Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

Regional Analysis
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4.3.7 NORThEAST REGIONS
Overview
Post Gu 2012, the food security situation improved in most of the rural livelihoods in the
Northeast regions (Hawd, Addun, Nugaal valey, Sool plateau and parts of Dharoor/Karkaar
and East Golis). In July’12, the total rural population in acute food insecurity phases of Crisis
(IPC Phase 3) and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) were estimated at 30,000 people (20,000
in Crisis and 10,000 in Emergency). This indicates an improvement from post-Deyr 2011,
when numbers of affected population (65,000 people) were significantly higher than current
figures. In the post-Gu 2012, only the Coastal Deeh livelihood remains in crisis (upper part
is in Emergency while the lower part improved to Crisis), while all the other livelihoods in
the Northeast are in Stress (IPC phase 2) phase. In urban areas, estimates of population
in crisis in August-December 2012 are equivalent to 105,000 people) indicating an increase
(88%) from July’12 (56,000 people) as a result of an increase
in the cost of living (see urban sector).
The factors that contributed to the improved food security
situation in rural areas include near normal frankincense
production in East Golis (one of the main sources of income);
enhanced livestock production and reproduction; increased
income from livestock sales, particularly during the Ramadan
festivities; strengthened ToT between rice and local goat due
to increased goat prices; declining/ stable rice prices; and
increased humanitarian access. However, the food security
situation of the poor pastoral households in the upper Coastal
Deeh remains unchanged due to the negative impacts of
previous drought incidents that resulted in drastic livestock
asset losses and emergence of pastoral destitutes. As a
consequence, poor households have a limited number of saleable animals and are highly indebted (USD 250-350). A
decline in fishing activities in the Coastal livelihood (Iskushuban, Allula and Qandala districts) was also observed as a result
of limited fishing grounds due to fear of pirates and international anti-piracy forces. Trade with Yemen did resume in April,
however it was interrupted by the monsoon season.
FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48
Issued October 18, 2012
Northeast Region Livelihood
Systems
Table 28: Northeast, Estimated Rural and Urban Population by District in Emergency and Crisis, Aug-Dec 2012
District
UNDP 2005
Rural/Urban
Population
Map 19: Rural Food Security Phase Classification
Northeast, Aug-Dec 2012
Stressed Crisis Emergency
Total in Crisis &
Emergency as % of
Rural population
Bari
Bandarbayla 8,976 2,000 1,000 0 11
Bossaso 57,725 13,000 4,000 0 7
Caluula 27,002 6,000 2,000 0 7
Iskushuban 36,519 8,000 3,000 1,000 11
Qandala 26,902 6,000 2,000 0 7
Qardho 30,881 7,000 2,000 0 6
Rural Sub‐total 188,005 42,000 14,000 1,000 8
Urban 179,633 19,000 60,000 20,000 45
Regional Total 367,638 61,000 74,000 21,000 26
Nugaal
Burtinle 26,005 7,000 0 0 0
Eyl 25,259 5,000 2,000 1,000 12
Garoowe 24,596 5,000 2,000 1,000 12
Dan Gorayo 14,732 3,000 1,000 0 7
Rural Sub‐total 90,592 20,000 5,000 2,000 8
Urban 54,749 0 18,000 7,000 46
Regional Total 145,341 20,000 23,000 9,000 22
North Mudug
Gaalkacyo 58,007 14,000 0 4,000 7
Galdogob 33,366 8,000 0 2,000 6
Jariiban 32,866 8,000 1,000 2,000 9
Rural Sub‐total 124,239 30,000 1,000 8,000 7
Urban 13,408 0 0 0 0
Regional Total 137,647 30,000 1,000 8,000 7
N.E. GRAND TOTAL
See Appendix 5.4.2 for Footnotes
650,626 111,000 98,000 38,000 21