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Maritime Trade and Transport - HWWI

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7. Financing transport infrastructure<br />

Infrastructure is often viewed as a public asset, one whose construction, maintenance <strong>and</strong> operation<br />

is the responsibility of government. Even though this perception is partially justified in<br />

the case of social infrastructure, the economically oriented transport infrastructure examined<br />

here is generally regarded as a mixed asset. 77<br />

Since well-developed transport routes that facilitate economic growth are in the interest of<br />

society, the state should indeed ensure the general conditions necessary for sufficient <strong>and</strong> safe<br />

logistics operations. The construction, maintenance <strong>and</strong> operation of roads, railroads, airports,<br />

seaports, <strong>and</strong> inl<strong>and</strong> ports, however, can be managed completely or partially by private-sector<br />

companies. Privately financed <strong>and</strong> operated infrastructure will become considerably more important<br />

in the future. After all, the immense outlays required to ensure well-functioning infrastructure<br />

cannot be met with the notoriously limited public funds.<br />

This section will delineate the investment volume that will have to be funded in the next<br />

25 years <strong>and</strong> the financial sources available for this purpose. Governments will (need to) concentrate<br />

on their core responsibilities in the future <strong>and</strong> institute usage-dependent financing of<br />

public projects or allocate these to private operators. Partnerships are likely in which the risks<br />

<strong>and</strong> returns of a project are shared by the state <strong>and</strong> private investors, giving rise to new opportunities<br />

for the investor. With the increasing variety of investment forms <strong>and</strong> advantageous<br />

risk-return combinations, investments in infrastructure will continue to gain in importance.<br />

7.1 Investment potential – How much must be financed?<br />

7.1.1 Global investment potential<br />

According to studies by the OECD <strong>and</strong> the World Bank, $250-350 bn will have to be provided<br />

annually worldwide until 2030 to maintain <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> transport infrastructure – road <strong>and</strong><br />

rail. 78 Investments in roads take up the lion’s share, 78%. Of this sum, $50-70 bn is subject to<br />

intervention on the part of policymakers (fiscal constraints, sustainable development, modal<br />

shifts toward the railroads). L<strong>and</strong> transport requires widely branching, well-developed networks.<br />

The funding requirements are therefore relatively higher than for air <strong>and</strong> ship transport,<br />

in which investments concentrate on the construction <strong>and</strong> operation of airport <strong>and</strong> seaport<br />

infrastructure. 79 A record sum of $36 bn was invested in airports in 2005. 80 Projecting the<br />

figures from the Asia-Pacific region to the world, this would mean that, until 2015, $30-50 bn<br />

will be required annually for airports <strong>and</strong> $10-20 bn for container ports. 81 Conclusion: In the<br />

future, up to $420 bn will be available annually for productive use in transport infrastructure.<br />

77 Both principles of public assets – nonrivalry in consumption <strong>and</strong> nonexclusion – are infringed upon at least to an extent. Rivalry in the consumption of transport<br />

infrastructure is evident in traffic jams on the roads, h<strong>and</strong>ling of ships or planes in airports <strong>and</strong> seaports, <strong>and</strong> the fact that only one freight train can travel<br />

on a specific line at one time. Users can also be excluded from consumption: tolls <strong>and</strong> port <strong>and</strong> airport charges as well as fees for the use of the rails are common<br />

practice.<br />

78 See OECD (2006a), World Bank (2003). The World Bank study only covers the period until 2010 <strong>and</strong> bases its calculations on average annual world economic<br />

growth of 2.7%. The results harmonize well with those of the OECD study, which forecasts development until 2030.<br />

79 For shipping traffic, the expansion of important canals <strong>and</strong> inl<strong>and</strong> waterways should be mentioned as exceptions. Global figures are not available here.<br />

80 See Airports Council International (2005). The ICAO estimates that between 2000 <strong>and</strong> 2010 global expenditure for airport <strong>and</strong> air navigation services will amount<br />

to more than $300 bn. See ESCAP (2005).<br />

81 Average figures for the so-called ESCAP region from ESCAP (2006) were extrapolated on the basis of the 28% share of the region in the world gross domestic<br />

product (2005, World Bank Statistical Database).<br />

Berenberg Bank · <strong>HWWI</strong>: Strategy 2030 · No. 4<br />

129

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