PIOJ Growth-Inducement Strategy - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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Table E.1 Select Labour Force Indicators, 2009–2010 Indicator 2009 2010 January April July October January April July TOTAL POPULATION 2,692,400 2,694,000 2,695,600 2,697,200 2,698,800 2,700,400 2,702,100 Population 14 years and over 1,996,800 1,998,000 1,999,200 2,000,400 2,001,600 2,002,800 2,004,100 Labour Force 1,280,600 1,267,900 1,272,800 1,257,900 1,261,600 1,242,000 1,255,000 Employed Labour Force 1,138,100 1,122,900 1,128,900 1,112,200 1,091,600 1,087,900 1,109,200 Unemployed Labour Force 142,500 145,100 143,900 145,700 169,900 154,100 145,900 Outside The Labour Force 716,200 730,100 726,400 742,500 740,000 760,800 749,100 Labour Force with Certification 259,800 263,600 245,000 253,600 256,800 261,100 266,800 Employment Rate 88.9 88.6 88.7 88.4 86.5 87.6 88.4 Unemployment Rate 11.1 11.4 11.3 11.6 13.5 12.4 11.6 Job Seeking Rate 6.5 7.4 7.8 7.2 8.6 7.7 6.9 Percentage of Population under 14 years 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 Percentage of Population age 14 years & over 74.2 74.2 74.2 74.2 74.2 74.2 74.2 Percentage of Population 14 + outside of labour force 35.9 36.5 36.3 37.1 37.0 38.0 37.4 Labour Force as % of Total Population 47.6 47.1 47.2 46.6 46.7 46.0 46.4 Labour Force as % of Population 14+ 64.1 63.5 63.7 62.9 63.0 62.0 62.6 Note: Data for July 2010 are preliminary. Data for April, July & October 2009 are adjusted. Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica. 173
Table E.2. Unemployed Labour Force by Age, 2009-2010 Age Group 2009 2010 January April July October January April July BOTH SEXES 14 - 19 15,600 15,300 14,200 14,700 15,200 12,500 12,800 20 - 24 29,200 28,400 33,700 35,700 34,900 39,000 34,700 25 - 34 48,800 51,500 45,800 43,600 56,800 47,100 47,200 35 - 44 29,600 30,000 31,700 31,900 40,700 34,700 31,700 45 - 54 11,800 12,300 12,900 13,200 15,300 13,700 12,700 55 - 64 5,000 4,900 4,200 4,600 4,700 5,900 5,600 65 and over 2,500 2,700 1,400 2,000 2,300 1,200 1,200 TOTAL 142,500 145,100 143,900 145,700 169,900 154,100 145,900 MALE 14 - 19 7,700 8,800 7,600 7,300 7,800 7,400 7,300 20 - 24 12,400 13,700 15,600 14,400 14,500 17,500 14,200 25 - 34 18,100 21,300 17,400 14,100 21,800 17,700 15,500 35 - 44 10,900 10,400 9,900 9,600 16,600 10,200 10,200 45 - 54 5,600 4,900 5,100 6,000 7,400 6,000 5,200 55 - 64 2,900 3,300 2,300 2,600 2,800 3,500 2,700 65 and over 1,700 1,700 900 1,700 1,400 800 700 TOTAL 59,300 64,100 58,800 55,700 72,300 63,100 55,800 FEMALE 14 - 19 7,900 6,500 6,600 7,400 7,400 5,100 5,500 20 - 24 16,800 14,700 18,100 21,300 20,400 21,500 20,500 25 - 34 30,700 30,200 28,400 29,500 35,000 29,400 31,700 35 - 44 18,700 19,600 21,800 22,300 24,100 24,500 21,500 45 - 54 6,200 7,400 7,800 7,200 7,900 7,700 7,500 55 - 64 2,100 1,600 1,900 2,000 1,900 2,400 2,900 65 and over 800 1,000 500 300 900 400 500 TOTAL 83,200 81,000 85,100 90,000 97,600 91,000 90,100 Note: Data for July 2010 are preliminary. Data for April, July and October 2009 are adjusted. Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica. 174
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i A GROWTH-INDUCEMENT STRATEGY FOR
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To the many ordinary Jamaicans who
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Preface The Jamaican economy has ex
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for making a determined start on th
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the private sector groups, listed b
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Citibank N.A. Jamaica Branch Grace
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need for “additional fiscal space
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Chapter 2 ________________ Summary
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1.0 The Economic Situation Today 1.
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expected to provide an essential an
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Table 2.1. The Policy Framework: A
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programme of social inclusion that
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Strategic Focus Table 2.2. Growth S
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6.0 Short-Term Growth Stimulus 6.1
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decline of 2.0 - 2.2 percentage poi
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Table 2A.2. NWA Projects To be Fast
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Table 2A.5. Community Renewal Proje
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Table 2B.3. Impact of Repairing Far
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Appendix 2C Methodology of the Grow
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Part I _________ Overview 28
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2.0 Vision 2030 Jamaica Before delv
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3.0 May 2010 Security Event and Aft
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the longer than anticipated global
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April July October January April Ju
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Three industries recorded increases
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9.0 Proposals for Growth-Stimulus I
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targeted economic and social infras
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partnering with government to disco
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3.0 Growth Inducement Strategy The
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Growth-Inducement Strategy Alignmen
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50 Part II _________ Situational An
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inadequate provision of public infr
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2.0 Macroeconomic Assessment 2.1 In
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Increased global oil consumption wa
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$4,742.0 million and $688.4 million
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Non -Traditional Domestic Exports E
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negative impact of the Jamaica Debt
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ethanol and paint, whereas lower de
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Analysis of preliminary GCT data re
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The number of ship calls to the isl
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industry was, however, estimated to
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4.0 Projected Performance 4.1 Calen
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increased marketing and extension s
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Electricity & Water For FY 2010/11,
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J$ Million Figure 5.1. Private Sect
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2011/12). These extreme weather eve
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Chapter 6 ________________ Assessme
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creates allocative inefficiencies,
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Million $ Per cent Jun-10 Mar-10 De
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Table 6.1. Employed Labour Force by
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J$ million Mar-10 Dec-09 Sep-09 Jun
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FIGURE 7: GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS RA
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4.10.2. However, the extent of the
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Part III ____________ Analytical Fr
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functional relationship between the
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It follows that: (5) s = I/Y = [S -
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However, the existence of measureme
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(d) v* = Y*/K* This is a measure of
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in Chapter 8. The mutual interactio
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Transforming the complex set of str
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Appendix 7A A Methodological Note T
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Chapter 8 ____________________ Asse
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The DBI focuses more narrowly on qu
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to ask, is it possible to predict g
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can be made to serve a very useful
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For further elaboration of the cons
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Page 135 and 136: Table 8.2. Jamaica: Doing Business,
Page 137 and 138: Table 8.4. Global Competitiveness I
Page 139 and 140: Table 8.5 (continued) Rank Indicato
Page 141 and 142: Rank* Constraint Table 8.7 Business
Page 143 and 144: Chapter 9 ___________________ Inter
Page 145 and 146: 3.0 The Burdens of LAC’s Logistic
Page 147 and 148: conditions. These combined with a p
Page 149 and 150: Figure 9.4. Proportion of Primary A
Page 151 and 152: 6.0 Logistics are Essential for Tou
Page 153 and 154: 7.0 Fundamental Steps Forward for J
Page 155 and 156: Part IV ________________ Policies a
Page 157 and 158: Current Status: Cabinet by decision
Page 159 and 160: e more than compensated for by the
Page 161 and 162: B ____________________ Eliminating
Page 163 and 164: Commercial Bank loan rates have als
Page 165 and 166: 5.0 Expected Outcomes These measure
Page 167 and 168: capital, mainly in the form of equi
Page 169 and 170: oth local and overseas (including t
Page 171 and 172: Table C.1. Proposed Implementation
Page 173 and 174: Locally, the Scientific Research Co
Page 175 and 176: Develop formal and informal links t
Page 177 and 178: D ____________________ Business Pro
Page 179 and 180: 5.0 Recommendations Based on the ma
Page 181 and 182: 2.5 Coexistent with the levels of u
Page 183: industry as well as provide funding
Page 187 and 188: indirect losses experienced when th
Page 189 and 190: Table F.1 (continued) Area Type of
Page 191 and 192: G ____________________ Community Re
Page 193 and 194: Figure G.1 Community Renewal Progra
Page 195 and 196: Table G.1 Priority Initiatives Obje
Page 197 and 198: Table G.2 Phased Implementation Pla
Page 199 and 200: H ____________________ Proposed Wes
Page 201 and 202: 3.0 Transparency Guarantees By desi
Page 203 and 204: and Coordinating Unit (PCMU) was es
Page 205 and 206: therefore need to have sanctioned o
Page 207 and 208: Figure I.1. Functions of National P
Page 209 and 210: The rationalisation was guided by t
Page 211 and 212: deliver services in an efficient an
Page 213 and 214: efurbishing to allow for accommodat
Page 215 and 216: Part V _______________ Panelists’
Page 217 and 218: With the benefit of hindsight, some
Page 219 and 220: ight. Where we as a society fail is
Page 221 and 222: and exclusion of the majority of th
Page 223 and 224: the elders, youth, children. What f
Page 225 and 226: C __________________ Enhancing Nati
Page 227 and 228: Figure C.1. National resilience is
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