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A Critical Conversation on Climate Change ... - Green Choices

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64 development dialogue september 2006 – carb<strong>on</strong> trading1 S<strong>on</strong>ja Boehmer-Christiansen, ‘Global <strong>Climate</strong>Protecti<strong>on</strong> Policy: The Limits of Scientific Advice’,Parts 1 and 2, Global Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> 4, 2 and3, 1994, pp. 140-59, 185-200.2 Karine Matthews and Matthew Paters<strong>on</strong>, ‘Boom orBust? The Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Engine behind the Drive for<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Policy’, Global <strong>Change</strong>, Peace andSecurity 17, 1, February 2005, pp. 59-75.3 See US United Nati<strong>on</strong>s Associati<strong>on</strong> archives athttp://www.unausa.org/.4 Mick Kelly, ‘Smoke and Mirrors’, Tiempo 36/37,September 2000, p. 34.5 ‘Bush Has Plans to End Oil Addicti<strong>on</strong>’, CNN,31 January 2006, http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/01/31/bush.sotu.6 ‘Global Warming “Biggest Threat”’, BBC News,9 January 2004, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3381425.stm; David King, Ninth ZuckermanLecture, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, 31 October 2002, http://www.foundati<strong>on</strong>.org.uk/801/311002_2.pdf.7 Carlo M. Cipolla, Before the Industrial Revoluti<strong>on</strong>,W.W. Nort<strong>on</strong>, New York, 1993, p. 222.8 Svante Arrhenius, ‘On the Influence of Carb<strong>on</strong>icAcid in the Air up<strong>on</strong> the Temperature of theGround’, Philosophical Magazine 41, 1896, pp. 237-76.9 Joseph Fourier, ‘Mémoire sur Les Températuresdu Globe Terrestre et des Espaces Planétaires’,Mémoires de l’Académie Royale des Sciences 7, 1827,pp. 569-604.10 Thomas C. Chamberlin, ‘On a Possible Reversal ofDeep-Sea Circulati<strong>on</strong> and Its Influence <strong>on</strong> Geologic<strong>Climate</strong>s’, Journal of Geology 14, 1906, pp. 363-73.11 Fred Pearce, ‘The Week the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>d’, NewScientist, 15 October 2005.12 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1; S.Agrawala, ‘Structural and Process History of theIPCC’, Climatic <strong>Change</strong> 39, 1998, pp. 628-32.13 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1.14 Interview with Wolfgang Sachs, <strong>Climate</strong> EquityObserver, 12 May 2001, http://www.ecoequity.org/ceo/ceo_3_4.htm.15 See, for instance, Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley and Brian Wynne,‘Representing Uncertainty in Global <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>Science and Policy: Boundary-Ordering Devices andAuthority’, Science, Technology, and Human Values21, 3, Summer 1996, pp. 275-302; Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackleyet al., ‘Adjusting to Policy Expectati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong> Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Study ofFlux Adjustments in Coupled Atmosphere-OceanGeneral Circulati<strong>on</strong> Models’, Climatic <strong>Change</strong>43, 1999, pp. 413-454; Brian Wynne and Sim<strong>on</strong>Shackley, ‘Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Models: Truth Machine orSocial Heuristics?’, Weather 21, 1994, pp. 6-8. Manyclimatologists c<strong>on</strong>tinue to c<strong>on</strong>fuse ignorance withuncertainty and risk in their statements to the press,assigning bogus ‘probabilities’ to climate scenariosthat are likely to be invalidated by changes inthe inputs to computer models necessitated byunexpected scientific discoveries about climatechange mechanisms.16 Robert T. Wats<strong>on</strong> et al., eds, Land Use, Land Use<strong>Change</strong> and Forestry (a Special Report of theIPCC), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,2000.17 M. J<strong>on</strong>as et al., ‘Full Carb<strong>on</strong> Accounting and theKyoto Protocol: A Systems-Analytical View’, InterimReport IR-99-025, Internati<strong>on</strong>al Institute for AppliedSystems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1999, p. 35.See also chapters 3 and 4.18 Larry Lohmann, ‘Carb<strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>? Group Charges“Intellectual Corrupti<strong>on</strong>” over Global WarmingProposal’, Multinati<strong>on</strong>al M<strong>on</strong>itor, September 2000,p. 26. The businessman in questi<strong>on</strong>, Mark Trexler,has since changed his view.19 Wats<strong>on</strong> et al., eds, op. cit. supra note 16, p. 58.20 Ibid., p. 139. The report also notes, but fails todraw c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s from, the climatic irrelevanceof the accounting system proposed by the KyotoProtocol for tallying up carb<strong>on</strong> flows associated withafforestati<strong>on</strong>, reforestati<strong>on</strong> and deforestati<strong>on</strong> (ibid.,pp. 167, 176).21 Richard Feynman, What Do You Care What OtherPeople Think?, Harper and Row, New York, 1988.22 Sheila Jasanoff, ‘Science and Norms’ in F. O.Hamps<strong>on</strong> and J. Reppy, eds, Earthly Goods:Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>Change</strong> and Social Justice, CornellUniversity Press, 1996, p. 196.23 Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley et al., op. cit. supra note 15, p. 448.24 The first chairs of Working Group III of the IPCCwere US State Department bureaucrats, and thegroup was early <strong>on</strong> dominated by legal experts andgovernment negotiators (Boehmer-Christiansen, op.cit. supra note 1, p. 149; S. Agrawala, op. cit. supranote 12, pp. 624-5).25 Brian Wynne and Sim<strong>on</strong> Shackley, op. cit. supra note15, p. 7.26 Boehmer-Christiansen, op. cit. supra note 1.27 Nature, 3 August 1995; New Scientist, 19 August1995; Samuel Fankhauser, Letter to the Editor, TheEcologist 25, 4, 1995, p. 167. See also Mark Sagoff,‘Should Preferences Count?’, Land Ec<strong>on</strong>omics 70,127, 1994; Larry Lohmann, ‘Whose Voice Is Speaking?How Public Opini<strong>on</strong> Polls and Cost-Benefit AnalysisSynthesize New Publics’ Corner House BriefingNo. 7, http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk; and, <strong>on</strong> the

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