Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

Table 17: Gedo Region, Estimated Rural and Urban Population by Livelihood Zone in Emergency and Crisis, Aug-Dec 2012
Gedo
Livelihood Zone
See Appendix 5.4.3 for Footnotes
Estimated Population
by Livelihood Zones
Stressed Crisis Emergency
Total in Crisis &
Emergency as % of
Rural population
Gedo Agro‐Pastoral High Potential 26,607 5,000 19,000 0 71
Dawa Pastoral 111,023 35,000 0 0 0
Juba Pump Irrigated Riv 31,236 15,000 11,000 0 35
Southern Agro‐Past 31,731 6,000 5,000 0 16
Southern Inland Past 46,479 11,000 0 0 0
Sub‐total 247,076 72,000 35,000 0 14
Urban 81,302 31,000 16,000 0 20
Regional Total 328,378 103,000 51,000 0 16
environment (sub-optimal child care and feeding practices), and
poor public health (limited access to basic human services such
as safe water, health and sanitation facilities), which predispose
the communities to high morbidity and subsequently high levels
of acute malnutrition.
EFFECTS ON LIVELIHOOD ASSETS
Natural Capital:
In most parts of the region, Gu rains started late and ended early.
The rains were poorly distributed in time and space, while the
amount of rain was equivalent to 60-80 percent of the LTM. The
dry pasture and water are available in all the livelihoods of Gedo
due to combined effects of the previous good Deyr 2011/12 and
the below average Gu rains. In the riverine areas, the cultivated
area in this season reduced by 14 percent compared to the
previous season following the chronic problem of Prosopis
Juliflora proliferation in the arable land and delayed rains.
Physical Capital:
Community assets such as public facilities (road infrastructure,
hospitals, sanitation, efficient transportation and schools) are
inadequate and the existing ones are in extremely poor condition.
The culverts, old irrigation canals and the river embankments
also remain in a precarious condition as they have not been
properly maintained for several years.
Social Capital:
The extent and availability of social support amongst the poor
households in pastoral and agropastoral areas was average this
Gu 2012. This is attributable to the favourable livestock prices
that increased income levels from livestock sales. However,
owing to complete Gu 2012 sorghum failure in the agropastoral
and riverine livelihoods, crop zakat to the poor households
plummeted. In the same breath however, the number of people
receiving remittances in the region marginally increased in May
2012 compared to same month the previous year (SLIM data).
Human Capital:
The provision of social services remains poor in this region.
Access to primary school is limited since the existing functional
schools are mostly concentrated in urban centres. The quality of
education is also poor owing to inadequately trained teachers,
lack of a functional curriculum coupled with low incentives for
the existing teachers. Access to health and veterinary services
is limited. There are a few organizations stepping in to provide
basic services, however they remain inadequate. Nutrition assessments
conducted in May 2012 in Northern Gedo region indicate
elevated levels of acute malnutrition with GAM and SAM
rates of 28.4 percent and 6.2 percent, respectively in the Dawa
pastoral, and GAM and SAM rates of 22.5 percent and 6.1
percent, respectively, reported in the riverine livelihood zone.
Nutrition data from the health facilities indicate high (>20%)
numbers and an increasing trend of acutely malnourished
children. Feeding centres in the area also report an increasing
number of admissions. The analysis indicates a sustained
Very Critical nutrition situation in the Northern Gedo region
since Deyr 2011/12. The 90 days retrospective crude death
rates are Serious amongst both the pastoral (0.59/10,000/
day) and riverine (0.20/10,000/day) populations in Northern
Gedo according to UNICEF classification. The respective U5
death rates of 1.36 and 1.60 in pastoral and riverine livelihoods
respectively are also in Serious phase. No surveys were
conducted in Southern Gedo region due to inaccessibility as a
result of civil insecurity; therefore there is insufficient data to
make an overall nutrition situation estimation.
Financial Capital:
Livestock remains a key financial asset for the pastoral and
agropastoral communities who represent the largest rural
population in this region (64% and 24%, respectively). However,
the livestock holding of the poorest group at the end Gu
2012 remained below baseline levels. Crop production is a key
financial asset for the riverine communities and in Gedo High
Potential agropastoral areas. However, this season’s crop production
was significantly below average, estimated at 1,062MT
(without off-season). The cereal stock levels among the poor
households, was estimated to last for 1-2 months except in
Gaboharey district, where it was up to 5 months. However,
in September-October 2012, minimal off-season production
(182MT of maize and sorghum) is expected.
Agricultural labour opportunities were also significantly below
average this Gu season and the agricultural wage rates
FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48
Issued October 18, 2012
Regional Analysis
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