airport/documents/Mesquite Master Plan Final.pdf - The City of ...
airport/documents/Mesquite Master Plan Final.pdf - The City of ...
airport/documents/Mesquite Master Plan Final.pdf - The City of ...
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TABLE 2F<br />
Registered Aircraft Projections Summary<br />
<strong>Mesquite</strong> Metro Airport<br />
PROJECTIONS 2010 2015 2025<br />
Share <strong>of</strong> US Active Aircraft Fleet<br />
Constant 825 859 929<br />
Increasing 849 912 1,040<br />
Registered Aircraft per 1,000 Population<br />
Constant 828 885 1,000<br />
Increasing 877 993 1,247<br />
Regression<br />
Trend line: r 2 = 0.88 (Year v Registered) 813 851 927<br />
Pop. v Registered: r 2 =0.88 807 841 911<br />
Selected Forecast 820 870 960<br />
C<strong>of</strong>fman Associates Analysis; Population is for Dallas County<br />
Based Aircraft Forecasts<br />
Determining the number <strong>of</strong> based<br />
aircraft at an <strong>airport</strong> can be a<br />
challenging task. With the transient<br />
nature <strong>of</strong> aircraft storage, it can be hard<br />
to arrive at an exact number <strong>of</strong> based<br />
aircraft, as the total can change weekly.<br />
As a result, <strong>airport</strong>s <strong>of</strong>ten don’t keep<br />
records <strong>of</strong> based aircraft. Fortunately,<br />
the <strong>airport</strong> staff at <strong>Mesquite</strong> Metro<br />
Airport has kept detailed records<br />
pertaining to tenants <strong>of</strong> city-owned<br />
hangars. This data, in conjunction with<br />
the FAA Terminal Area Forecast, has<br />
been used to arrive at the based aircraft<br />
data utilized in this analysis. From<br />
discussions with <strong>airport</strong> staff, it appears<br />
that the historical-based aircraft data<br />
provided by the FAA is reasonably<br />
accurate. As such, the FAA data will<br />
provide the foundation for the following<br />
based aircraft forecast.<br />
2-16<br />
Market Share <strong>of</strong> Registered Aircraft<br />
Now that registered aircraft for the<br />
service area has been forecast, based<br />
aircraft at <strong>Mesquite</strong> Metro Airport can<br />
be examined in comparison to historical<br />
regional registered aircraft. Table 2G<br />
presents based aircraft at <strong>Mesquite</strong><br />
Metro Airport as a share <strong>of</strong> the study<br />
area’s registered aircraft projection. As<br />
presented in the table, aircraft based at<br />
<strong>Mesquite</strong> Metro Airport as a share <strong>of</strong><br />
the region’s registered aircraft has<br />
remained relatively constant since<br />
1993.<br />
Future based aircraft at <strong>Mesquite</strong><br />
Metro Airport will depend on several<br />
factors, including the economy,<br />
available <strong>airport</strong> facilities, and<br />
competing <strong>airport</strong>s. Forecasts assume<br />
a reasonably stable economy and<br />
reasonable development <strong>of</strong> <strong>airport</strong>
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