London scoping - ukcip

Final Report
45
Table 4.5 Climate changes for Greater London* under the UKCIP02 Low Emissions scenario
Variable
2020s 2050s 2080s
Summer Winter Annual Summer Winter Annual Summer Winter Annual
Temperature (ºC) 1 to 1.5 0.5 to 1 0.5 to 1 2 to 2.5 1 to 1.5 1.5 to 2 2.5 to 3 1.5 to 2 2 to 2.5
Precipitation (%) -10 to -20 0 to 10 -10 to 0 -30 to -20 10 to 15 -10 to 0 -30 to -20 10 to 15 -10 to 0
Cloud cover (%) -4 to -3 nv -3 to -2 -6 to -5 nv -4 to -3 -9 to -6 nv -6 to -3
Relative humidity (%) -4 to -3 -1 to 0 -2 to -1 -6 to -5 -1 to 0 -4 to -2 -9 to -6 -3 to 0 -6 to -3
Wind speed (%) 0 to 1 1 to 2 0 to 1 0 to 1 2 to 3 0 to 1 0 to 3 3 to 5 nv
Net sea level change
(cm)
12 19 26
* estimated from the model grid points closest to Greater London
nv indicates changes within the bounds of ‘natural variability’
Table 4.6 Climate changes for Greater London under the UKCIP02 High Emissions scenario
Variable
2020s 2050s 2080s
Summer Winter Annual Summer Winter Annual Summer Winter Annual
Temperature (ºC) 1 to 1.5 0.5 to 1 1 to 1.5 3 to 3.5 1.5 to 2 2 to 2.5 >4.5 3 to 3.5 4 to 4.5
Precipitation (%) -20 to -10 0 to 10 -10 to 0 -40 to -30 15 to 20 -10 to 0