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London scoping - ukcip

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Impact Area Possible<br />

Increase or<br />

decrease in<br />

equality<br />

Individuals and communities:<br />

heat stress<br />

Individuals and communities:<br />

crime<br />

Individuals and communities:<br />

lifestyle changes<br />

Final Report<br />

210<br />

Description of Impact<br />

Decrease An increase in heat related deaths and illness episodes<br />

would particularly affect the elderly, sick and those without<br />

access to air conditioning or other forms of cooling.<br />

Decrease At times of disruption (such as flooding) opportunistic crime<br />

can increase. This is likely to be greater in areas that are<br />

already more prone to crime.<br />

Increase More active, outdoors lifestyles and healthier diets<br />

consisting of fresh fruit and vegetables could both be more<br />

feasible across the social spectrum. The least well-off<br />

would probably benefit the most from such changes.<br />

8.4 Climate Change and Policy Making for <strong>London</strong><br />

There are a number of policy processes that are ongoing in <strong>London</strong> that will need to consider<br />

the potential impacts of climate change. Many of these have been explored in the preceding<br />

sections. This section summarises the main policy processes and the nature of the climate<br />

change issues related to them. It makes recommendations on how climate change should inform<br />

further policy and strategy development.<br />

The main strategy, policy and planning processes related to climate change in <strong>London</strong> include:<br />

• The draft <strong>London</strong> Plan - the spatial development plan for <strong>London</strong>;<br />

• The <strong>London</strong> Development Agency’s economic development strategy;<br />

• The Environment Agency’s strategic processes including those for water resources,<br />

flood defence and water quality;<br />

• Water companies’ planning processes; and<br />

• Others including local authorities, the Thames Gateway <strong>London</strong> Partnership, the<br />

Thames Estuary Partnership and the <strong>London</strong> Biodiversity Partnership.<br />

These are examined in more detail below.<br />

8.4.1 The Draft <strong>London</strong> Plan<br />

The Greater <strong>London</strong> Authority’s spatial development strategy ‘The draft <strong>London</strong> Plan’ puts<br />

forward policies that set the framework for land use and related issues in <strong>London</strong> for the next<br />

15-20 years. The Plan is at the draft stage and the public consultation phase closed on 30 th<br />

September 2002. Once published, boroughs’ unitary development plans must be in ‘general<br />

conformity’ with the Plan. The Plan estimates that the following could characterise <strong>London</strong> by<br />

2016:<br />

• Population is projected to reach 8.1 million, 700,000 more than today. The make<br />

up of <strong>London</strong>’s population is projected to change with more young people, many<br />

more people from black and minority ethnic communities and more young

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