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Maritime Trade and Transport - HWWI

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6.3.2 Many roads lead to Rome: New technologies in the transport sector<br />

Parallel to the increase in merch<strong>and</strong>ise transport, the conflict between traffic <strong>and</strong> the environment<br />

will become even greater. The EU Commission believes that the energy balance in the next<br />

fifteen years will worsen by an additional 7.5% on balance. To counteract this, the consistent<br />

use of technologies that are environmentally compatible <strong>and</strong> conserve resources is absolutely<br />

m<strong>and</strong>atory for all transport sectors. In view of this, the topic of sustainability will be of<br />

constantly growing significance for politicians, companies <strong>and</strong> investors.<br />

The wealth of technological innovations – some already tested or implemented, some, as<br />

described in Chapter 3.2.1, still seemingly futuristic – seems practically inexhaustible. Let us<br />

mention a few examples here.<br />

It will undoubtedly become more <strong>and</strong> more important, particularly in road freight transport,<br />

to optimize the total transport volume, in order to avoid unnecessary costs <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

impact. 76 In our study Strategy 2030 – Energy Resources, we have already discussed<br />

in detail the long-term changes – more in regard to cost than environmental aspects – to be<br />

expected in the automotive industry. Rising gas prices will provide an impetus for accelerating<br />

the development of new drive systems (hybrid, electric) <strong>and</strong> the use of alternative fuels (biodiesel,<br />

synthetic additives, natural gas, hydrogen). This applies to both passenger <strong>and</strong> freight<br />

transport. Trucks are already using – if only sporadically – natural gas, methanol or ethanol.<br />

New technologies for drive systems such as hybrid engines <strong>and</strong> fuel cells are currently being<br />

tested in trucks as well. This trend is likely to intensify in the coming decades. Technologies<br />

to reduce vehicle weight (lighter materials) will also become more important in road transport.<br />

The use of alternative drive technologies will gain in significance not only on the road, however,<br />

but also on the rails (locomotives) <strong>and</strong> in ocean <strong>and</strong> inl<strong>and</strong> waterway shipping (see<br />

Chapter 5.2.6).<br />

The World Business Council for Sustainable Development sees a particular challenge in<br />

this connection in air transport. It goes so far as to predict that, with regard to sustainability in<br />

the transport sector, by 2030 a complete break with today’s drive technologies <strong>and</strong> the associated<br />

fuels may be necessary.<br />

As already suggested several times, new technologies for collecting <strong>and</strong> transmitting transport<br />

data will be key. These Intelligent <strong>Transport</strong> Systems (ITS) technologies – also subsumed<br />

under the term telematics – comprise a broad spectrum of information, control <strong>and</strong> electronic<br />

technologies for monitoring <strong>and</strong> management in the traffic <strong>and</strong> transport sector. Microelectronics,<br />

satellite navigation, mobile communication, <strong>and</strong> sensor technology are already helping<br />

to monitor <strong>and</strong> control the flow of traffic. The further development of electronic toll<br />

collection <strong>and</strong> dynamic road pricing systems are also part of this subject area. On the rails, the<br />

use of new electronic control systems can enable less distance between the individual trains<br />

<strong>and</strong> thus a higher average speed.<br />

76 See Acatech (2006).<br />

Berenberg Bank · <strong>HWWI</strong>: Strategy 2030 · No. 4<br />

127

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