San Luis Obispo - Caltrans - State of California

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SAN LUIS OBISPO REGION COORDINATED HUMAN SERVICES-PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION PLAN 3.4.7 Demand Estimation Summary This subsection presents a rationale by which to quantify the target populations, utilizing census variables and establishing a range of 41,588 persons up to 57,213 persons, based upon the 2000 Census. These individuals represented between 17 percent and 23 percent of San Luis Obispo County’s 2000 population of 246,681 residents. They are comprised of adults between the ages of 16 and 64 who are low income and/or are disabled and seniors age 65 and older. This proportion of the population is projected forward, using general population estimates developed by the California Dept. of Finance and other assumptions about changes in the senior population and the base adult population. The projections suggest increasing proportions of San Luis Obispo County residents will be within the target populations: by 2010, almost 70,000; by 2020, up to 85,000 and by 2030, over 100,000 persons. Trip demand is also considered in relation to the target population. A rationale for mean trips per day was presented. From total trips, estimated the proportion of those trips that might present for public transit was estimated – likely public transit demand. This represented a range of 780,000 trips to over 2 million trips. This is a conservative trip demand estimate for weekday trips only, exclusive of holidays and weekends. Of these, it is hypothesized that one in four trips (25 percent) will require some level of specialized assistance, reflecting the trip demand appropriate to this Plan. This is represented as a range of 195,000 to 508,000 annual trips for the 2000 census population. Public transit trips currently provided are estimated at almost 2 million trips for FY 2005/2006, of which 14 percent or 276,453 trips were provided with public transit funding. Added to these the trips documented by the region’s responding human service agencies, a total of 375,000 trips are reported, approximately in the middle of the demand range projected. This study documents unmet transit needs of a variety of types and characteristics suggesting the demand estimate will reflect latent demand, trips not currently served. Further as the years forward from the 2000 census-based population grow, the demand for specialized transit trips will also grow. The goal suggested then is to provide high quality transit and specialized service that can meet growing demand and meet future demand for some portion of the individualized trips needed by members of the target populations. 53 OCTOBER 2007
SAN LUIS OBISPO REGION COORDINATED HUMAN SERVICES-PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION PLAN CHAPTER 4: QUALITATIVE NEEDS ASSESSMENT – STAKEHOLDER OUTREACH This chapter presents findings from a series of public outreach meetings in the San Luis Obispo region. SAFETEA-LU requires that a plan must be developed through a process that includes representatives of public and private and non-profit transportation and human services transportation providers and participation by members of the public. This describes the approach to and findings of that effort for the San Luis Obispo region. This qualitative needs assessment validates and extends the survey findings presented in Chapter 3 and lays the groundwork for the plan’s recommendations. 4.1 INTRODUCTION The San Luis Obispo Region Coordinated Human Services-Public Transportation Plan will ultimately articulate a unified comprehensive strategy for public transportation delivery that speaks specifically to the mobility needs of three target populations: 1) seniors, 2) persons with disabilities, and 3) persons with limited means. Outreach to and involvement of agencies and organizations that operate transportation and/or provide other services to the target populations is critical to the preparation of the locally developed plan. Outreach reported here describes the process of the initial phases of the plan. Included in appendix C, and potentially addressed in the final recommendations are comments and responses received from the review of the August 2007 Draft Plan. 4.2 OUTREACH OBJECTIVES AND METHODOLOGY The outreach effort for the San Luis Obispo region was conducted to address the FTA plan development guidance and achieve the following objectives: • Lay the ground work for the stakeholders’ survey and encourage response; • Obtain views and perspectives of stakeholder agencies/ organization and clients/ consumers on coordination of transportation services; • Inform and educate stakeholders about capacity building strategies to achieve coordination in the human and social services sectors of transportation; • Build goodwill and cooperative relationships with key stakeholders and the communityat-large; and • Invite agencies to anticipate a continuing process by building a strengthened relationship with public transportation providers and SLOCOG. Reported here are the activities conducted January through May 2007, towards accomplishment of these objectives. Recognizing the need to reach as many stakeholders as possible in a relatively short time, with constrained resources, the A-M-M-A project team developed an approach designed to: 54 OCTOBER 2007
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San Luis Obispo - Caltrans - State of California

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