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Final Report<br />

59<br />

†<br />

Change in net temperature = baseline heat island (1961-1990) + heat island intensification (by date) +<br />

regional warming (by date)<br />

4.8 Bibliography<br />

Hulme, M. and Jenkins, G.J. 1998. Climate change scenarios for the UK: scientific report.<br />

UKCIP Technical Report No.1, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, 80pp.<br />

Hulme, M., Jenkins, G.J., Lu, X., Turnpenny, J.R., Mitchell, T.D., Jones, R.G., Lowe, J.,<br />

Murphy, J.M., Hassell, D., Boorman, P., McDonald, R. and Hill, S. 2002. Climate Change<br />

Scenarios for the UK: The UKCIP02 Scientific Report, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change<br />

Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK. 120pp.<br />

IPCC, 2001a. Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Summary for Policymakers, Cambridge<br />

University Press, 98pp.<br />

Subak, S., Palutikof, J.P., Agnew, M.D., Watson, S.J., Bentham, C.G., Cannell, M.G.R., Hulme,<br />

M., McNally, S., Thornes, J.E., Waughray, D. and Woods, J.C. 2000. The impact of the<br />

anomalous weather of 1995 on the U.K. economy. Climatic Change, 44, 1-26.<br />

Wilby, R.L., Dawson, C.W. and Barrow, E.M. 2002. SDSM – a decision support tool for the<br />

assessment of regional climate change impacts. Environmental and Modelling Software, 17,<br />

145–157.<br />

Wilby, R.L. and Wigley, T.M.L. 1997. Downscaling General Circulation Model output: a<br />

review of methods and limitations. Progress in Physical Geography, 21, 530–548.<br />

Winkler, J.A., Palutikof, J.P., Andresen, J.A. and Goodess, C.M. 1997. The simulation of daily<br />

temperature series from GCM output. Part II: Sensitivity analysis of an empirical transfer<br />

function methodology.Journal of Climate, 10, 2514-2532.

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