.1. Proposed Implementation
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Locally, the Scientific Research Co
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Develop formal and informal links t
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D ____________________ Business Pro
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5.0 Recommendations Based on the ma
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2.5 Coexistent with the levels of u
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industry as well as provide funding
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Table E.2. Unemployed Labour Force
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indirect losses experienced when th
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Table F.1 (continued) Area Type of
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G ____________________ Community Re
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Figure G.1 Community Renewal Progra
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Table G.1 Priority Initiatives Obje
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Table G.2 Phased Implementation Pla
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H ____________________ Proposed Wes
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3.0 Transparency Guarantees By desi
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and Coordinating Unit (PCMU) was es
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therefore need to have sanctioned o
Page 207 and 208:
Figure I.1. Functions of National P
Page 209 and 210:
The rationalisation was guided by t
Page 211 and 212:
deliver services in an efficient an
Page 213 and 214:
efurbishing to allow for accommodat
Page 215 and 216:
Part V _______________ Panelists’
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With the benefit of hindsight, some
Page 219 and 220:
ight. Where we as a society fail is
Page 221 and 222:
and exclusion of the majority of th
Page 223 and 224:
the elders, youth, children. What f
Page 225 and 226:
C __________________ Enhancing Nati
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Figure C.1. National resilience is
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