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Adapting to Climate Change: Assessing the World Bank Group ...

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CHAPTER 2ADAPTATION AT THE BANK GROUP<strong>the</strong>y used technology that <strong>the</strong> previous project had already been shown <strong>to</strong> betechnically deficient and difficult <strong>to</strong> maintain, and by 2011 only three were on line. Datawere never fully integrated with <strong>the</strong> existing network or made useful for navigation,coastal zone management, or s<strong>to</strong>rm warnings. A separate and smaller initiative, aninnovative coral reef moni<strong>to</strong>ring system, was pursued by both projects but wasconstrained by lack of trained personnel. It failed <strong>to</strong> be institutionalized and was notable <strong>to</strong> adequately network with similar programs run by <strong>the</strong> U.S. National Oceanic andAtmospheric Administration (NOAA).2.36 The projects also invested in downscaled climate models, commissioned by <strong>the</strong>Caribbean Community <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Centre (CCCCC) and undertaken by <strong>the</strong>University of <strong>the</strong> West Indies. The downscaled model was based on a single globalchange model (GCM), which raises questions about its reliability (see chapter 4).Modeling work has built local awareness about climate change and contributed <strong>to</strong>national communications <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> UNFCCC. Projections are distributed on <strong>the</strong> internet.The project has helped build local climate science capacity, and fur<strong>the</strong>r modeling workis underway. However, <strong>the</strong> projections do not appear <strong>to</strong> have provided quantitativeguidance for policy or project decisions.Impact on Capacity and Institutions2.37 Operating in 12 countries, CPACC built up a network of national coordinationunits and focal points. Their project participation helped build <strong>the</strong>ir experience andcredibility and has helped with mainstreaming climate change. MACC also contributed<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> growing abilities and reputation of <strong>the</strong> CCCCC, which has emerged as a widelyrecognized regional center for climate analysis and policy advice. CCCCC led <strong>the</strong> effort<strong>to</strong> develop regional position papers for use in international climate negotiations.Impact on Public Awareness and Policy2.38 The projects were designed <strong>to</strong> raise public awareness of <strong>the</strong> need <strong>to</strong> adapt <strong>to</strong>climate change. The CPACC focused on formulating policy frameworks that wouldraise <strong>the</strong> profile of <strong>the</strong> issue. Ten of <strong>the</strong> 12 countries prepared issues papers usingexisting data <strong>to</strong> develop policy options for dealing with climate risks in key sec<strong>to</strong>rs. But<strong>the</strong>se were not fleshed out, and no dissemination <strong>to</strong>ok place, due <strong>to</strong> budget shortfalls. 172.39 The MACC built on this, supporting <strong>the</strong> development of national sec<strong>to</strong>rstrategies and action plans in four countries, a scaling-down of original ambitions formultisec<strong>to</strong>ral planning. Project-sponsored water strategies in Jamaica and <strong>the</strong> Bahamashave led <strong>to</strong> policy and staff emphasis on adaptation in <strong>the</strong> Integrated Water ResourcesAuthority. There has been some uptake of water policy recommendations in Jamaica. In24

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