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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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5.3.4 progression of Rural Humanitarian situation, Bay Region from post Deyr ‘11/12 to post <strong>Gu</strong> ‘12<br />

Rural ipc, post Deyr<br />

(Feb - Jun 12)<br />

Affected Regions and Districts<br />

Bay<br />

Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

(Jul ‘12)<br />

UNDP 2005 Rural<br />

Population<br />

Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

(Aug-Dec ‘12)<br />

Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Bay-Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />

Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />

Bay Agro-pastoral High Potential<br />

Southern Inland Pastoral: Camel, Sheep & Goats<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

Baydhaba/Bardaale 247,670 95,000 0 119,000 0<br />

Buur Hakaba 100,493 44,000 0 42,000 0<br />

Diinsoor 63,615 26,000 0 29,000 0<br />

Qansax Dheere 81,971 32,000 0 38,000 0<br />

SUB-TOTAL 493,749 197,000 0 228,000 0<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 197,000 228,000<br />

Affected Regions and Livelihood<br />

Zones<br />

Bay<br />

Bay Agro-pastoral High<br />

Potential<br />

Bay-Bakool- Agro-Pastoral<br />

Low Potential<br />

Estimated Population in<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

315,066 94,000 0 181,000 0<br />

178,683 103,000 0 47,000 0<br />

SUB-TOTAL 493,749 197,000 0 228,000 0<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 197,000 228,000<br />

Region Timeline<br />

Bay<br />

Aug - Dec <strong>2012</strong><br />

(<strong>Gu</strong>-12 Projection)<br />

Feb - June <strong>2012</strong><br />

(Deyr 11-12<br />

Projection)<br />

Specific Areas<br />

or Districts<br />

Rural : All<br />

Districts<br />

Rural : All<br />

Districts<br />

S.I. Past<br />

50%P<br />

Stressed Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Agropast<br />

LP<br />

25%P<br />

50%M<br />

Bay<br />

Agropast HP<br />

S.I. Past<br />

Crisis Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Agropast<br />

LP<br />

50%M 50%P 75%P<br />

100%M 50%M 0% 100%P<br />

100% P<br />

50% M<br />

Bay<br />

Agropast<br />

HP<br />

100%P<br />

50%M<br />

S.I.<br />

Past<br />

Emergency Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Agropast<br />

LP<br />

Bay<br />

Agropast<br />

HP<br />

0% 0% 0%<br />

100%P 0% 0% 0%<br />

FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />

Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendices<br />

91

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