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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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Regional Regional Analysis<br />

76<br />

Average Sorghum Crop. Hargeysa W. Galbeed, FSNAU<br />

July <strong>2012</strong><br />

Figure 51: Trends in Terms of Trade Local Quality To<br />

Imported Red Rice 1Kg - Burao<br />

in June <strong>2012</strong>, when compared to the same time the previous<br />

year. The ToT of cereal (white sorghum) to labour wage<br />

increased in the main markets of Hargeisa (13%), Borama<br />

(42%), Burao (33%) in June <strong>2012</strong>, compared to a year ago.<br />

The August <strong>2012</strong> trends indicate an increase of 8 percent in<br />

these three main markets due to the increased wage rate for<br />

intense farming activities due to improved Karan rains. ToT<br />

between local quality goat to rice increased in main markets<br />

of Hargeisa (49%), Borama (47%), Burao (48%) (Figure 51),<br />

Lascaanod (15%) in June to Jan’12, while Erigavo declined<br />

by 15 percent. Similarly, the yearly price increased by 27%,<br />

16%, 43%, 27% and 51% respectively in the same markets.<br />

FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />

Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />

The increase in the ToT levels is attributed to increased goat<br />

price and declined rice price. In August the trend indicated a<br />

marginal increase of (4%) everywhere except Burao.<br />

Income Sources<br />

In the key pastoral and agropastoral livelihoods of Northwest,<br />

income from livestock and livestock product sales increased<br />

because of the high demand during Ramadan festivities and<br />

increased livestock production due to medium to low calving<br />

and kidding rates. However, poor pastoral households in<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>ban zone, Nugal valley and Sool have limited income from<br />

livestock due to their smaller number of saleable animals. The<br />

local quality goat prices increased (17% and 23%) in June<br />

<strong>2012</strong> when compared to the same month the previous year<br />

and six months ago, respectively. However, the August <strong>2012</strong><br />

trends show a decrease (8%) in the main markets due to the<br />

oversupply going to repay debts, which is a seasonal trend.<br />

Income from gum and frankincense collection in East-Golis<br />

has improved since July <strong>2012</strong> while income from crop sales<br />

is expected to improve after harvests in November <strong>2012</strong>. In<br />

June <strong>2012</strong>, livestock exports in the Berbera port was higher<br />

(16% -209,768 heads) than in June 2011 (181,199 heads).<br />

However, the poor households in the affected pastoral<br />

livelihoods of the <strong>Gu</strong>ban zone, Nugal valley and Sool plateau,<br />

did not benefit from the opportunity of high export demand<br />

owing to the lack of export quality animals. In the year 2011,<br />

exports of chilled meat from Burao abattoir ceased, as a<br />

result of the increased demand in live animals, which have<br />

been traded to the Arabian <strong>Gu</strong>lf States since October 2009.<br />

Coping Strategies<br />

Poor households in the affected livelihoods of the <strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />

zone, Sool Plateau and Nugal valley are employing crisis<br />

coping strategies since traditional social support to poor<br />

households is overstretched. There is a reliance on food<br />

loans and cash gifts and there are increased cases of distress<br />

sales of breeding animals. As a result there has been some<br />

humanitarian intervention geared at improving food access<br />

and asset protection.

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