Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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Appendices 88 5.3 pROGRessiOn OF HUMAniTARiAn siTUATiOn FROM pOsT DEYR ‘11/12 TO pOsT GU ‘12 5.3.1 Progression of Rural Humanitarian Situation, Gedo Region from post Deyr ‘11/12 to Post Gu ‘12 Rural ipc, post Deyr (Feb - Jun 12) FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 Rural ipc, post Gu (Jul ‘12) Rural ipc, post Gu (Aug - Dec‘12) Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group Livelihood Zones Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Affected Regions and Districts UNDP 2005 Rural Population Post Deyr Projection Crisis Emergency Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Baardheere 80,628 22,000 7,000 26,000 0 Belet Xaawo 42,392 6,000 1,000 2,000 0 Ceel Waaq 15,437 1,000 0 0 0 Gedo Doolow 20,821 3,000 1,000 1,000 0 Garbahaarey/Buur Dhuubo 39,771 8,000 1,000 1,000 0 Luuq 48,027 7,000 4,000 5,000 0 SUB-TOTAL 247,076 47,000 14,000 35,000 0 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 61,000 35,000 Estimated Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones Population in Livelihood Zones Post Deyr Projection Crisis Emergency Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Gedo Agro-Pastoral High Potential 26,607 14,000 0 19,000 0 Dawa Pastoral 111,023 12,000 0 0 0 Gedo Juba Pump Irrigated Riverine Southern Agro-Pastoral 31,236 31,731 8,000 10,000 11,000 3,000 11,000 5,000 0 0 Southern Inland Pastoral 46,479 3,000 0 0 0 SUB-TOTAL 247,076 47,000 14,000 35,000 0 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 61,000 35,000 Region Timeline Gedo Aug - Dec 2012 (Gu-12 Projection) Feb - June 2012 (Deyr 11-12 Projection) Specific Areas or Districts Rural:All Districts Rural:All Districts S.I. Past Dawa Past Stressed Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central Agropast Gedo AP HP S.I. Past Dawa Past Crisis Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./ Central Agropast 100%P 100%P 100%M 50%P 50%M 0% 0% 100%P 50%P Gedo AP HP 100% P 50% M S.I. Past Dawa Past Emergency Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./ Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central Agropast Gedo AP HP 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 75%P 75%P 0% 0% 0% 25%P 25%P 50%M 75%P 100%P 0% 0% 100% P 25%P 0%
5.3.2 Progression of Rural Humanitarian Situation, Lower and Middle Juba Regions from post Deyr ‘11/12 to Post Gu ‘12 Rural ipc, post Deyr (Feb - Jun 12) Affected Regions and Districts Rural ipc, post Gu (Jul ‘12) UNDP 2005 Rural Population Rural ipc, post Gu (Aug - Dec‘12) Livelihood Zones Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Post Deyr Projection Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency Bu’aale 45,901 10,000 16,000 13,000 0 Jilib Middle Juba Saakow/Salagle 83,464 54,773 14,000 11,000 24,000 10,000 18,000 15,000 1,000 0 SUB-TOTAL 184,138 35,000 50,000 46,000 1,000 Afmadow/Xagar 44,212 5,000 4,000 9,000 0 Badhaadhe 32,828 3,000 5,000 6,000 1,000 Lower Juba Jamaame 106,734 21,000 27,000 19,000 3,000 Kismaayo 77,334 10,000 9,000 11,000 2,000 SUB-TOTAL 261,108 39,000 45,000 45,000 6,000 GRAND-TOTAL 445,246 74,000 95,000 91,000 7,000 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 169,000 98,000 Affected Regions and Livelihood Zones Estimated Population in Livelihood Zones Assessed and High Risk Population in Crisis and Emergency Post Deyr Projection Post Gu Projection Crisis Emergency Crisis Emergency Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 10,984 0 0 0 0 Juba Pump Irrigated Riv 17,297 4,000 10,000 6,000 0 Lower Juba Agro-Past 8,780 1,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 Middle Juba South-East Pastoral Southern Agro-Past 18,232 46,816 1,000 12,000 4,000 0 4,000 16,000 0 0 Southern Inland Past 22,725 0 0 0 0 Southern Juba Riv 59,304 17,000 34,000 18,000 0 SUB-TOTAL 184,138 35,000 50,000 46,000 1,000 Coastal pastoral: goats & cattle 33,354 0 0 0 0 Lower Juba Agro-Past 70,183 17,000 4,000 15,000 6,000 South-East Pastoral 38,810 3,000 8,000 9,000 0 Lower Juba Southern Agro-Past 11,637 3,000 0 4,000 0 Southern Inland Past 50,119 0 0 0 0 Southern Juba Riv 57,005 16,000 33,000 17,000 0 SUB-TOTAL 261,108 39,000 45,000 45,000 6,000 GRAND-TOTAL 445,246 74,000 95,000 91,000 7,000 TOTAL AFFECTED POPULATION IN CRISIS & EMERGENCY 169,000 98,000 Rationale for Phase Classification Population by Livelihood Zone and Wealth Group Region Timeline Juba Aug - Dec 2012 (Gu-12 Projection) Feb - June 2012 (Deyr 11-12 Specific Areas or Districts Rural:Other Districts Lower Juba Agropastoral (Hagar) Rural:Other Districts Lower Juba Projection) Agropastoral (Jamame & Kismayo) S.I. Past S.E. Past Stressed Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central Agropast L. Juba Agropast S.I. Past S.E. Past Crisis Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central Agropast L. Juba Agropast S.I. Past S.E. Past Emergency Phase Livelihood Zones J.P./Shabelle Irr. Riverine S./Central Agropast FSNAU Technical Series Report No. VI 48 Issued October 18, 2012 L. Juba Agropast 50%P 25%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 75%P 100%P 100%P 75%P 0% 0% 0% 0% 25%P 100%P 100%P 0% 0% 25%P 0% 0% 25%P 50%M 75%P 50%P 0% 75%P 100%P 100%P 50%M 0% 50%P Appendices 89
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Technical Partners Swiss Agency for
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Acknowledgement FSNAU would like to
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5.11.4 Livestock Herd Dynamics Juba
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Figure 41: Trends in Terms of Trade
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1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 KEY FINDIN
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Table 3: Distribution of Rural and
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Map 2: Somalia Acute Food Insecurit
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over the last 12 months. However, l
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and 4) was estimated at 100,000 (5,
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security situation of the poor past
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Table 4: Overview of Gu 2012 Assess
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Adoption of IPC Technical Manual Ve
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Figure 1: Time-series data of NDVI/
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3.2 civil insecurity EVENTS Civil i
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3.3 agriculture Area Cultivated und
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Sectors 24 Local cereal prices (mai
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Sectors 26 3.4 livestocK sector Bac
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Sectors 28 Livestock Trade and Pric
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Sectors 30 3.5 marKets and trade Ex
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Sectors 32 3.6 nutrition situation
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Urban Analysis 34 Evolution of food
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Urban Analysis 36 4. intEGrAtEd foo
Page 46 and 47: Urban Analysis 38 Social Capital So
Page 48 and 49: IDP Analysis 40 Given the security
Page 50 and 51: IDP Analysis 42 Figure 23: Sources
Page 52 and 53: Regional Analysis 44 4.3 SOMALIA’
Page 54 and 55: Regional Analysis 46 decreased by 2
Page 56 and 57: Regional Analysis 48 4.3.2 LOwER AN
Page 58 and 59: Regional Analysis 50 Average cattle
Page 60 and 61: Regional Analysis 52 4.3.3 BAY AND
Page 62 and 63: Regional Analysis 54 facilities cla
Page 64 and 65: Regional Analysis 56 4.3.4 LOwER AN
Page 66 and 67: Regional Analysis 58 The population
Page 68 and 69: Regional Analysis 60 4.3.5 hIRAN RE
Page 70 and 71: Regional Analysis 62 in addition to
Page 72 and 73: Regional Analysis 64 4.3.6 CENTRAL
Page 74 and 75: Regional Analysis 66 These househol
Page 76 and 77: Regional Analysis 68 4.3.7 NORThEAS
Page 78 and 79: Regional Analysis 70 Physical Capit
Page 80 and 81: Regional Analysis 72 4.3.8 NORThwES
Page 82 and 83: Regional Analysis 74 Table 31: Nort
Page 84 and 85: Regional Regional Analysis 76 Avera
Page 87 and 88: Among the Mogadishu IDP women, food
Page 89 and 90: 5. Appendices 5.1.1 BAcKGROUnd And
Page 91 and 92: Appendices 83 Acute Food Insecurity
Page 93 and 94: Appendices 85 5.2.1 Time-Series of
Page 95: 5.2.2 Time-Series of the Integrated
Page 99 and 100: 5.3.4 progression of Rural Humanita
Page 101 and 102: 5.3.6 progression of Rural Humanita
Page 103 and 104: 5.3.8 progression of the Rural Huma
Page 105 and 106: 5.3.9 Progression of Rural Humanita
Page 107 and 108: 5.3.10 Progression of Rural Humanit
Page 109 and 110: 5.4.2 estimated RURAL population in
Page 111 and 112: 5.4.3 estimated URBAn population in
Page 113 and 114: 5.4.4 estimated RURAL population in
Page 115 and 116: 5.6 LisT OF pARTneRs WHO pARTicipAT
Page 117 and 118: 5.7 post Gu ‘12 Food security sea
Page 119 and 120: 5.9 post Gu ‘12 IDP Matrix FCS -
Page 121 and 122: 5.10.3 Livestock Herd dynamics cent
Page 123 and 124: 8 9 What was the main reason for th
Page 125 and 126: 8.1 b. Cattle c. Sheep d. Goat e. p
Page 127 and 128: 5.12.3 Key informant/Focus Groups Q
Page 129 and 130: observed mostly? 6.7 What triggered
Page 131 and 132: Jan 2011- now a. Camels b. Cattle c
Page 133 and 134: 5.12.5 cereal Flow survey THe FOOd
Page 135 and 136: 9. Has there been any cereal outflo
Page 137 and 138: 2 2.3 What was the source of the se
Page 139 and 140: 4 4. 0 CROP CONDITION 4.1 What is t
Page 141 and 142: 5.12.7 Gu ‘12 season crop Assesme
Page 143 and 144: 4. FERTILIZER 4.1 a) Did the majori
Page 145 and 146: 6.5 What were the crop production c
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5.12.8 idp Household survey Questio
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3.5 Did your household receive any
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Page 2 of 7 5.12.9 idp Assessment Q
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4 LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES 4.1 What we
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school in the last three months wha
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3.2 What was the source of income o
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Page 1 of 1 5.12.11 Urban FGd south
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5. Casual/labour wage (from portage
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2.2. What was the source of income
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Part 1: Analysis of Current Imminen
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their dietary needs, and food prefe
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Rapid assessment: undertaken follow
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FSNAU Technical Series Report No. V
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Fsnau-Post-Gu-2012-Technical-Report

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