Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

Sectors
28
Livestock Trade and Prices
Southern Somalia
Over the last twelve months both local and export quality
cattle prices showed an increasing trend. In January-June
2012, local quality cattle prices moderately increased in
Shabelle Valley (7%), in Juba (15%) and in the Sorghum
Belt (14%). In the same regions, local quality cattle price
increased by 63, 90 and by 111 percent, respectively,
compared to a year ago (Figure: XX). Factors that
contributed to these increases include low supply of cattle
given high off-take during the past drought seasons,
improved body condition of the remaining cattle and an
increased demand from Mogadishu due to relative stability
and an increased population both military and civilian.
In August 2012, the local quality cattle prices marginally
increased in the Sorghum belt (5%) and Shabelle valley
(4%), but moderately declined in the Juba valley (12%) due
to insecurity. Cattle exports from Somalia to the Garissa
market (Kenya) declined by 20 percent in June’12 (3000
heads) compared to January 2012 (3,750 heads) and 15
percent compared the same time of last year (3,533 heads).
This is due to the on-going conflict along the Kenya-Somali
border, which impedes livestock movement through the
Figure 8: Regional Trends in Cattle Local Quality Prices
(SOSH/SLSH)
Price per Head of Cattle (SOSH)
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
Jan-08
Jun-08
Nov-08
established trekking routes to Garissa.
Similarly, local quality goat prices increased in Juba (26%)
and the Sorghum Belt (18%) regions, while remaining
unchanged in the Shabelle Valley in June 2012 compared
to January 2012 (Figure: XX). In the same regions,
local quality goat prices increased by 109, 122 and 30
percent compared to the same periods last year (Jun ‘11),
respectively. Goat prices showed an increasing trend in
Juba (8%,) Sorghum Belt (3%) and the Shabelle Valley(9%)
in August 2012.
Central and North
Prices for all livestock species followed a normal seasonal
trend in most markets of the central and northern regions
from January to June 2012 and compared to year ago. Prices
picked up during the Ramadan period and are expected to
increase during the Hajj (Sept.-Oct.’12) livestock collection
period. Export quality goat prices in June 2012 slightly
FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48
Issued October 18, 2012
Apr-09
increased (2%) compared with the same month of the
previous year in Central, Northeast (4%) and 33 percent
in Northwest. Similarly, local quality goat prices increased
in January-June 2012 in the Northwest (29%) and Central
(27%) but remained constant in Northeast. Compared to
a year ago, a significant increase (26%) was reported in
Central and Northwest (31%) regions, while the prices
remained stable in the Northeast (Figure XX). In August
2012, the price trend of local quality goat was relatively
stable in Central, while it increased marginally in Northeast
(2%) but reduced in Northwest (9%). This is due to reduced
demand after the end of Ramadan season.
Figure 9: Regional Trends in Local Quality Goat
Prices (SOSH/SLSH) South
Price per Head of Goat (SOSH)
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Jan-08
Shabelle Valley Juba Valley Bay
Month
From January-June 2012, camel prices increased in
the Northeast (12%) and Central (29%) regions, while
moderately declining in the Northwest (19%) as more camels
from Ethiopia were supplied to the Northwest markets.
Compared to the same time last year (June 2011), prices
of local quality camel increased by 26-27 percent in the
Northeast, Central and Northwest regions. In July 2012,
the camel prices in the Northwest indicated an increase of
Sep-09
Feb-10
Month
Jul-10
Dec-10
May-11
Oct-11
Mar-12
Aug-12
Jun-08
Nov-08
SorghumBelt Shabelle Valley Juba Valley
Apr-09
Sep-09
Figure 10: Regional Trends in Local Quality Goat
Prices (SOSH/SLSH) North and Central
Price per Head of Goat (SOSH)
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Jan-08
Jun-08
Nov-08
Apr-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Month
Feb-10
7 percent; they remained constant in the Northeast, and
declined marginally in Central (2%). Cattle prices in the
Northwest were 24 percent higher in June 2012 compared
to January but they slightly decreased (12%) compared the
same month in the previous year (June 2011). In August
2012 the price increased by 16 percent.
Jul-10
Jul-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
NE Central NW (SLSH)
May-11
Oct-11
May-11
Mar-12
Oct-11
Aug-12
Mar-12
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Aug-12
Price per Head of Goat (SLSH)