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Table 29: Northeast Region, Estimated Rural and Urban Population by Livelihood Zone in Emergency and<br />

Crisis, Aug-Dec <strong>2012</strong><br />

Livelihood Zone<br />

Estimated Population<br />

by Livelihood Zones<br />

The <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2012</strong> nutrition situation depicts a mixed<br />

picture across the livelihood zones compared to the Deyr<br />

2011/12 season. The nutrition situation has improved in the<br />

populations of East Golis and Hawd livelihoods, from Critical<br />

in Deyr 2011/12 to Serious. The nutrition situation in Sool,<br />

Addun and Coastal Deeh remains Serious. The nutrition<br />

situation deteriorated among the populations of Nugal Valley<br />

to Very Critical from the Critical phase in Deyr 2011/12. The<br />

situation in the Nugal valley follows a seasonal pattern having<br />

improved to Critical in Deyr 2011/12 but then deteriorating to<br />

Very Critical, during the same phase in <strong>Gu</strong> 2011. A measles<br />

outbreak reported in parts of the western districts of Nugal<br />

Valley largely contributed to the worsened situation, despite<br />

the positive food security indicators. The improvements in<br />

East Golis and Hawd are linked to improved milk access,<br />

dietary diversity and humanitarian intervention. The WHO/<br />

MoH had reported AWD and cholera outbreaks in the Hawd<br />

areas of Galkayo and Adaado districts that aggravated the<br />

situation in Deyr 2011/12, however, this was controlled and<br />

there was no disease outbreak reported in the livelihood zone<br />

this season. Among the IDPs, the nutrition situation improved<br />

in Bossaso and Galkayo from Very Critical to Critical levels,<br />

and sustained Critical and Very Critical levels in Garowe<br />

and Qardho respectively. The results are consistent with<br />

historical data on nutrition surveys conducted among the<br />

IDPs in the northeast region, which highlights the chronic<br />

nutritional vulnerabilities<br />

Stressed Crisis Emergency<br />

Total in Crisis &<br />

Emergency as % of<br />

Rural population<br />

Bari<br />

Coastal Deeh: sheep 7,699 1,000 1,000 1,000 26<br />

East Golis Pastoral 85,474 19,000 6,000 0 7<br />

Gagaab Pastoral 28,539 7,000 2,000 0 7<br />

Kakaar pastoral: sheep & goats 28,231 6,000 2,000 0 7<br />

Sool‐Sanag Plateau Pastoral 38,062 9,000 3,000 0 8<br />

Sub‐total 188,005 42,000 14,000 1,000 8<br />

Urban 179,633 19,000 60,000 20,000 45<br />

Regional Total 367,638 61,000 74,000 21,000 26<br />

Nugaal<br />

Addun pastoral: mixed shoats, camel 4,211 1,000 0 0 0<br />

Coastal Deeh: sheep 7,014 1,000 1,000 1,000 29<br />

Hawd Pastoral 43,178 11,000 0 0 0<br />

Nugal Valley Pastoral: Sheep & camel 15,771 2,000 3,000 0 19<br />

Sool‐Sanag Plateau Pastoral 18,943 5,000 1,000 0 5<br />

Destitute pastoralists 1,476 0 0 1,000 68<br />

Sub‐total 90,592 20,000 5,000 2,000 8<br />

Urban 54,749 0 18,000 7,000 46<br />

Regional Total 145,341 20,000 23,000 9,000 22<br />

North Mudug<br />

Addun pastoral: mixed shoats, camel 46,886 13,000 0 0 0<br />

Coastal Deeh: sheep 5,259 0 1,000 1,000 38<br />

Hawd Pastoral 64,968 17,000 0 0 0<br />

Destitute pastoralists 7,126 0 0 7,000 98<br />

Sub‐total 124,239 30,000 1,000 8,000 7<br />

Urban 13,408 0 0 0 0<br />

Regional Total 137,647 30,000 1,000 8,000 7<br />

N.E. GRAND TOTAL 650,625 111,000 98,000 38,000 21<br />

See Appendix 5.4.4 for Footnotes<br />

EFFECTS ON LIVELIHOOD ASSETS<br />

Natural Capital: This season, the Northeast regions received<br />

a second season of near normal rains, with the exception of<br />

some pockets, after a long period of four consecutive below<br />

normal rainfall in the previous seasons. Pasture conditions<br />

are generally good in most of the livelihood zones due to<br />

average rains received in April and May <strong>2012</strong>. The natural<br />

water streams and berkads were also replenished except<br />

for the Coastal Deeh of Alluula and Iskushuban. The above<br />

normal rains in the western part of Hawd and on the other<br />

side of the Ethiopian border abnormally recharged the main<br />

streams and also resulted into flash floods, which left a path<br />

of destruction in its trail. This especially affected tarmac<br />

roads, bridges and certain villages such as Gosol.<br />

Average pasture and livestock body condition - Sool<br />

Plateau. Bari, July. <strong>2012</strong><br />

FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />

Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />

Regional Analysis<br />

69

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