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London scoping - ukcip

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7.9 Tourism and Leisure<br />

Final Report<br />

186<br />

7.9.1 Context<br />

Tourists visiting <strong>London</strong> from elsewhere in the UK account for approximately 10% of total UK<br />

domestic tourism (ONS 2001). <strong>London</strong> is by far the most popular UK destination for overseas<br />

tourists, however, accounting for just over half of all overseas tourists and associated<br />

expenditure. In 1998, 13.5 million overseas tourists travelled to <strong>London</strong>. The domestic tourists<br />

bring in just over £1 billion, but the overseas tourists contribute nearly £7 billion to the <strong>London</strong><br />

economy (ONS 2001). Hotels and restaurants comprise 5.8% of <strong>London</strong>’s GDP.<br />

<strong>London</strong> has an impressive set of facilities and attractions for tourists including the following<br />

(LTB at www.englishtourism.org.uk 2002):<br />

1200 hotels (269 of which are of historical interest);<br />

12,155 restuarants;<br />

5,245 pubs and bars;<br />

200 museums;<br />

108 theatres.<br />

7.9.2 Flooding and Rainfall Intensity Impacts<br />

Sports and recreational fishing could suffer in dry summers;<br />

There may be insufficient water to maintain inland canal navigation. This could<br />

also effect the attractiveness of canal-side commercial and residential<br />

developments;<br />

Increased likelihood of algal blooms on watercourses with aesthetic and health<br />

implications.<br />

7.9.3 Temperature Change Impacts<br />

There is a high degree of uncertainty as to what the net effect of climate change is likely to be<br />

on Tourism in <strong>London</strong> but the principal arguments are:<br />

Southern Europe and other destinations might become less attractive as a<br />

destination for summer holidays since climate change there will result in<br />

intolerable hot temperatures. More summer holidays will therefore be taken<br />

domestically, with time spent in <strong>London</strong> being one component of such a holiday.<br />

A recent study, (Agnew and Viner, 2000), has identified potential impacts of<br />

climate change on ten overseas holiday destinations. The threats of these<br />

predominantly negative effects (examples of which are shown in Table 7.9 below)<br />

will strengthen the argument above.

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