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PIOJ Growth-Inducement Strategy - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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moment which demands re-orienting our economic policy towards a sharpened focus on<br />

enhancing growth as the necessary basis for realizing sustained improvements in the<br />

social well-being <strong>of</strong> citizens, consistent with the goals <strong>of</strong> Vision 2030.<br />

2.2 The strategy recognizes the binding constraints that the economy now faces, not<br />

the least <strong>of</strong> which come from tight and restrictive conditionalities <strong>of</strong> the IMF programme.<br />

However, it simultaneously appreciates and exploits unique opportunities arising from<br />

the current situation which have combined to create important avenues for economic<br />

recovery.<br />

2.3 Specifically, ongoing fiscal consolidation and improvements in budgetary<br />

management have resulted in significant reduction in the interest yield on financial<br />

instruments <strong>of</strong>fered by government and BOJ, hence in the cost <strong>of</strong> government financing<br />

activities. This, in turn, has forced private capital into a search for new opportunities to<br />

earn competitive returns. The ongoing recession has also created significant liquidity in<br />

the portfolio <strong>of</strong> development banks as they experience a drop-<strong>of</strong>f in demand for funds to<br />

support traditional venture economic activities, thus similarly forcing them into<br />

identifying new ways and economic activities for creating value.<br />

2.4 Hence, an economic stimulus and recovery strategy that is aimed at facilitating<br />

increased private-sector investment in real sector activities, and development bank<br />

financing partnership, could provide a rich vein for economic recovery without excessive<br />

new demands for central government support either in finances or through fiscal space.<br />

2.5 At its core, the strategy recognizes a basic fact, i.e. that there exists a sizeable<br />

pool <strong>of</strong> latently available and potentially productive assets - financial assets, physical<br />

capital, buildings, labour, and land - that currently lie fallow, dormant, and/or<br />

underutilized and/or wasted. There also exists throughout the economy, in big, medium,<br />

and small businesses, entrepreneurial talent ready to act to bring these assets to fruition in<br />

productive activities. Foreign investors and diaspora partners have also shown an active<br />

interest. In some widely reported cases, creative moves in this direction are already being<br />

made in various sectors <strong>of</strong> the economy, as is evident, for instance, in a recent run <strong>of</strong> nine<br />

successful IPOs (with ten more expected in 2011) and in the revival <strong>of</strong> the real estate<br />

market in downtown Kingston. The strategy seeks to strengthen and accelerate these<br />

positive developments by setting in place the necessary support framework to mobilize<br />

potentially productive assets and unleash entrepreneurial dynamism.<br />

2.6 This dynamic combination <strong>of</strong> factors constitutes a solid base on which to begin to<br />

build a platform for growth. However, there are significant constraints, real and<br />

perceived, which stand in the way <strong>of</strong> realizing this potential. Of these, the single most<br />

important is the cost <strong>of</strong> crime. It is estimated to cost the economy between 5 and 7 per<br />

cent in gross output. A systematic approach to crime reduction is being taken by<br />

Government, with noticeable gains now being realized. Ongoing actions and plans now<br />

in place should yield further gains, hence advance further towards normalization <strong>of</strong><br />

criminality and, thereby, enhance the climate for conduct <strong>of</strong> business as well as the daily<br />

life <strong>of</strong> citizens. In this context, the proposed Community Renewal Programme is<br />

7

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