Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

5.10.3 Livestock Herd dynamics central, Hiran and Juba Regions
5.11.4 Livestock Herd dynamics Juba and northwest Regions
Central: Hawd
Pastoral
5.11.5 Livestock Herd dynamics northwest and northeast Regions
Livelihood Zone
Hiran: Hawd Pastoral
1 FSNAU Livelihood Baseline Data and Profiles.
2 FSNAU Post Deyr ‘11/12 Technical Report, Appendix 5.10
3 Projected estimate based on reported conception in Deyr ‘11/12 to Gu 2012 (see Livestock Sector) calculated using the Standard 20-20-50.
Juba: Southeast
Pastoral
Livestock Herd Growth Analysis Camel Goats Camel Goats Cattle Goats
Baseline Holdings of the Poor Wealth Group1 8 55 8 55 18 15
Number at the end of December ’11 as % of Baseline2 79% 60% 80% 30% 28% 59%
Herd Size at the end of December ’112 6 33 6 17 5 9
Actual Calving/Kidding in Jilaal and Gu ‘12 0.9 9.2 1 4.3 0.5 2.1
Livestock off-take between January – June ‘12: bought - (sales+sla
ughter+died+lost+given away)
0.4 9.3 0 4 0.6 2.6
Herd Size at the end Gu’12 7 33 7 17 5 8
Number at the end of June ‘12 as % of Baseline 86% 60% 9% 31% 28% 56%
Number at the end June ‘12 as % of December ’11
Projection for the next 6 months – July-December ‘12
109% 100% 115% 102% 99% 95%
Number at the start of July ‘12 7 33 7 17 5 8
Expected Calving/Kidding between July-December ‘12 1 7.2 1.1 4.0 1.2 2.0
Expected Livestock off-take between July-December ‘12: bought-
(sales+slaughter+died+lost+given away)
0.7 40 0.7 2.7 0.5 0.7
Herd Size at the end of Deyr ’123 7 36 8 18 6 10
Number at the end of December ‘12 as % of Baseline 91% 66% 97% 33% 32% 65%
Golis-Guban
Pastoral
Livelihood Zone
NE: Hawd Pastoral
NE: Sool
Plateau
NE: Addun
Pastoral
Livestock Herd Growth Analysis Camel Goats Camel Goats Goats Camel Goats
Baseline Holdings of the Poor Wealth Group1 2 13 8 55 57 3 60
Number at the end of December ’11 as % of Baseline2 187% 45% 79% 60% 58% 82% 74%
Herd Size at the end of December ’112 4 6 6.3 33 31.8 1.6 44.2
Actual Calving/Kidding in Jilaal and Gu ‘12 0.4 1.2 0.9 9.9 9.6 0.2 10.7
Livestock off-take between January – June ‘12: bought -
(sales+slaughter+died+lost+given away)
0.4 2.3 0.6 8.3 8.3 0.1 9.5
Herd Size at the end Gu’12 4 5 7 35 33 2 46
Number at the end of June ‘12 as % of Baseline 183% 37% 84% 63% 60% 83% 71%
Number at the end June ‘12 as % of December ’11
Projection for the next 6 months – July-December ‘12
98% 81% 106% 105% 104% 101% 103%
Number at the start of July ‘12 4 5 7 35 33 2 46
Expected Calving/Kidding between July-December ‘12 0.2 0.7 1 6.9 6.6 0.2 7.3
Expected Livestock off-take between July-December ‘12:
bought-(sales+slaughter+died+lost+given away)
0.4 0.7 0.7 2.8 6.0 0.1 4.6
Herd Size at the end of Deyr ’123 3 5 7 39 34 2 48
Number at the end of December ‘12 as % of Baseline 174% 37% 88% 71% 62% 91% 80%
Juba: Southern Inland
Pastoral
Livelihood Zone
NW: Hawd Pastoral
NW: Sool
Plateau
Nugal Valley
Pastoral
Livestock Herd Growth Analysis Camel Cattle Goats Camel Goats Goats Goats
Baseline Holdings of the Poor Wealth Group1 25 8 40 8 55 55 60
Number at the end of December ’11 as % of Baseline2 103% 66% 50% 92% 63% 43% 37%
Herd Size at the end of December ’112 26 5 20 7 34 24 24
Actual Calving/Kidding in Jilaal and Gu ‘12 1.3 0.3 6.8 1.1 9 7.1 7.7
Livestock off-take between January – June ‘12: bought -
(sales+slaughter+died+lost+given away)
1.3 0 4 0.4 8.8 5.8 9
Herd Size at the end Gu’12 28 6 23 8 35 25 23
Number at the end of June ‘12 as % of Baseline 103% 69% 57% 101% 63% 45% 38%
Number at the end June ‘12 as % of December ’11
Projection for the next 6 months – July-December ‘12
100% 105% 114% 110% 101% 105% 94%
Number at the start of July ‘12 26 6 23 8 35 25 23
Expected Calving/Kidding between July-December ‘12 6.4 1.4 5.0 1.2 8.4 5.9 6.8
Expected Livestock off-take between July-December ‘12:
bought-(sales+slaughter+died+lost+given away)
1.3 0.3 3.2 0.8 5.6 4.2 4.5
Herd Size at the end of Deyr ’123 31 7 25 9 38 25 25
Number at the end of December ‘12 as % of Baseline 124% 83% 62% 106% 68% 46% 42%
FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48
Issued October 18, 2012
Appendices
113