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London scoping - ukcip

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Final Report<br />

122<br />

development on brownfield sites, in order to achieve wealth creation and social inclusion. The<br />

Mayor of <strong>London</strong>, Ken Livingstone, has articulated this vision as follows:<br />

"All my life activity has been in the west. Now it is the turn of the East. Almost<br />

all the growth and economic dynamism has been in the sector to the west of<br />

<strong>London</strong>. East <strong>London</strong> has been neglected for so long but it will be a major<br />

engine for growth". (TGLP 2001:3).<br />

The <strong>London</strong> Development Agency has stated that:<br />

"The Thames Gateway is one of the key locations best placed to deliver large<br />

scale sources of new employment to <strong>London</strong>’s major concentrations of deprived<br />

communities in inner east <strong>London</strong>" (LDA, 2001).<br />

The draft <strong>London</strong> Plan (GLA 2002a) outlines the drivers which are likely to shift development<br />

from the west to the east, both north and south of the river. These include:<br />

The high cost of offices and housing in central, north and west <strong>London</strong>;<br />

The support by government for the Thames Gateway and the existence of wellestablished<br />

partnership mechanisms;<br />

The existence of 10 square kilometres of development land adjacent to the greatest<br />

concentrations of deprivation in <strong>London</strong>;<br />

Opportunities in adjacent North Kent and South Essex;<br />

Radically improved public transport networks, including phase 2 of the CTRL and<br />

new rail and river crossings.<br />

The existence of good examples of success such as Canary Wharf, where investment and<br />

infrastructure (especially transport) has led to high quality business accommodation which<br />

supports, and builds upon, the success of the adjacent City.<br />

The <strong>London</strong> boroughs of Lambeth, Southwark, Greenwich and Lewisham - all of which are<br />

adjacent to the River Thames - thus have a combined target of providing accommodation for<br />

approximately 93,000 households in the next 15 years. Similarly, the demand for office space<br />

in the East sub-region of Greater <strong>London</strong> is estimated to increase from 8.1 million square metres<br />

to 12 million square metres, accompanying a continuing shift away from manufacturing and<br />

towards service industries.<br />

6.10.2 Flooding and Rainfall Intensity Impacts<br />

The proposed Thames Gateway development occurs upstream (Canary Wharf, Isle of Dogs,<br />

Stratford, Leaside, Royals, Greenwich Peninsula, Lewisham, Deptford, Greenwich) and<br />

downstream (Barking, Havering Riverside, Woolwich, Belvedere and Erith) of the Thames<br />

Barrier (TGLP 2001, MCA 2001). The flood defences of the river downstream of the Thames<br />

Barrier include the Barking and Dartford Barriers, which operate at the mouth of tributaries into<br />

the Thames, privately operated smaller barriers, and refurbished sea walls and embankments. In<br />

the 1980s the sea walls along the Thames Estuary were rebuilt and the crest levels were raised<br />

by 2.5m. The Thames Barrier and the defences which are located downstream of the Barrier<br />

were designed to provide protection from flooding of a 0.1% risk in the year 2030.

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