Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

Table 19: Juba Estimated Rural and Urban Population by Livelihood Zone in Emergency and Crisis, Aug-Dec 2012
Livelihood Zone
See Appendix 5.4.3 for Footnotes
EFFECTS ON LIVELIHOOD ASSETS
Estimated Population
by Livelihood Zones
Natural Capital
The Gu rainfall performance was poor in terms of distribution,
intensity and frequency (RFE is 40-60% of LTM). There was
carry over dry pasture from the previous Deyr season in both
regions. Water availability was poor and not able to sustain
livestock during the mild dry Hagaa season (Sept-Oct-March
2012), however there were normal migration opportunities
to the riverine areas and the desheks to access the water.
Physical Capital
The state of the existing road infrastructure and the irrigation
facilities are generally deplorable and continue to deteriorate
owing to lack of maintenance for nearly two decades. Flash
and river floods further aggravate the existing condition of
roads as well as the irrigation infrastructure. As a result, an
increase in the transportation costs and, ultimately, food
commodity prices is observed. Water catchments in the
agropastoral and pastoral livelihoods are silted while the
shallow wells in the pastoral livelihoods of both regions are
in an appalling condition.
Social Capital
In both the riverine and agropastoral livelihoods, crop zakat is
not available due to poor crop production this season. There
is access to milking animals on loan because of enhanced
livestock reproduction, however livestock zakat is still below
normal owing to the reduced herd sizes.
Human Capital
Access to other social services such as schools and health
services generally remains inadequate and undeveloped
since the collapse of the government more than 20 years
Stressed Crisis Emergency
Total in Crisis &
Emergency as % of
Rural population
Juba Dhexe (Middle)
Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 10,984 0 0 0 0
Juba Pump Irrigated Riv 17,297 0 6,000 0 35
Lower Juba Agro‐Past 8,780 0 2,000 1,000 34
South‐East Pastoral 18,232 2,000 4,000 0 22
Southern Agro‐Past 46,816 0 16,000 0 34
Southern Inland Past 22,725 2,000 0 0 0
Southern Juba Riv 59,304 0 18,000 0 30
Sub‐total 184,138 4,000 46,000 1,000 26
Urban 54,739 0 26,000 0 47
Regional Total 238,877 4,000 72,000 1,000 31
Juba Hoose (Lower)
Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 33,354 0 0 0 0
Lower Juba Agro‐Past 70,183 0 15,000 6,000 30
South‐East Pastoral 38,810 3,000 9,000 0 23
Southern Agro‐Past 11,637 0 4,000 0 34
Southern Inland Past 50,119 7,000 0 0 0
Southern Juba Riv 57,005 0 17,000 0 30
Sub‐total 261,108 10,000 45,000 6,000 20
Urban 124,682 0 22,000 22,000 35
Regional Total 385,790 10,000 67,000 28,000 25
GRAND TOTAL 624,667 14,000 139,000 29,000 27
ago. The nutrition assessment conducted among the riverine
population of Juba reported GAM rate of 21.1 percent and a
SAM rate of 6.6 percent indicating a significant improvement
from the Extreme nutrition situation reported in the Deyr
‘11/12 season. The 90 day retrospective crude and under
five death rates are 0.20 and 1.16, respectively, indicating
Acceptable and Alert situations (UNICEF 2005). The nutrition
assessment among the agropastoral population reported a
GAM rate of 25.1 percent and a SAM rate of 5.8 percent,
indicating a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation since
Deyr ‘11/12. The 90 day retrospective crude and under
five death rates reported in July 2012 are 0.25 and 0.85,
respectively, indicating Acceptable and Alert situations
(UNICEF 2005). Among the pastoral population, the nutrition
assessment reported a GAM rate of 15.8 percent and a
SAM rate of 2.1 percent indicating a Critical situation and
significant improvement (p