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413047-Underground-Commercial-Sex-Economy

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1.4.7. Techniques for Solving the Linear Program<br />

We use the non-commercial (LGPL2 license) linear programming solver lp_solve, written in ANSI C by<br />

Michel Berkelaar, which is known to efficiently solve problems with up to 30,000 variables and 50,000<br />

constraints.<br />

1.5. Geometric Intuition<br />

The picture that follows (Figure 1 A Geometric Representation of the Optimization Problem) attempts to<br />

illustrate the problem at an intuitive level. Although the figure is just 2-dimensional (the axes shown in<br />

black), in actuality, our problem is 56-dimensional (7 cities times 2 times 4 economic unknowns, namely<br />

sex, drugs, guns, and other). One might imagine then that the two black axes shown in the figure are just 2<br />

of the 56, say the UCSE in Dallas ( ) in 2003 (on the x-axis), and the UCSE in Miami ( ) in 2003 (yaxis).<br />

We know from <strong>Sex</strong> Proxy Ratios analysis (see section 1.4.1. <strong>Sex</strong> Proxy Ratio Constraints) that the ratio of<br />

UCSE in Dallas and the UCSE in Miami in 2003 is<br />

and accounting for 20 percent slack in the estimation of this ratio via , we can assume that the ratio<br />

lines in the range [1.68, 2.52]. Thus, the ratio constraint defines a feasible “wedge” (shown in green), the<br />

region between<br />

Given that we have 448 ratio constraints (each between two variables), in actuality there are 224 such<br />

green wedges, all emanating from the origin in 56-dimensional space.<br />

The semantics of our variables necessitates that only solutions in the all-positive quadrant be considered.<br />

We depict this by showing the positive quadrant in orange. In 56 dimensions, the all-positive quadrant<br />

comprises a tiny fraction of the entire space. Formally, this is done with the positivity constraints<br />

in section 0.<br />

Finally, we have the equations that arise from the Law of Cash Conservation. These are non-homogeneous<br />

(since they each contain a non-zero constant term Z) and so they do not pass through the origin. There are<br />

14 such non-homogeneous equations, each relating 4 variables; the figure shows just one of the 14, in<br />

blue.<br />

In principle, it is unlikely that the 14 LoCC equations will have a simultaneous solution, so the linear<br />

program seeks to find the unique point that is both “feasible” (i.e., in the intersection of all the green<br />

wedges) but also minimizes its divergence from the LoCC equations (i.e., minimizes its total distance to<br />

the blue constraints). The quality of the solution is evaluated via E, the average distance from the solution<br />

point to the 14 LoCC equations.<br />

48

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