Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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Executive Summary 12 2. ANALYTICAL PROCESSES AND METHODS This Technical Series Report provides the full findings of the Post Gu 2012 analysis. This analysis focuses on the outcome of the Gu seasonal rains (April – June) and includes sector specific analysis (Climate, Civil Insecurity, Agriculture, Livestock, Market, Gender and Nutrition), integrated food security analysis for urban and rural livelihoods, as well as for the IDPs residing in settlements within Somalia. The report is also an update on the Post Deyr 2012 assessment findings (FSNAU Technical Series, Report No. VI.44, March 2, 2012) and provides security projections in urban and rural livelihoods for the period of August to December 2012. The FSNAU led assessment was carried out in collaboration with 59 partners from 43 different agencies and organizations, including UN agencies (6), various government ministries (25), national institutions (2), local NGOs (13) and international NGOs (4). The assessment also engaged 16 government staff seconded to FSNAU as part of a capacity development project. The analysis also involved one technical partner from the European Union Joint Research Centre (JRC). FSNAU and Partner All Team Post Gu 2012 Analysis Workshop. Hargeisa, July 2012 FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 KENYA In the lead up to this assessment, FSNAU field analysts conducted preliminary assessments in May 2012 to observe the initial indications of Gu 2012 outcomes and their impact on rangelands, crops and an overall livelihood situation. The report focusing on post-Gu 2012 early warning was released in June 2012. The FSNAU also carried out routine monthly monitoring across Somalia. Most importantly, FSNAU collected market price data from 47 main markets and 51 rural markets through the Somali Livelihood Indicator Monitoring System (SLIMS) from all regions of the country. The data gathered from the sources above were used during the All Team Analysis workshop held in Hargeisa from 6-17 August, 2012 to provide a snap-shot of the food security situation in July 2012 and make a projection for August- December 2012. Analysis of the post-Gu 2012 assessment data were supplemented with the market price data, FSNAU/ FEWS NET baseline analysis and livelihood profiles, as well as information from secondary sources, including health information systems (HIS), remote sensing, import/export data from three ports of Somalia, conflict and IDP analysis GU 2012 Assessment Assessment Access Map and Field Monitoring Locaton Da t a� Map 3: Somalia Gu ‘12 Assessment Field Coverage Alula " DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden " Kandala Zeylac Bosaso Lughaye X Awdal " Berbera Borama Baki Sheikh " X Woq. Galbeed El Afwein " Sanag Erigavo X Badhan X Iskushuban Bari X Gabiley X Hargeisa " X " Odweine Burco Togdheer Caynaba X Xudun X Sool Taleh Gardo Bender Beila X Buhodle " Lasanod Garowe " X Nugal Burtinle Eyl Jariban X " Adado Mudug Hobyo Abudwaq X " Dusa Mareb Indian Ocean " El Barde Bakol Rab-Dhuure X Hudur X Belet " Weyne Hiran Galgadud Haradhere El Bur X X Dolo El Der " Luuq " Wajid Tieglo Bulo Burti X " Aden Yabal Belet Hawa Jalalaqsi X X Garbahare Baidoa Adale X " Gedo M. Shabelle Qansah Dere " X Wanle WeyneJowhar " El Waq X Bay X Bur Hakaba Balad " X Afgoye Bardera Dinsor Qoryoley Banadir " X Mogadishu " L. Shabelle Sakow " X Kurtun Warrey Marka " M. Juba X Sablale Gu 2012 Assessment Coverage Buale Brava X" X Afmadow X L. Juba Jilib Jamame X Normal food security assessment access FSNAU Observation and Enumerator Teleconferencing Enumerator and Key Informants Teleconferencing Badhadhe Kismayo " ± ETHIOPIA 40 20 0 40 80 120 160 Kilometers Technical Partner Funding Agencies Goldogob Galkayo " Nutrition surveys conducted June- July, 2011 Regular Monitoring Data Locations " Main market data nodes X Livelihood data nodes (SLIMS) Note: Due to security concerns of using Sateline phones, FSNAU Field Analysts were not able to obtain GPS coordinates Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 FSNAU is managed by FAO The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.
Table 4: Overview of Gu 2012 Assessment Analytical Processes and Timeline Activity Date Description/Location FSNAU Partner Planning Meeting June 11, 2012 Finalisation of assessment instruments, team composition and travel and logistical arrangements (Nairobi). Regional Planning Workshops July 1 - July 10, 2012 Fieldwork June 13 - 3 July, 2012 Due to problems relating to accessibility, FSNAU is currently unable to conduct regional presentations in Southern and Central Somalia. from UNHCR and OCHA and humanitarian assistance from different clusters. In addition, the process involved fieldwork, field observations, teleconferencing and the use of key informants depending on the availability of field access. Table 5 provides an overview of the analytical processes and timeline. For a complete listing of partners and full timeline, including regional level meetings see Appendix 5.5 and 5.6. Analytical Processes and Timeline Gu 2012 Assessment Planning During the preparation of the Post Gu 2012 assessment, all the factors highlighted in the Post Deyr 2011/12 analysis, including the end of famine and improvement in food security outcomes especially in southern Somalia were taken into consideration. The Post Gu 2012 assessment Technical Partner Planning meeting was held in Nairobi on June 11, 2012. The purpose of the meeting was to determine partner participation in the assessment, as well as to coordinate and plan fieldwork logistics and support. Seasonal assessment Regional planning workshops in Garowe Hargeysa Due to security, planning workshops could not be conducted Central- South, however assessment planning meetings were held in various regions/districts IDP Representative Household Survey (North) Urban Representative Household Survey (North) Crop and livestock assessments throughout the country with support from partners, enumerators and key informants in the areas with limited access due to insecurity. Teams travelled to Hargeysa and Garowe: Deliverables • Hard Copies of Assessment Questionnaires Regional Analysis Meetings July 29 - August 2, 2012 • • Filled Out Electronic Forms IPC Evidence Based Templates • Actual Sample Size Versus Planned (Table) • Regional Assessment Photos • Security Risk Analysis (SRA) Table • Regional Report Articles All Team Analysis Workshop August 6-17 All Team (FSNAU, FAs and Partners), Hargeysa Vetting of Nutrition Results with Partners August 21, 2012 FSNAU with Primary Technical Partners, Nairobi Vetting of IPC Results with Partners Release of Results August 22, 2012 FSNAU with Primary Technical Partners, Nairobi Technical Release September 7, 2012 FSNAU Press Release Post-Gu 2011 Presentation of Findings August 24, 2012 Presentation to FSEDC, Nairobi Regional Presentations August 25-26, 2012 Northeast (Garowe) Northwest (Hargeysa) Release of Nutrition Technical Series Report September 26, 2012 FSNAU website, email distribution and hardcopy mailing Release of Food Security Technical Series Report October 18, 2012 FSNAU website, email distribution and hardcopy mailing instruments (Appendix 5.12) were then finalised and sent to the field. Prior to the actual fieldwork, Regional Partner Planning Workshops (field), designed to train participants in the use of field instruments and to plan field logistics, were held from the 1 st to the 10 th of July in Hargeisa and Garowe. Due to insecurity, planning workshops could not be conducted in South-Central. Fieldwork, Assessment Methods and Field Access The fieldwork was carried out in June-July 2012. FSNAU staff, partners and enumerators collected data using a combination of rapid assessments; pictorial evaluation tools (PET); qualitative techniques such as focus group discussions (FGD), key informant (KI) interviews, field observations and household surveys. Representative household surveys were used specifically in the northern areas (Somaliland and Puntland) and Mogadishu for the urban and IDP assessments. Secondary data was also used for verification and triangulation of the field information. FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 Executive Summary 13
Page 1 and 2: Technical Partners Swiss Agency for
Page 3 and 4: Acknowledgement FSNAU would like to
Page 5 and 6: 5.11.4 Livestock Herd Dynamics Juba
Page 7 and 8: Figure 41: Trends in Terms of Trade
Page 9 and 10: 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 KEY FINDIN
Page 11 and 12: Table 3: Distribution of Rural and
Page 13 and 14: Map 2: Somalia Acute Food Insecurit
Page 15 and 16: over the last 12 months. However, l
Page 17 and 18: and 4) was estimated at 100,000 (5,
Page 19: security situation of the poor past
Page 23 and 24: Adoption of IPC Technical Manual Ve
Page 25 and 26: Figure 1: Time-series data of NDVI/
Page 27 and 28: 3.2 civil insecurity EVENTS Civil i
Page 29: 3.3 agriculture Area Cultivated und
Page 32 and 33: Sectors 24 Local cereal prices (mai
Page 34 and 35: Sectors 26 3.4 livestocK sector Bac
Page 36 and 37: Sectors 28 Livestock Trade and Pric
Page 38 and 39: Sectors 30 3.5 marKets and trade Ex
Page 40 and 41: Sectors 32 3.6 nutrition situation
Page 42 and 43: Urban Analysis 34 Evolution of food
Page 44 and 45: Urban Analysis 36 4. intEGrAtEd foo
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Page 48 and 49: IDP Analysis 40 Given the security
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Page 52 and 53: Regional Analysis 44 4.3 SOMALIA’
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Page 58 and 59: Regional Analysis 50 Average cattle
Page 60 and 61: Regional Analysis 52 4.3.3 BAY AND
Page 62 and 63: Regional Analysis 54 facilities cla
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Page 66 and 67: Regional Analysis 58 The population
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Regional Analysis 62 in addition to
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Regional Analysis 64 4.3.6 CENTRAL
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Regional Analysis 66 These househol
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Regional Analysis 68 4.3.7 NORThEAS
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Regional Analysis 70 Physical Capit
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Regional Analysis 72 4.3.8 NORThwES
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Regional Analysis 74 Table 31: Nort
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Regional Regional Analysis 76 Avera
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Among the Mogadishu IDP women, food
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5. Appendices 5.1.1 BAcKGROUnd And
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Appendices 83 Acute Food Insecurity
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Appendices 85 5.2.1 Time-Series of
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5.2.2 Time-Series of the Integrated
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5.3.2 Progression of Rural Humanita
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5.3.4 progression of Rural Humanita
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5.3.6 progression of Rural Humanita
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5.3.8 progression of the Rural Huma
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5.3.9 Progression of Rural Humanita
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5.3.10 Progression of Rural Humanit
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5.4.2 estimated RURAL population in
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5.4.3 estimated URBAn population in
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5.4.4 estimated RURAL population in
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5.6 LisT OF pARTneRs WHO pARTicipAT
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5.7 post Gu ‘12 Food security sea
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5.9 post Gu ‘12 IDP Matrix FCS -
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5.10.3 Livestock Herd dynamics cent
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8 9 What was the main reason for th
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8.1 b. Cattle c. Sheep d. Goat e. p
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5.12.3 Key informant/Focus Groups Q
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observed mostly? 6.7 What triggered
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Jan 2011- now a. Camels b. Cattle c
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5.12.5 cereal Flow survey THe FOOd
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9. Has there been any cereal outflo
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2 2.3 What was the source of the se
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4 4. 0 CROP CONDITION 4.1 What is t
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5.12.7 Gu ‘12 season crop Assesme
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4. FERTILIZER 4.1 a) Did the majori
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6.5 What were the crop production c
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5.12.8 idp Household survey Questio
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3.5 Did your household receive any
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Page 2 of 7 5.12.9 idp Assessment Q
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4 LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES 4.1 What we
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school in the last three months wha
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3.2 What was the source of income o
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Page 1 of 1 5.12.11 Urban FGd south
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5. Casual/labour wage (from portage
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2.2. What was the source of income
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Part 1: Analysis of Current Imminen
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their dietary needs, and food prefe
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Rapid assessment: undertaken follow
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FSNAU Technical Series Report No. V
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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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