airport/documents/Mesquite Master Plan Final.pdf - The City of ...

Registered Aircraft Forecasts
One method of forecasting based
aircraft at an airport is to examine local
aircraft ownership, or aircraft
registrations in the region served by the
airport. By then comparing the historic
aircraft registrations to historic-based
aircraft, a based aircraft forecast can be
developed.
TABLE 2C
Historical Aircraft Registrations for Airport Service Area
Market Share of Competing Airports
Aircraft Based At:
Year
Regional
Aircraft
Registrations* Mesquite %
2-13
The primary service area for aircraft
basing at Mesquite Metro Airport
extends approximately to a 20-mile
radius around the airport. This
includes the eastern half of Dallas
County and the bordering portions of
Collin, Rockwall and Kaufman
Counties. Aircraft ownership records
for this approximate area were obtained
from the FAA aircraft registration
database, and are presented in Table
2C.
Rockwall
% Lancaster % Terrell %
1993 671 197 29.36% 84 12.52% 110 16.39% 61 9.09%
1994 691 201 29.09 74 10.71 110 15.92 61 8.83
1995 696 201 28.88 74 10.63 110 15.80 61 8.76
1996 710 210 29.58 80 11.27 126 17.75 76 10.70
1997 726 209 28.79 86 11.85 126 17.36 85 11.71
1998 728 209 28.71 86 11.81 126 17.31 85 11.68
1999 721 210 29.13 86 11.93 126 17.48 85 11.79
2000 753 210 27.89 86 11.42 126 16.73 85 11.29
2001 748 215 28.74 86 11.50 126 16.84 85 11.36
2002 758 215 28.36 86 11.35 126 16.62 85 11.21
2003 742 220 29.65 86 11.59 128 17.25 85 11.46
2004 763 226 29.62 86 11.27 130 17.04 85 11.14
Source: Census of U.S. Civil Aircraft; *Advantext Aircraft and Airmen Database
The table presents historical aircraft
registrations for the approximated
airport study area, between 1993 and
2004. A steady growth trend has been
experienced, with an annual average
growth rate of 1.08 percent. The study
area added 92 aircraft registrations
over the period.
The table also shows the percentage of
the registered aircraft that are based at
regional general aviation airports.
Mesquite has consistently accounted for
approximately 29 percent. Rockwall,
Lancaster and Terrell also accounted for
a consistent portion of the registered
aircraft. As the forecasts are developed,
the distribution of registered aircraft
should not vary greatly from this
historical trend unless some unusual
event can appropriately account for a
change, such as an airport closing, or a
constrained airport condition such as is
the case at Rockwall.