Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report
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5.3.2 Progression of Rural Humanitarian Situation, Lower and Middle Juba Regions from post Deyr ‘11/12 to <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘12<br />
Rural ipc, post Deyr<br />
(Feb - Jun 12)<br />
Affected Regions and Districts<br />
Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />
(Jul ‘12)<br />
UNDP 2005 Rural<br />
Population<br />
Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />
(Aug - Dec‘12)<br />
Livelihood Zones<br />
Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />
<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />
Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />
Bu’aale 45,901 10,000 16,000 13,000 0<br />
Jilib<br />
Middle Juba<br />
Saakow/Salagle<br />
83,464<br />
54,773<br />
14,000<br />
11,000<br />
24,000<br />
10,000<br />
18,000<br />
15,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
SUB-TOTAL 184,138 35,000 50,000 46,000 1,000<br />
Afmadow/Xagar 44,212 5,000 4,000 9,000 0<br />
Badhaadhe 32,828 3,000 5,000 6,000 1,000<br />
Lower Juba Jamaame 106,734 21,000 27,000 19,000 3,000<br />
Kismaayo 77,334 10,000 9,000 11,000 2,000<br />
SUB-TOTAL 261,108 39,000 45,000 45,000 6,000<br />
GRAND-TOTAL 445,246 74,000 95,000 91,000 7,000<br />
TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 169,000 98,000<br />
Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones<br />
Estimated Population in<br />
Livelihood Zones<br />
Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />
<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />
Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />
Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 10,984 0 0 0 0<br />
Juba Pump Irrigated Riv 17,297 4,000 10,000 6,000 0<br />
Lower Juba Agro-Past 8,780 1,000 2,000 2,000 1,000<br />
Middle Juba<br />
South-East Pastoral<br />
Southern Agro-Past<br />
18,232<br />
46,816<br />
1,000<br />
12,000<br />
4,000<br />
0<br />
4,000<br />
16,000<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Southern Inland Past 22,725 0 0 0 0<br />
Southern Juba Riv 59,304 17,000 34,000 18,000 0<br />
SUB-TOTAL 184,138 35,000 50,000 46,000 1,000<br />
Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 33,354 0 0 0 0<br />
Lower Juba Agro-Past 70,183 17,000 4,000 15,000 6,000<br />
South-East Pastoral 38,810 3,000 8,000 9,000 0<br />
Lower Juba Southern Agro-Past 11,637 3,000 0 4,000 0<br />
Southern Inland Past 50,119 0 0 0 0<br />
Southern Juba Riv 57,005 16,000 33,000 17,000 0<br />
SUB-TOTAL 261,108 39,000 45,000 45,000 6,000<br />
GRAND-TOTAL 445,246 74,000 95,000 91,000 7,000<br />
TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 169,000 98,000<br />
Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group<br />
Region Timeline<br />
Juba<br />
Aug - Dec<br />
<strong>2012</strong><br />
(<strong>Gu</strong>-12<br />
Projection)<br />
Feb - June<br />
<strong>2012</strong><br />
(Deyr<br />
11-12<br />
Specific<br />
Areas or<br />
Districts<br />
Rural:Other<br />
Districts<br />
Lower Juba<br />
Agropastoral<br />
(Hagar)<br />
Rural:Other<br />
Districts<br />
Lower Juba<br />
Projection)<br />
Agropastoral<br />
(Jamame &<br />
Kismayo)<br />
S.I.<br />
Past<br />
S.E.<br />
Past<br />
Stressed Phase<br />
Livelihood Zones<br />
J.P./Shabelle<br />
Irr. Riverine<br />
S./Central<br />
Agropast<br />
L. Juba<br />
Agropast<br />
S.I.<br />
Past<br />
S.E.<br />
Past<br />
Crisis Phase<br />
Livelihood Zones<br />
J.P./Shabelle<br />
Irr. Riverine<br />
S./Central<br />
Agropast<br />
L. Juba<br />
Agropast<br />
S.I.<br />
Past<br />
S.E.<br />
Past<br />
Emergency Phase<br />
Livelihood Zones<br />
J.P./Shabelle<br />
Irr. Riverine<br />
S./Central<br />
Agropast<br />
FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />
Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />
L. Juba<br />
Agropast<br />
50%P 25%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 75%P 100%P 100%P 75%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 25%P<br />
100%P<br />
100%P 0% 0% 25%P 0% 0% 25%P 50%M 75%P 50%P 0% 75%P<br />
100%P<br />
100%P<br />
50%M<br />
0% 50%P<br />
Appendices<br />
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