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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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Appendices<br />

90<br />

5.3.3 progression of Rural Humanitarian situation, Bakool Region from post Deyr ‘11/12 to post <strong>Gu</strong> ‘12<br />

Rural ipc, post Deyr<br />

(Feb - Jun 12)<br />

Affected Regions and Districts<br />

Bakool<br />

Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group<br />

FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />

Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />

Rural ipc, post<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> (Jul ‘12)<br />

UNDP 2005 Rural<br />

Population<br />

Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

(Aug - Dec ‘12)<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

LegendBay-Bakool<br />

Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />

Bakool Bay-Bakool Agro-pastoral Agro-pastoral Low Potential Low Potential<br />

Bay Bakool Agro-pastoral High Low Potential<br />

Southern<br />

Bay Agro-pastoral<br />

Inland Pastoral:<br />

High Potential<br />

Camel, Sheep & Goats<br />

Southern Inland Pastoral: Camel, Sheep & Goats<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

Ceel Barde 23,844 9,000 0 5,000 0<br />

Rab Dhuure 31,319 18,000 0 6,000 0<br />

Tayeeglow 64,832 38,000 0 15,000 0<br />

Waajid 55,255 32,000 0 13,000 0<br />

Xudur 73,939 43,000 0 17,000 0<br />

SUB-TOTAL 249,189 140,000 0 56,000 0<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 140,000 56,000<br />

Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones<br />

Bakool<br />

Estimated Population<br />

in Livelihood Zones<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

Bakool Agro Pastoral 116,812 70,000 0 23,000 0<br />

Bay-Bakool Agro-Past LP 101,242 58,000 0 27,000 0<br />

Southern Inland Past 31,135 12,000 0 6,000 0<br />

SUB-TOTAL 249,189 140,000 0 56,000 0<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 140,000 56,000<br />

Region Timeline<br />

Bakool<br />

Aug - Dec <strong>2012</strong><br />

(<strong>Gu</strong>-12 Projection)<br />

Feb - June <strong>2012</strong><br />

(Deyr 11-12 Projection)<br />

Specific Areas or<br />

Districts<br />

S.I.<br />

Past<br />

Rural : All Districts 50%P<br />

Stressed Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Bakol<br />

Agropast<br />

AgroPast<br />

LP<br />

25%P<br />

50%M<br />

50%P<br />

100%M<br />

S.I.<br />

Past<br />

Crisis Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Agropast<br />

LP<br />

Rural : All Districts 100%M 50%M 50%M 100%P 100% P<br />

50% M<br />

Bakol<br />

AgroPast<br />

S.I.<br />

Past<br />

Emergency Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

BB<br />

Agropast<br />

LP<br />

Bakol<br />

AgroPast<br />

50%P 75%P 50%P 0% 0% 0%<br />

100% P<br />

50% M<br />

0% 0% 0%

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