Maritime Trade and Transport - HWWI

5.3 Port forecast
The objective of the following projection of the development of European seaports, building
on the projection for maritime trade, is to develop two scenarios for the development of handling
and the potentials of individual European seaports. To do so, the handling volumes of
the largest main European ports will be extrapolated using various approaches. The resulting
projection of the development of individual port locations is by no means conclusive. In par -
ticular, decisions involving economic and structural policy, such as the construction of the
JadeWeserPort, which are not taken into account, may have an influence on the development
of neighboring ports. Similarly, the development of individual ports can be influenced by
decisions regarding strategic and corporate policy on the part of major shipping companies or
major port operators who operate several ports. Furthermore, it is also assumed that the port
operators will make the technological and investment measures necessary to avoid long-term
capacity bottlenecks and to be able to continue to participate in future increases in handling
volumes.
Basic forecast
Average annual
growth rate in
Ranking Port total handling Handling*
2030 (2004) by 2030 2030 in 1,000 t
1 (1) Rotterdam 3.5% 805,916
2 (2) Antwerp 5.0% 486,388
3 (3) Hamburg 6.3% 486,115
4 (13) Bremen ports 6.2% 219,065
5 (9) Algeciras 5.7% 217,412
6 (29) Gioia Tauro 7.9% 210,246
7 (5) Le Havre 3.8% 191,321
8 (23) Valencia 6.2% 153,363
9 (4) Marseilles 2.0% 151,187
10 (35) Felixstowe 7.2% 141,398
11 (21) Barcelona 5.1% 133,005
12 (12) Genoa 3.8% 122,077
13 (8) London 3.0% 114,134
14 (18) Southampton 3.3% 89,234
15 (16) Taranto 2.8% 80,682
16 (10) Amsterdam 1.7% 77,475
17 (11) Dunkerque 1.8% 74,179
18 (7) Tees & Hartlepool 1.1% 71,371
19 (6) Grimsby & Immingham 0.7% 69,631
20 (20) Göteborg 2.3% 66,284
* Handling without container weight
Fig. 39
Source: Eurostat (2006), HWWI forecast.
Berenberg Bank · HWWI: Strategy 2030 · No. 4
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