California State Rail Plan 2005-06 to 2015-16

2005-06 – 2015-16 California State Rail Plan
Figure 3A shows that in 2015-16, combined ridership on the three routes is
projected to be 7.2 million. Projected service frequencies are: 13 San Diego-
Los Angeles round-trips on the Pacific Surfliner, eight round-trips on the
San Joaquins and 18 Oakland-Sacramento round-trips on the Capitol Corridor.
In developing increased service levels, service extensions, and new services the
Department considers:
• Identified ridership demand based on actual train ridership, or in the case of
extensions or new routes, based on bus ridership and overall travel demand
in the corridor.
• Improved cost-effectiveness of existing services, and positive
cost-effectiveness of new routes.
• Feasibility of increased service based on route capacity, equipment
availability, and infrastructure quality.
• Local support for the service.
It is important to note that implementation is subject to demonstrated ridership
demand, approval from Amtrak and the relevant railroad(s), availability of
operating and capital funding and equipment, and completion of necessary capital
projects. The service expansions are described in more detail in later chapters.
Chapters VI, VII, and VIII describe the increased frequencies and service
expansions for each route. Chapter X describes the new routes the Department is
recommending.
Figure 3B summarizes the ten-year operations financial plan. Figure 3B presents:
revenue, expense and farebox ratio for existing routes; and projected State costs
for existing and new routes for the ten-year period from 2006-07 through 2015-16.
This data was developed based on the Department’s service levels shown in
Figure 3A. (Lease costs for required new equipment are included in operations
costs.) The Figure also shows actual data for 2003-04 and 2004-05 and current
data for 2005-06. Figure 3B shows that combined revenue is projected to be
$115.9 million. The farebox ratio on the Pacific Surfliners is projected to be
65 percent, on the San Joaquins 49.1 percent and on the Capitol Corridor
44.6 percent. State costs for the three existing routes are projected to be
$115.9 million, and new routes, $38.4 million.
Figure 3C shows in graph form the projected trend of the three key performance
measures (ridership, revenue and farebox ratio) on each route. These performance
measures are projected to improve on all three routes over the ten-year period.
Figure 3D shows in graph form the State cost per passenger, per passenger mile
and per train mile for each of the three State-supported routes over the ten-year
period. During this period State-cost per passenger is projected to increase
slightly on the San Joaquins and decrease slightly on the Pacific Surfliners and
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