Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
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Regional Regional Analysis<br />
76<br />
Average Sorghum Crop. Hargeysa W. Galbeed, FSNAU<br />
July <strong>2012</strong><br />
Figure 51: Trends in Terms of Trade Local Quality To<br />
Imported Red Rice 1Kg - Burao<br />
in June <strong>2012</strong>, when compared to the same time the previous<br />
year. The ToT of cereal (white sorghum) to labour wage<br />
increased in the main markets of Hargeisa (13%), Borama<br />
(42%), Burao (33%) in June <strong>2012</strong>, compared to a year ago.<br />
The August <strong>2012</strong> trends indicate an increase of 8 percent in<br />
these three main markets due to the increased wage rate for<br />
intense farming activities due to improved Karan rains. ToT<br />
between local quality goat to rice increased in main markets<br />
of Hargeisa (49%), Borama (47%), Burao (48%) (Figure 51),<br />
Lascaanod (15%) in June to Jan’12, while Erigavo declined<br />
by 15 percent. Similarly, the yearly price increased by 27%,<br />
16%, 43%, 27% and 51% respectively in the same markets.<br />
FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />
Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />
The increase in the ToT levels is attributed to increased goat<br />
price and declined rice price. In August the trend indicated a<br />
marginal increase of (4%) everywhere except Burao.<br />
Income Sources<br />
In the key pastoral and agropastoral livelihoods of Northwest,<br />
income from livestock and livestock product sales increased<br />
because of the high demand during Ramadan festivities and<br />
increased livestock production due to medium to low calving<br />
and kidding rates. However, poor pastoral households in<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>ban zone, Nugal valley and Sool have limited income from<br />
livestock due to their smaller number of saleable animals. The<br />
local quality goat prices increased (17% and 23%) in June<br />
<strong>2012</strong> when compared to the same month the previous year<br />
and six months ago, respectively. However, the August <strong>2012</strong><br />
trends show a decrease (8%) in the main markets due to the<br />
oversupply going to repay debts, which is a seasonal trend.<br />
Income from gum and frankincense collection in East-Golis<br />
has improved since July <strong>2012</strong> while income from crop sales<br />
is expected to improve after harvests in November <strong>2012</strong>. In<br />
June <strong>2012</strong>, livestock exports in the Berbera port was higher<br />
(16% -209,768 heads) than in June 2011 (181,199 heads).<br />
However, the poor households in the affected pastoral<br />
livelihoods of the <strong>Gu</strong>ban zone, Nugal valley and Sool plateau,<br />
did not benefit from the opportunity of high export demand<br />
owing to the lack of export quality animals. In the year 2011,<br />
exports of chilled meat from Burao abattoir ceased, as a<br />
result of the increased demand in live animals, which have<br />
been traded to the Arabian <strong>Gu</strong>lf States since October 2009.<br />
Coping Strategies<br />
Poor households in the affected livelihoods of the <strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />
zone, Sool Plateau and Nugal valley are employing crisis<br />
coping strategies since traditional social support to poor<br />
households is overstretched. There is a reliance on food<br />
loans and cash gifts and there are increased cases of distress<br />
sales of breeding animals. As a result there has been some<br />
humanitarian intervention geared at improving food access<br />
and asset protection.