64 development dialogue september 2006 – carb<strong>on</strong> trading1 S<strong>on</strong>ja Boehmer-Christiansen, ‘Global <strong>Climate</strong>Protecti<strong>on</strong> Policy: The Limits of Scientific Advice’,Parts 1 and 2, Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> 4, 2 and3, 1994, pp. 140-59, 185-200.2 Karine Matthews and Matthew Paters<strong>on</strong>, ‘Boom orBust? The Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Engine behind the Drive for<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Policy’, Global <strong>Change</strong>, Peace andSecurity 17, 1, February 2005, pp. 59-75.3 See US United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Associati<strong>on</strong> archives athttp://www.unausa.org/.4 Mick Kelly, ‘Smoke and Mirrors’, Tiempo 36/37,September 2000, p. 34.5 ‘Bush Has Plans to End Oil Addicti<strong>on</strong>’, CNN,31 January 2006, http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/01/31/bush.sotu.6 ‘Global Warming “Biggest Threat”’, BBC News,9 January 2004, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3381425.stm; David King, Ninth ZuckermanLecture, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, 31 October 2002, http://www.foundati<strong>on</strong>.org.uk/801/311002_2.pdf.7 Carlo M. Cipolla, Before the Industrial Revoluti<strong>on</strong>,W.W. Nort<strong>on</strong>, New York, 1993, p. 222.8 Svante Arrhenius, ‘On the Influence of Carb<strong>on</strong>icAcid in the Air up<strong>on</strong> the Temperature of theGround’, Philosophical Magazine 41, 1896, pp. 237-76.9 Joseph Fourier, ‘Mémoire sur Les Températuresdu Globe Terrestre et des Espaces Planétaires’,Mémoires de l’Académie Royale des Sciences 7, 1827,pp. 569-604.10 Thomas C. Chamberlin, ‘On a Possible Reversal ofDeep-Sea Circulati<strong>on</strong> and Its Influence <strong>on</strong> Geologic<strong>Climate</strong>s’, Journal of Geology 14, 1906, pp. 363-73.11 Fred Pearce, ‘The Week the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>d’, NewScientist, 15 October 2005.12 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1; S.Agrawala, ‘Structural and Process History of theIPCC’, Climatic <strong>Change</strong> 39, 1998, pp. 628-32.13 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1.14 Interview with Wolfgang Sachs, <strong>Climate</strong> EquityObserver, 12 May 2001, http://www.ecoequity.org/ceo/ceo_3_4.htm.15 See, for instance, Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley and Brian Wynne,‘Representing Uncertainty in Global <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>Science and Policy: Boundary-Ordering Devices andAuthority’, Science, Technology, and Human Values21, 3, Summer 1996, pp. 275-302; Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackleyet al., ‘Adjusting to Policy Expectati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Study ofFlux Adjustments in Coupled Atmosphere-OceanGeneral Circulati<strong>on</strong> Models’, Climatic <strong>Change</strong>43, 1999, pp. 413-454; Brian Wynne and Sim<strong>on</strong>Shackley, ‘Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Models: Truth Machine orSocial Heuristics?’, Weather 21, 1994, pp. 6-8. Manyclimatologists c<strong>on</strong>tinue to c<strong>on</strong>fuse ignorance withuncertainty and risk in their statements to the press,assigning bogus ‘probabilities’ to climate scenariosthat are likely to be invalidated by changes inthe inputs to computer models necessitated byunexpected scientific discoveries about climatechange mechanisms.16 Robert T. Wats<strong>on</strong> et al., eds, Land Use, Land Use<strong>Change</strong> and Forestry (a Special Report of theIPCC), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,2000.17 M. J<strong>on</strong>as et al., ‘Full Carb<strong>on</strong> Accounting and theKyoto Protocol: A Systems-Analytical View’, InterimReport IR-99-025, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institute for AppliedSystems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1999, p. 35.See also chapters 3 and 4.18 Larry Lohmann, ‘Carb<strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>? Group Charges“Intellectual Corrupti<strong>on</strong>” over Global WarmingProposal’, Multinati<strong>on</strong>al M<strong>on</strong>itor, September 2000,p. 26. The businessman in questi<strong>on</strong>, Mark Trexler,has since changed his view.19 Wats<strong>on</strong> et al., eds, op. cit. supra note 16, p. 58.20 Ibid., p. 139. The report also notes, but fails todraw c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s from, the climatic irrelevanceof the accounting system proposed by the KyotoProtocol for tallying up carb<strong>on</strong> flows associated withafforestati<strong>on</strong>, reforestati<strong>on</strong> and deforestati<strong>on</strong> (ibid.,pp. 167, 176).21 Richard Feynman, What Do You Care What OtherPeople Think?, Harper and Row, New York, 1988.22 Sheila Jasanoff, ‘Science and Norms’ in F. O.Hamps<strong>on</strong> and J. Reppy, eds, Earthly Goods:Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> and Social Justice, CornellUniversity Press, 1996, p. 196.23 Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley et al., op. cit. supra note 15, p. 448.24 The first chairs of Working Group III of the IPCCwere US State Department bureaucrats, and thegroup was early <strong>on</strong> dominated by legal experts andgovernment negotiators (Boehmer-Christiansen, op.cit. supra note 1, p. 149; S. Agrawala, op. cit. supranote 12, pp. 624-5).25 Brian Wynne and Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley, op. cit. supra note15, p. 7.26 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1.27 Nature, 3 August 1995; New Scientist, 19 August1995; Samuel Fankhauser, Letter to the Editor, TheEcologist 25, 4, 1995, p. 167. See also Mark Sagoff,‘Should Preferences Count?’, Land Ec<strong>on</strong>omics 70,127, 1994; Larry Lohmann, ‘Whose Voice Is Speaking?How Public Opini<strong>on</strong> Polls and Cost-Benefit AnalysisSynthesize New Publics’ Corner House BriefingNo. 7, http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk; and, <strong>on</strong> the
‘made in the usa’ – a short history of carb<strong>on</strong> trading 65noti<strong>on</strong> of ‘statistical pers<strong>on</strong>’, Lisa Heinzerling, ‘TheRights of Statistical People’, Harvard Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalLaw Review 24, 189, 2000. The Southern delegati<strong>on</strong>sto the UNFCCC owed much of their awareness ofWorking Group III’s error to an NGO, the GlobalComm<strong>on</strong>s Institute, and its director Aubrey Meyer.28 Larry Lohmann, ‘Democracy or Carbocracy?Intellectual Corrupti<strong>on</strong> and the Future of the <strong>Climate</strong>Debate’, Corner House Briefing Paper No. 24,October 2001, http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk.29 See Bill Moyers, interview with Robert Wats<strong>on</strong>, Now,12 April 2002, http://www.pbs.org/now/transcript/transcript113_full.html.30 ‘Corporate America and the Kyoto <strong>Climate</strong> Treaty’,<strong>Green</strong>peace Briefing, Amsterdam, 2001, p. 3;Corporate Europe Observatory, ‘<strong>Green</strong>houseMarket Mania: UN <strong>Climate</strong> Talks Corruptedby Corporate Pseudo-Soluti<strong>on</strong>s’, Amsterdam,November 2000, http://www.corporateeurope.org/greenhouse/index.html., p. 35.31 ‘Crying No Wolf: Why Ec<strong>on</strong>omists D<strong>on</strong>’t Worryabout <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, and Should: An EditorialComment’, Climatic <strong>Change</strong> 47, 2000, pp. 225-32.32 The Pew Charitable Trust was set up in 1948 with anendowment totalling USD 3.4 billi<strong>on</strong>, largely based<strong>on</strong> profits made by the Sun Oil Company (Sunoco)and Oryx Energy. Its income also derives frominvestments in forestry firms such as Weyerhaeuserand Internati<strong>on</strong>al Paper and mining and oil firmssuch as Phelps Dodge and Atlantic Richfield.See Alexander Cockburn and Ken Silverstein,Washingt<strong>on</strong> Babyl<strong>on</strong>, Verso, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, 1996,pp. 210-14.33 ‘Corporate America and the Kyoto <strong>Climate</strong> Treaty’,<strong>Green</strong>peace Briefing, Amsterdam, 2001, p. 3.34 See, e.g., Myanna Lahsen, ‘Technocracy,Democracy and US <strong>Climate</strong> Politics: The Need forDemarcati<strong>on</strong>s’, Science, Technology and HumanValues 30, 1, 2005, pp. 137-169.35 See the Competitive Enterprise Institute website athttp://streams.cei.org/.36 See http://www.exx<strong>on</strong>secrets.org.37 See, for example, Sara Jeswani, ‘KTH Bjuder inKlimatfornekare’, Tidningen Arbetaren 23, 7-14 June2006, http://www.arbetaren.se/2006/23/nyhet1.html.38 See statements of then IPCC Chairman RobertT. Wats<strong>on</strong> reported in The Ec<strong>on</strong>omist, 22 January2000, and in ‘<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: The NuclearOpportunity?’, Mining Week, 13 November 1998, p.383.39 Fredric James<strong>on</strong>, The Seeds of Time, ColumbiaUniversity Press, New York, 1994.40 Anth<strong>on</strong>y B. Rogins<strong>on</strong>, ‘An End to Our Holiday fromHistory’, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, 2 November2001; Johnnie L. Roberts, ‘Big Media and the BigStory’, Newsweek web editi<strong>on</strong>, 13 October 2001,http://msnbc.msn.com/id/3067548/.41 Michael K. Janofsky, ‘Michael Cricht<strong>on</strong>, Novelist,Becomes Senate Witness’, New York Times, 29September 2005.42 W. Booth, ‘Johnny Appleseed and the <strong>Green</strong>house:Replanting Forests to Mitigate Global Warming’,Science 242, 4875, October 1988, p. 197; RogerSedjo and A. M. Solom<strong>on</strong>, ‘<strong>Climate</strong> and Forests’ inN. J. Rosenberg et al., eds, <strong>Green</strong>house Warming:Abatement and Adaptati<strong>on</strong>, Resources for theFuture, Washingt<strong>on</strong>, 1989; Richard Hought<strong>on</strong> et al.,‘Current Land Cover in the Tropics and its Potentialfor Sequestering Carb<strong>on</strong>”, Global BiogeochemicalCycles 7, 2, 1993, pp. 305-320; Mark Trexler andC. Haugen, Keeping it <strong>Green</strong>: Tropical ForestryOpportunities for Mitigating <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, WorldResources Institute, Washingt<strong>on</strong>, 1995; NormanMyers and T. J. Goreau, ‘Tropical Forests and the<strong>Green</strong>house Effect: A Management Resp<strong>on</strong>se’,<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> 19, 1-2, 1991, pp. 215-25.43 See Chris Lang, ‘GE Trees: No Soluti<strong>on</strong> to <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>’, Gen-ethischer Informati<strong>on</strong>sdienst,February/March 2005, http://chrislang.blogspot.com/2005_03_01_chrislang_archive.html.44 US Department of Energy and Nati<strong>on</strong>al EnergyTechnology Laboratory, ‘Carb<strong>on</strong> Sequestrati<strong>on</strong>,Overview and Summary of Program Plans’ (draft),Pittsburgh and Morgantown, WV, April 2000.45 Paul Brown, ‘Aerial Bombardment to Reforest theHighlands’, The Guardian, 4 October 1999.46 Eugenie Samuel, ‘Scrub the Planet Clean’, NewScientist, 31 March 2001, p. 14.47 Kenneth H. Coale et al., ‘Southern Ocean Ir<strong>on</strong>Enrichment Experiment: Carb<strong>on</strong> Cycling in HighandLow-Si Waters’, Science 304, 16 April 2004, pp.408-414; Tim Flannery, The Weather Makers: HowMan is Changing The <strong>Climate</strong> and What It MeansFor Life On Earth, Atlantic M<strong>on</strong>thly Press, New York,2005, pp. 250-251.48 The head of the US Department of Energy’ssynthetic biology and climate change initiativerecently resigned his post to become president ofSynthetic Genomics, a company formed by Venterin 2005 to address climate change. See http://www.syntheticgenomics.com/press/2006-02-02.htm.49 Michael Behar, ‘How Earth-Scale Engineering CanSave the Planet’, Popular Science, June 2005.50 Amy Sowder, ‘Hurricane Workshop to Meet in BayArea – Nati<strong>on</strong>al Science Board to Take Look atRecovery’, Pensacola News Journal, April 17, 2006.
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PRESS RELEASEContact:Linda Chiavaro
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ContentsEditorial note 2Chapter 1 I
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Chapter 5Ways forwardIn which the c
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