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Maritime Trade and Transport - HWWI

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In view of the planned expansion of the Chinese road network by 400,000 km, this distribution<br />

in the Asia-Pacific region seems absolutely realistic. On the Asian Highway alone –<br />

with its 140,000 km, it is the backbone of the Asian road network – some 26,000 km in 16<br />

member states require repairs or improvements. Another 12% are in such poor condition that<br />

the minimal requirements for paved roads are not even fulfilled. Otherwise, they are equivalent<br />

to the situation in the USA <strong>and</strong> Europe between 1948 <strong>and</strong> 1963. On the whole, it is clear<br />

that in the Far East the emphasis of government action is on the construction of lacking in -<br />

frastructure, that is, the “hardware.”<br />

In China, investments in the transport sector, in view of the increasing transport volume<br />

<strong>and</strong> rapidly growing private car ownership, amounted in 2004 alone to $88 bn. More than<br />

two-thirds of this amount were invested in roads. Over 46,000 km of highways were built, <strong>and</strong><br />

over 150,000 km of main roads <strong>and</strong> divided highways were overhauled. By 2010, 14 new<br />

highways (including Beijing – Hong Kong) are to be built. Planned by the year 2020, in ad -<br />

dition, is the construction of 400,000 km of roads in rural districts, so that 80% of all towns<br />

will then be connected with one another or with major roads. The OECD estimates the annual<br />

volume of investments in infrastructure in this context at $24 bn. Between 2020 <strong>and</strong> 2030,<br />

an additional increase of $38 bn annually is expected. This mammoth program can only be<br />

compared with the United States, where, between 1948 <strong>and</strong> 1960, some 32,000 to 53,000 km<br />

of highways were built annually.<br />

At present, 73% of PRC transport volume is road traffic, while an additional 15% falls<br />

to the railroads. 12% of the transport volume is waterborne, especially when large distances are<br />

involved. By ton-kilometers, the share of inl<strong>and</strong> shipping in the modal split increases to 60%. 3<br />

The growing transport amounts are also prompting China, not least in consideration of the<br />

environmental burden, to focus its attention during the coming decades on alternative means<br />

of transport, such as rail <strong>and</strong> water networks.<br />

Planned outlays for railroad infrastructure until 2020 amount to approximately $250 bn (including<br />

private investments) for the expansion of the railroad network to 100,000 km. Currently<br />

this network totals 75,000 km, equivalent to one-sixth of the world rail transport network. In<br />

terms of freight volume, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, the Chinese railroad network is the world’s largest.<br />

The freight volume conveyed over the railroad tracks in 2004 amounted to 1,724 bn ton-kilometers.<br />

4 Some 60% of the lines are single-track, so that, in addition to new construction, top<br />

priority is being given to investments in the expansion of a two-track network <strong>and</strong>/or a separation<br />

between passenger <strong>and</strong> freight transport. During the 2006–2010 planning period, the<br />

most urgent railroad-related infrastructure projects include the construction of six new longdistance<br />

(including Beijing – Shanghai), as well as five new Intercity lines.<br />

3 See National Bureau of Statistics of China (2006). Data for the first half of 2006.<br />

4 See ESCAP (2005).<br />

80 Berenberg Bank · <strong>HWWI</strong>: Strategy 2030 · No. 4

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