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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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5.3.8 progression of the Rural Humanitarian situation, central Regions from post Deyr ‘11/12 to post <strong>Gu</strong> ‘12<br />

Rural ipc, post Deyr<br />

(Feb - Jun 12)<br />

Affected Regions and Districts<br />

Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

(Jul ‘12)<br />

UNDP 2005 Rural<br />

Population<br />

Rural ipc, post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

(Aug-Dec ‘12)<br />

Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

Cabudwaaq 32,654 2,000 4,000 1,000 4,000<br />

Cadaado 36,304 3,000 4,000 2,000 4,000<br />

Galgaduud<br />

Ceel Buur<br />

Ceel Dheer<br />

66,274<br />

61,407<br />

14,000<br />

10,000<br />

3,000<br />

14,000<br />

11,000<br />

13,000<br />

3,000<br />

18,000<br />

Dhuusamarreeb 74,441 14,000 6,000 9,000 6,000<br />

SUB-TOTAL 271,080 43,000 31,000 36,000 35,000<br />

Gaalkacyo 24,860 2,000 1,000 2,000 1,000<br />

South Mudug<br />

Hobyo<br />

Xarardheere<br />

54,438<br />

52,157<br />

7,000<br />

8,000<br />

11,000<br />

11,000<br />

9,000<br />

10,000<br />

14,000<br />

14,000<br />

SUB-TOTAL 131,455 17,000 23,000 21,000 29,000<br />

GRAND-TOTAL 402,535 60,000 54,000 57,000 64,000<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 114,000 121,000<br />

Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones<br />

Estimated Population in<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Deyr Projection <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> Projection<br />

Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency<br />

Addun pastoral 123,218 26,000 0 17,000 0<br />

Central Agro-Past 60,944 15,000 0 15,000 0<br />

Ciid (Hawd) Pastoral 41,030 0 0 0 0<br />

Galgaduud Coastal Deeh: sheep 13,586 0 2,000 3,000 10,000<br />

Southern Inland Past 7,453 2,000 0 1,000 0<br />

Destitute pastoralists 24,849 0 29,000 0 25,000<br />

SUB-TOTAL 271,080 43,000 31,000 36,000 35000<br />

Addun pastoral 41,823 11,000 0 8,000 0<br />

Central Agro-Past 31,750 6,000 0 8,000 0<br />

South Mudug<br />

Coastal Deeh: sheep<br />

Hawd Pastoral<br />

29,257<br />

16,243<br />

0<br />

0<br />

3,000<br />

0<br />

5,000<br />

0<br />

14,000<br />

0<br />

Destitute pastoralists 12,382 0 20,000 0 15,000<br />

SUB-TOTAL 131,455 17,000 23,000 21,000 29,000<br />

GRAND-TOTAL 402,535 60,000 54,000 57,000 64,000<br />

TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 114,000 121,000<br />

Region Timeline<br />

Specific Areas<br />

or Districts<br />

Ciid<br />

(Hawd)<br />

Past.<br />

Destitute<br />

past<br />

Stressed Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Addun<br />

Past.<br />

Agropast<br />

Togdheer/<br />

Central/NW<br />

Southern<br />

Inland<br />

Past.<br />

Coast<br />

Deeh<br />

Ciid<br />

Destitute Addun<br />

(Hawd)<br />

past Past.<br />

Past.<br />

Crisis Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Agropast<br />

Togdheer/<br />

Central/<br />

NW<br />

Southern<br />

Inland<br />

Past.<br />

Coast<br />

Deeh<br />

Ciid<br />

Destitute Addun<br />

(Hawd)<br />

past Past.<br />

Past.<br />

Emergency Phase<br />

Livelihood Zones<br />

Agropast<br />

Togdheer/<br />

Central/<br />

NW<br />

Aug -Dec<br />

<strong>2012</strong> Rural:All<br />

(<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2012</strong> Districts<br />

Projection)<br />

Galgadud Feb - June<br />

100%P 0% 50%P 100%M 50%P 0% 0% 0% 50%P 100%P 50%P 25%P 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 75%P<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

(Deyr<br />

11-12<br />

Projection)<br />

Rural:All<br />

Districts<br />

100%P 0% 25%P 100%M 0% 0% 0% 0% 75%P 100%P 100%P 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%P<br />

South Mudug:<br />

Aug -Dec<br />

Pop affected-<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

30% Galkayo, 100%P<br />

(<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

100% Hobyo &<br />

Projection)<br />

Haradheere<br />

South Mudug:<br />

0% 50%P 100%M 0% 0% 0% 50%P 100%P 25%P 0% 100% 0% 0% 75%P<br />

S.Mudug<br />

Pop affected-<br />

Feb - June<br />

30% Galkayo, 100%P<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

100% Hobyo &<br />

(Deyr<br />

Haradheere<br />

11-12<br />

0% 25%P 100%M 0% 0% 0% 75%P 100% P 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%P<br />

Projection) Cowpeabelt<br />

(Hobyo)<br />

50%P 50%P 0%<br />

Southern<br />

Inland<br />

Past.<br />

FSNAU <strong>Technical</strong> Series <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 48<br />

Issued October 18, <strong>2012</strong><br />

Coast<br />

Deeh<br />

Appendices<br />

95

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