Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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Appendices 92 5.3.5 progression of Rural Humanitarian situation, Middle shabelle Region from post7 Rural ipc, post Deyr (Feb - Jun 12) Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 Rural ipc, post Gu (Jul ‘12) Rural ipc, post Gu (Aug-Dec ‘12) Livelihood Zones Legend Legend Central regions Agro-Pastoral: Cowpea, sheep & goats, camel, cattle LegendCoastal Deeh: Sheep Central L. & M. Shabelle regions Agro-Pastoral: Agro-Pastoral Cowpea, Irrigated: sheep Maize/Sorghum & goats, camel, & cattle cattle L. Coastal & M. Shabelle Deeh: Sheep Agro-Pastoral rain-fed: Maize,cowpeas, sesame & cattle Shabelle L. & M. Shabelle riverine: Agro-Pastoral Maize, fruits & Irrigated: vegetables Maize/Sorghum & cattle Southern L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral: Agro-Pastoral Camel, rain-fed: cattle, sorghum Maize,cowpeas, sesame & cattle Southern Shabelle riverine: inland pastoral: Maize, fruits Camel, & vegetables sheep & goats Southern Agro-Pastoral: Camel, cattle, sorghum Southern inland pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Affected Regions and Districts UNDP 2005 Rural Population Post Deyr Projection Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency Adan Yabaal 55,717 11,000 28,000 12,000 16,000 Balcad/Warsheikh 105,266 23,000 26,000 7,000 19,000 M/Shabelle Cadale 35,920 7,000 19,000 7,000 11,000 Jowhar/Mahaday 222,167 39,000 0 0 0 SUB-TOTAL 419,070 80,000 73,000 26,000 46,000 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 153,000 72,000 Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones M/Shabelle Estimated Population in Livelihood Zones Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Post Deyr Projection Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency Central Agro-Past 36,695 10,000 9,000 9,000 0 Coastal Deeh: sheep 46,861 13,000 17,000 17,000 0 Shabelle Riverine 53,657 0 0 0 0 Southern Agro-Past 160,948 57,000 0 0 0 Southern Inland Past 74,048 0 0 0 0 Destitute pastoralists 46,861 0 47,000 0 46,000 SUB-TOTAL 419,070 80,000 73,000 26,000 46,000 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 153,000 72,000 Region Timeline M.Shabelle Aug - Dec 2012 (Gu-12 Projection) Feb - June 2012 (Deyr 11-12 Projection) Specific Areas or Districts Rural:Other Districts Southern Agropastoral (Sorghum_ Jowhar & Balad) Rural:Other Districts Southern Agropastoral (Sorghum_ Jowhar & Balad) S.I. Past J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine Stressed Phase Livelihood Zones S./ Central Coastal Agropast Destitute past S.I. Past J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine Crisis Phase Livelihood Zones S./Central Agropast 100%P 100%P 100%M 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%P Coastal Destitute past 100%P 25%M S.I. Past J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine Emergency Phase Livelihood Zones S./ Central Agropa Coastal Destitute past 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%P 0% 0% 0% 100%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 50%M 75%M 0% 0% 0% 100%P 100%P 25%M 0% 100%P 0% 100%
5.3.6 progression of Rural Humanitarian situation, Lower shabelle Region from post Deyr ‘11/12 to post Gu ‘12 Rural ipc, post Deyr (Feb - Jun 12) Rural ipc, post Gu (Jul ‘12) Rural ipc, post Gu (Aug-Dec ‘12) Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group Legend Livelihood Zones L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral Irrigated: Maize/Sorghum & cattle L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral rain-fed: Maize,cowpeas, sesame & cattle Shabelle riverine: Maize, fruits & vegetables South-East Pastoral: Cattle, sheep & goats Southern Agro-Pastoral: Camel, cattle, sorghum Southern coastal pastoral: Goats, cattle Southern inland pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats Urban Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Affected Regions and Districts UNDP 2005 Rural Population Post Deyr Projection Crisis Emergency Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Afgooye/Aw Dheegle 178,605 34,000 2,000 0 0 Baraawe 42,239 8,000 0 0 0 Kurtunwaarey 48,019 7,000 0 0 0 L/Shabelle Marka Qoryooley 129,039 111,364 18,000 16,000 1,000 0 0 0 0 0 Sablaale 35,044 6,000 0 0 0 Wanla Weyn 133,627 0 0 0 0 SUB-TOTAL 677,937 89,000 3,000 0 0 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN STRESS CRISIS & EMERGENCY 92,000 0 Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones Estimated Population in Livelihood Zones Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Post Deyr Projection Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 2,534 0 0 0 0 L.Shab. r/fed & f/irr 372,273 84,000 0 0 0 Shabelle Riverine 115,552 0 0 0 0 L/Shabelle South-East Pastoral 35,475 5,000 3,000 0 0 Southern Agro-Past 106,902 0 0 0 0 Southern Inland Past 45,201 0 0 0 0 SUB-TOTAL 677,937 89,000 3,000 0 0 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 92,000 0 Region Timeline L. Shabelle Aug - Dec 2012 (Gu-12 Projection) Feb - June 2012 (Deyr 11-12 Projection) Specific Areas or Districts Rural : Other Districts Southern Agropastoral: Wanlaweyne and Afgoye Rural : Other Districts Southern Agropastoral: Wanlaweyne and Afgoye S.I. Past S.E. Past Stressed Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine L.Shabelle S./Central Irr & r-fed Coastal Agropast Agropast S.I. Past S.E. Past Crisis Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine L.Shabelle S./Central Irr & r-fed Coastal Agropast Agropast S.I. Past S.E. Past Emergency Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central L.Shabelle Agropa Irr & r-fed Coastal 100%P 100%P 100%P 100%P 100%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%P 0% 0% 100%P 0% 100%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 75%P 0% 0% 100%P 0% 0% 25%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%P 0% 0% FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 Appendices 93
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Technical Partners Swiss Agency for
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Acknowledgement FSNAU would like to
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5.11.4 Livestock Herd Dynamics Juba
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Figure 41: Trends in Terms of Trade
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1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 KEY FINDIN
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Table 3: Distribution of Rural and
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Map 2: Somalia Acute Food Insecurit
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over the last 12 months. However, l
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and 4) was estimated at 100,000 (5,
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security situation of the poor past
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Table 4: Overview of Gu 2012 Assess
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Adoption of IPC Technical Manual Ve
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Figure 1: Time-series data of NDVI/
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3.2 civil insecurity EVENTS Civil i
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3.3 agriculture Area Cultivated und
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Sectors 24 Local cereal prices (mai
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Sectors 26 3.4 livestocK sector Bac
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Sectors 28 Livestock Trade and Pric
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Sectors 30 3.5 marKets and trade Ex
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Sectors 32 3.6 nutrition situation
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Urban Analysis 34 Evolution of food
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Urban Analysis 36 4. intEGrAtEd foo
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Urban Analysis 38 Social Capital So
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IDP Analysis 40 Given the security
Page 50 and 51: IDP Analysis 42 Figure 23: Sources
Page 52 and 53: Regional Analysis 44 4.3 SOMALIA’
Page 54 and 55: Regional Analysis 46 decreased by 2
Page 56 and 57: Regional Analysis 48 4.3.2 LOwER AN
Page 58 and 59: Regional Analysis 50 Average cattle
Page 60 and 61: Regional Analysis 52 4.3.3 BAY AND
Page 62 and 63: Regional Analysis 54 facilities cla
Page 64 and 65: Regional Analysis 56 4.3.4 LOwER AN
Page 66 and 67: Regional Analysis 58 The population
Page 68 and 69: Regional Analysis 60 4.3.5 hIRAN RE
Page 70 and 71: Regional Analysis 62 in addition to
Page 72 and 73: Regional Analysis 64 4.3.6 CENTRAL
Page 74 and 75: Regional Analysis 66 These househol
Page 76 and 77: Regional Analysis 68 4.3.7 NORThEAS
Page 78 and 79: Regional Analysis 70 Physical Capit
Page 80 and 81: Regional Analysis 72 4.3.8 NORThwES
Page 82 and 83: Regional Analysis 74 Table 31: Nort
Page 84 and 85: Regional Regional Analysis 76 Avera
Page 87 and 88: Among the Mogadishu IDP women, food
Page 89 and 90: 5. Appendices 5.1.1 BAcKGROUnd And
Page 91 and 92: Appendices 83 Acute Food Insecurity
Page 93 and 94: Appendices 85 5.2.1 Time-Series of
Page 95 and 96: 5.2.2 Time-Series of the Integrated
Page 97 and 98: 5.3.2 Progression of Rural Humanita
Page 99: 5.3.4 progression of Rural Humanita
Page 103 and 104: 5.3.8 progression of the Rural Huma
Page 105 and 106: 5.3.9 Progression of Rural Humanita
Page 107 and 108: 5.3.10 Progression of Rural Humanit
Page 109 and 110: 5.4.2 estimated RURAL population in
Page 111 and 112: 5.4.3 estimated URBAn population in
Page 113 and 114: 5.4.4 estimated RURAL population in
Page 115 and 116: 5.6 LisT OF pARTneRs WHO pARTicipAT
Page 117 and 118: 5.7 post Gu ‘12 Food security sea
Page 119 and 120: 5.9 post Gu ‘12 IDP Matrix FCS -
Page 121 and 122: 5.10.3 Livestock Herd dynamics cent
Page 123 and 124: 8 9 What was the main reason for th
Page 125 and 126: 8.1 b. Cattle c. Sheep d. Goat e. p
Page 127 and 128: 5.12.3 Key informant/Focus Groups Q
Page 129 and 130: observed mostly? 6.7 What triggered
Page 131 and 132: Jan 2011- now a. Camels b. Cattle c
Page 133 and 134: 5.12.5 cereal Flow survey THe FOOd
Page 135 and 136: 9. Has there been any cereal outflo
Page 137 and 138: 2 2.3 What was the source of the se
Page 139 and 140: 4 4. 0 CROP CONDITION 4.1 What is t
Page 141 and 142: 5.12.7 Gu ‘12 season crop Assesme
Page 143 and 144: 4. FERTILIZER 4.1 a) Did the majori
Page 145 and 146: 6.5 What were the crop production c
Page 147 and 148: 5.12.8 idp Household survey Questio
Page 149 and 150: 3.5 Did your household receive any
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Page 2 of 7 5.12.9 idp Assessment Q
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4 LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES 4.1 What we
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school in the last three months wha
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3.2 What was the source of income o
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Page 1 of 1 5.12.11 Urban FGd south
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5. Casual/labour wage (from portage
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2.2. What was the source of income
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Part 1: Analysis of Current Imminen
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their dietary needs, and food prefe
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Rapid assessment: undertaken follow
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FSNAU Technical Series Report No. V
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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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