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Adapting to Climate Change: Assessing the World Bank Group ...

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Statement of <strong>the</strong> External Advisory Panel<strong>Climate</strong> change and climate variability poses big risks, but also opportunities, fordevelopment. If unchecked, in some cases, climate change could reverse many of <strong>the</strong>development achievements of recent decades. Preparing <strong>to</strong> manage and reduceclimate risks is <strong>the</strong>refore an essential part of development in <strong>the</strong> 21st century.There are two generic response options. Mitigation addresses <strong>the</strong> causes of climatechange by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Adaptation deals with <strong>the</strong>consequences of climate change by reducing our vulnerability and exposure <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>risks associated with climate change, climate variability and extreme climate events.Mitigation usually captures <strong>the</strong> headlines, but <strong>the</strong> two responses are equallyimportant.Coping with adverse climate conditions has been a defining challenge of humanexistence since <strong>the</strong> beginning of time. However, in its extent and form, adaptation <strong>to</strong>anthropogenic climate change is a new and challenging agenda. Adaptation isparticularly notable for low-income countries, where vulnerability <strong>to</strong> climate changeis invariably high and adaptive capacity often constrained.Against this background we welcome <strong>the</strong> report by <strong>the</strong> Independent Evaluation<strong>Group</strong> (IEG) on adaptation <strong>to</strong> climate change in <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Group</strong>. The IEGteam has produced a detailed, thorough and insightful report that provides a fairassessment of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>’s adaptation performance <strong>to</strong> date. The report contains anumber of important recommendations that will help <strong>the</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>to</strong> enhance itsoperational effectiveness on adaptation.Adaptation is a very broad agenda. The IEG team struggled initially <strong>to</strong> define <strong>the</strong>scope of <strong>the</strong>ir evaluation. Many aspects of development assistance have <strong>the</strong> potential<strong>to</strong> alter (ei<strong>the</strong>r positively or negatively) vulnerability <strong>to</strong> climate variability andchange – rural development, health and sanitation, water supply, infrastructure,trade policy, institution building, disaster management, and much else. Ultimately<strong>the</strong> IEG team found <strong>the</strong> right balance between inclusiveness and analytical focus for<strong>the</strong> purpose of this evaluation. However, it is worth noting that <strong>the</strong> need <strong>to</strong> fac<strong>to</strong>rclimate risks (both current risks and increased risks from climate change) in<strong>to</strong>project decisions and development strategies, particularly for <strong>the</strong> long term, goesbeyond <strong>the</strong> core areas covered in this report.As <strong>the</strong> IEG report notes, <strong>the</strong>re are risks of under-investing in adaptation in someareas while simultaneously over-investing in o<strong>the</strong>rs. A key challenge is <strong>to</strong> identify<strong>the</strong> most promising opportunities considering likely benefits, costs, institutionalxv

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