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413047-Underground-Commercial-Sex-Economy

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Using the results of this model, we can estimate currency-GDP ratios for each city that take into account<br />

variation over time and across cities in economic conditions associated with currency levels. This yields<br />

more accurate estimates of the currency-GDP ratio. In practice, the difference between these regressionbased<br />

estimates and naïve ones (simply applying the national average currency-GDP) are fairly small. 42<br />

The table below displays these estimates.<br />

City<br />

Year<br />

Regression estimate<br />

(in billions of 2005 dollars)<br />

Naïve estimate<br />

(in billions of 2005 dollars)<br />

Ratio<br />

Atlanta 2003 12.57 13.21 0.95<br />

Atlanta 2007 13.82 14.78 0.94<br />

Dallas 2003 19.59 16.56 1.18<br />

Dallas 2007 24.23 19.5 1.24<br />

Denver 2003 8.91 7.25 1.23<br />

Denver 2007 9.18 7.97 1.15<br />

Kansas City 2003 4.45 5.07 0.88<br />

Kansas City 2007 4.64 5.48 0.85<br />

Miami 2003 10.31 12.26 0.84<br />

Miami 2007 10.85 14.28 0.76<br />

San Diego 2003 7.79 7.97 0.98<br />

San Diego 2007 8.49 8.98 0.94<br />

Seattle 2003 10.37 10.06 1.03<br />

Seattle 2007 13.05 12.02 1.09<br />

DC 2003 17.83 18.12 0.98<br />

DC 2007 20.81 20.63 1.01<br />

The computed estimates of the cash in circulation<br />

are given in the table below.<br />

Table 3.11 Final Estimates of the Left-hand Side (<br />

): Total Cash in Circulation (billions)<br />

Year Atlanta Dallas Denver Miami San Diego Seattle DC<br />

2003 $13.2 $16.6 $7.25 $12.3 $7.97 $10.1 $18.1<br />

2007 $14.8 $19.5 $7.97 $14.3 $8.98 $12.0 $20.6<br />

42 Specifically, we used the average currency-GDP ratio from 2000–2012: 0.0574.<br />

37

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